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Many problems in the geophysical sciences demand the ability to calibrate the parameters and predict the time evolution of complex dynamical models using sequentially-collected data. Here we introduce a general methodology for the joint…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-12 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Inés P. Mariño , Joaquín Míguez

We consider chemical reaction networks modeled by a discrete state and continuous in time Markov process for the vector copy number of the species and provide a novel particle filter method for state and parameter estimation based on exact…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-24 Muruhan Rathinam , Mingkai Yu

We propose an online learning algorithm for a class of machine learning models under a separable stochastic approximation framework. The essence of our idea lies in the observation that certain parameters in the models are easier to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Min Gan , Xiang-xiang Su , Guang-yong Chen , Jing Chen

Markov chain analysis is a key technique in formal verification. A practical obstacle is that all probabilities in Markov models need to be known. However, system quantities such as failure rates or packet loss ratios, etc. are often not --…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Sebastian Junges , Erika Ábrahám , Christian Hensel , Nils Jansen , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Tim Quatmann , Matthias Volk

The Markov modulated (switching) state space is an important model paradigm in applied statistics. In this article, we specifically consider Markov modulated nonlinear state-space models and address the online Bayesian inference problem for…

Computation · Statistics 2013-11-27 Saikat Saha , Gustaf Hendeby

Jump Markov linear models consists of a finite number of linear state space models and a discrete variable encoding the jumps (or switches) between the different linear models. Identifying jump Markov linear models makes for a challenging…

Computation · Statistics 2015-02-17 Andreas Svensson , Thomas B. Schön , Fredrik Lindsten

This article addresses online variational estimation in parametric state-space models. We propose a new procedure for efficiently computing the evidence lower bound and its gradient in a streaming-data setting, where observations arrive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Mathis Chagneux , Mathias Müller , Pierre Gloaguen , Sylvain Le Corff , Jimmy Olsson

We provide a novel -- and to the best of our knowledge, the first -- algorithm for high dimensional sparse regression with constant fraction of corruptions in explanatory and/or response variables. Our algorithm recovers the true sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-31 Liu Liu , Yanyao Shen , Tianyang Li , Constantine Caramanis

We propose an online algorithm for tracking a multidimensional time-varying parameter of a time series, which is also allowed to be a predictable process with respect to the underlying time series. The algorithm is driven by a gain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-15 Eduard Belitser , Paulo Serra

"Particle methods" are sequential Monte Carlo algorithms, typically involving importance sampling, that are used to estimate and sample from joint and marginal densities from a collection of a, presumably increasing, number of random…

Computation · Statistics 2014-07-17 J. N. Corcoran , D. Jennings

Stochastic gradient descent procedures have gained popularity for parameter estimation from large data sets. However, their statistical properties are not well understood, in theory. And in practice, avoiding numerical instability requires…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-29 Panos Toulis , Edoardo M. Airoldi

We propose a technique for reformulation of state and parameter estimation problems as that of matching explicitly computable definite integrals with known kernels to data. The technique applies for a class of systems of nonlinear ordinary…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-09-11 I. Yu. Tyukin , A. N. Gorban

This study presents a novel mixed-precision iterative refinement algorithm, GADI-IR, within the general alternating-direction implicit (GADI) framework, designed for efficiently solving large-scale sparse linear systems. By employing…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Jifeng Ge , Juan Zhang

Infrared (IR) spectroscopy is a pivotal analytical tool as it provides real-time molecular insight into material structures and enables the observation of reaction intermediates in situ. However, interpreting IR spectra often requires…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-06-17 Nitik Bhatia , Patrick Rinke , Ondrej Krejci

We present a parameter estimation procedure based on a Bayesian framework by applying a Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm to the calibration of the dynamical parameters of a space based gravitational wave detector. The method is based on…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2012-12-03 Luigi Ferraioli , Edward K. Porter , Eric Plagnol

Linear mixed models are a versatile statistical tool to study data by accounting for fixed effects and random effects from multiple sources of variability. In many situations, a large number of candidate fixed effects is available and it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-09 Emanuele Degani , Luca Maestrini , Dorota Toczydłowska , Matt P. Wand

Online optimization has gained increasing interest due to its capability of tracking real-world streaming data. Although online optimization methods have been widely studied in the setting of frequentist statistics, few works have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Yifan Yang , Chang Liu , Zheng Zhang

Multi-object state estimation is a fundamental problem for robotic applications where a robot must interact with other moving objects. Typically, other objects' relevant state features are not directly observable, and must instead be…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Angad Singh , Omar Makhlouf , Maximilian Igl , Joao Messias , Arnaud Doucet , Shimon Whiteson

We propose a novel approach to input design for identification of nonlinear state space models. The optimal input sequence is obtained by maximizing a scalar cost function of the Fisher information matrix. Since the Fisher information…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-18 Patricio E. Valenzuela , Johan Dahlin , Cristian R. Rojas , Thomas B. Schön

Solving semiparametric models can be computationally challenging because the dimension of parameter space may grow large with increasing sample size. Classical Newton's method becomes quite slow and unstable with intensive calculation of…

Computation · Statistics 2021-08-19 Yucong Lin , Jinhua Su , Yang Liu , Jue Hou , Feifei Wang