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We analyze four models of epidemic spreading using a stochastic approach in which the primary stochastic variables are the numbers of individuals in each class. The stochastic approach is described by a master equation and the transition…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-28 Tânia Tomé , Mário J. de Oliveira

Dynamical phase transitions are defined through non-analyticities of the survival probability of an out-of-equilibrium time-evolving state at certain critical times. They ensue from zeros of the corresponding survival amplitude. By…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-17 Ángel L. Corps , Pavel Stránský , Pavel Cejnar

This review paper presents the known results on the asymptotics of the survival probability and limit theorems conditioned on survival of critical and subcritical branching processes in IID random environments. The key assumptions of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-28 Elena Dyakonova , Vladimir Vatutin , Serik Sagitov

Living species, ranging from bacteria to animals, exist in environmental conditions that exhibit spatial and temporal heterogeneity which requires them to adapt. Risk-spreading through spontaneous phenotypic variations is a known concept in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-03 Aleksandra Ardaševa , Robert A. Gatenby , Alexander R. A. Anderson , Helen M. Byrne , Philip K. Maini , Tommaso Lorenzi

Life has a special status, it even has its own science: biology. In many ways, the logic of life seems to differ from that of atoms, molecules, planets, or any other `inanimate object'. However, life is increasingly measured using…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-16 Marc-Antoine Fardin

Survival analysis concerns the study of timeline data where the event of interest may remain unobserved (i.e., censored). Studies commonly record more than one type of event, but conventional survival techniques focus on a single event…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Hylke C. Donker , Harry J. M. Groen

An organism that is newly introduced into an existing population has a survival probability that is dependent on both the population density of its environment and the competition it experiences with the members of that population.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-17 Jason M. Gray , Rowan J. Barker-Clarke , Jacob G. Scott , Michael Hinczewski

Stochastic modeling of disease dynamics has had a long tradition. Among the first epidemic models including a spatial structure in the form of local interactions is the contact process. In this article we investigate two extensions of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 L. Belhadji , N. Lanchier

Religiosity is one of the most important sociological aspects of populations. All religions may evolve in their beliefs and adapt to the society developments. A religion is a social variable, like a language or wealth, to be studied like…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Marcel Ausloos , Filippo Petroni

Natural systems are remarkably robust and resilient, maintaining essential functions despite variability, uncertainty, and hostile conditions. Understanding these nonlinear, dynamic behaviours is challenging because such systems involve…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-12-02 Daniele Proverbio , Rami Katz , Giulia Giordano

We suggest a novel approach to treating symbiotic relations between biological species or social entities. The main idea is the characterisation of symbiotic relations of coexisting species through their mutual influence on their respective…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-22 V. I. Yukalov , E. P. Yukalova , D. Sornette

Compositional data (i.e., data comprising random variables that sum up to a constant) arises in many applications including microbiome studies, chemical ecology, political science, and experimental designs. Yet when compositional data serve…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Ritwik Bhaduri , Siyuan Ma , Lucas Janson

Our research is concerned with studying behavioural changes within a dynamic system, i.e. health care, and their effects on the decision-making process. Evolutionary Game theory is applied to investigate the most probable strategy(ies)…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-09-10 Zainab Alalawi , Yifeng Zeng , The Anh Han , Aiman Elragig

This study introduces a data-driven, machine learning-based method to detect suitable control variables and instruments for assessing the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome in observational data. Our approach tests the joint…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-20 Nicolas Apfel , Julia Hatamyar , Martin Huber , Jannis Kueck

This paper deals with the problem of evaluating the causal effect using observational data in the presence of an unobserved exposure/ outcome variable, when cause-effect relationships between variables can be described as a directed acyclic…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-18 Manabu Kuroki , Zhihong Cai

Understanding the spread of any disease is a highly complex and interdisciplinary exercise as biological, social, geographic, economic, and medical factors may shape the way a disease moves through a population and options for its eventual…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-12-14 Aristides Moustakas

The theory of life history evolution provides a powerful framework to understand the evolutionary dynamics of pathogens in both epidemic and endemic situations. This framework, however, relies on the assumption that pathogen populations are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-28 Todd Parsons , Amaury Lambert , Troy Day , Sylvain Gandon

Assuming some regression model, it is common to study the conditional distribution of survival given covariates. Here, we consider the impact of further conditioning, specifically conditioning on a marginal survival function, known or…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-11 Roxane Duroux , Cécile Chauvel , John O'Quigley

Big Data involves both a large number of events but also many variables. This paper will concentrate on the challenge presented by the large number of variables in a Big Dataset. It will start with a brief review of exploratory data…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-24 S. J. Watts , L. Crow

We consider the problem of bounding large deviations for non-i.i.d. random variables that are allowed to have arbitrary dependencies. Previous works typically assumed a specific dependence structure, namely the existence of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-06 Christoph H. Lampert , Liva Ralaivola , Alexander Zimin
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