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The order parameter for a continuous transition shows diverging fluctuation near the critical point. Here we show, through numerical simulations and scaling arguments, that the inequality (or variability) between the values of an order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-30 Soumyaditya Das , Soumyajyoti Biswas , Anirban Chakraborti , Bikas K. Chakrabarti

We propose a novel neural network architecture that enables non-parametric calibration and generation of multivariate extreme value distributions (MEVs). MEVs arise from Extreme Value Theory (EVT) as the necessary class of models when…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-03 Ali Hasan , Khalil Elkhalil , Yuting Ng , Joao M. Pereira , Sina Farsiu , Jose H. Blanchet , Vahid Tarokh

In extreme value analysis, tail behavior of a heavy-tailed data distribution is modeled by a Pareto-type distribution in which the so-called extreme value index (EVI) controls the tail behavior. For heavy-tailed data obtained from multiple…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Koki Momoki , Takuma Yoshida

Extreme value theory is part and parcel of any study of order statistics in one dimension. Our aim here is to consider such large sample theory for the maximum distance to the origin, and the related maximum "interpoint distance," in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-30 Sreenivasa Rao Jammalamadaka , Svante Janson

The sporadic large fluctuations are seen in the stock market due to changes in fundamental parameters, technical setups, and external factors. These large fluctuations are termed as Extreme Events (EE). The EEs may be positive or negative…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-09 Anish Rai , Salam Rabindrajit Luwang , Md Nurujjaman , Chittaranjan Hens , Pratyay Kuila , Kanish Debnath

Impact assessment of natural hazards requires the consideration of both extreme and non-extreme events. Extensive research has been conducted on the joint modeling of bulk and tail in univariate settings; however, the corresponding body of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Chenglei Hu , Ben Swallow , Daniela Castro-Camilo

We present a new approach to modeling the future development of extreme temperatures globally and on a long time-scale by using non-stationary generalized extreme value distributions in combination with logistic functions. This approach is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-07-28 Justus Contzen , Thorsten Dickhaus , Gerrit Lohmann

We introduce the extremal range, a local statistic for studying the spatial extent of extreme events in random fields on $\mathbb{R}^d$. Conditioned on exceedance of a high threshold at a location $s$, the extremal range at $s$ is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-06 Ryan Cotsakis , Elena Di Bernardino , Thomas Opitz

Extremes play a special role in Anomaly Detection. Beyond inference and simulation purposes, probabilistic tools borrowed from Extreme Value Theory (EVT), such as the angular measure, can also be used to design novel statistical learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-01 Nicolas Goix , Anne Sabourin , Stéphan Clémençon

The generalised extreme value (GEV) distribution is a three parameter family that describes the asymptotic behaviour of properly renormalised maxima of a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables. If the shape…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-10 Daniela Castro-Camilo , Raphaël Huser , Håvard Rue

We propose an approach to compute the conditional moments of fat-tailed phenomena that, only looking at data, could be mistakenly considered as having infinite mean. This type of problems manifests itself when a random variable Y has a…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-02 Nassim Nicholas Taleb , Pasquale Cirillo

In extreme value analysis, sensitivity of inference to the definition of extreme event is a paramount issue. Under the peaks-over-threshold (POT) approach, this translates directly into the need of fitting a Generalized Pareto distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-01 Jessica Silva Lomba , Maria Isabel Fraga Alves

Attaining ultra-reliable communication (URC) in fifth-generation (5G) and beyond networks requires deriving statistics of channel in ultra-reliable region by modeling the extreme events. Extreme value theory (EVT) has been previously…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-12 Niloofar Mehrnia , Sinem Coleri

Moir\'e superlattices of transition-metal dichalcogenides (TMDs) host strongly interacting Bose-Fermi mixtures in which bosonic excitons coexist with correlated electron lattices. Using ultrafast, time- and energy-resolved photoluminescence…

We consider globally invertible and piecewise contracting maps in higher dimensions and we perturb them with a particular kind of noise introduced by Lasota and Mackey. We got random transformations which are given by a stationary process:…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-19 D. Faranda , J. -M. Freitas , P. Guiraud , S. Vaienti

In this paper,a systematic study of quantum phase transition within U(5) \leftrightarrow SO(6) limits is presented in terms of infinite dimensional Algebraic technique in the IBM framework. Energy level statistics are investigated with…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2011-06-14 M. A. Jafarizadeh , N. Fouladic , H. Sabric , B. Rashidian Malekic

Extreme-value fluctuations at quantum critical points remain poorly understood in the presence of strong correlations and openness. At the integer quantum Hall transition in the open Chalker--Coddington network, we show that the maximal…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-03-17 Wei-Han Li , Abbas Ali Saberi

Extreme value analysis is an essential methodology in the study of rare and extreme events, which hold significant interest in various fields, particularly in the context of environmental sciences. Models that employ the exceedances of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Lorenzo Dell'Oro , Carlo Gaetan

Extreme Value Theory plays an important role to provide approximation results for the extremes of a sequence of independent random variables when their distribution is unknown. An important one is given by the {generalised Pareto…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

Modeling heterogeneity on heavy-tailed distributions under a regression framework is challenging, and classical statistical methodologies usually place conditions on the distribution models to facilitate the learning procedure. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Jiaxi Wang , Yanxi Hou , Xingchi Li , Tiandong Wang
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