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Decisions taken in our everyday lives are based on a wide variety of information so it is generally very difficult to assess what are the strategies that guide us. Stock market therefore provides a rich environment to study how people take…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-28 Mario Gutiérrez-Roig , Carlota Segura , Jordi Duch , Josep Perelló

We discuss - in what is intended to be a pedagogical fashion - a criterion, which is a lower bound on a certain ratio, for when a stock (or a similar instrument) is not a good investment in the long term, which can happen even if the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-01 Zura Kakushadze

We investigate whether the tails of firm-level idiosyncratic return distributions are driven by common shocks. We use quantile factor analysis to extract such common idiosyncratic quantile factors with asymmetric pricing effects and we find…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-12 Jozef Barunik , Matej Nevrla

The aim of this work consists in the study of the optimal investment strategy for a behavioural investor, whose preference towards risk is described by both a probability distortion and an S-shaped utility function. Within a continuous-time…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-30 Miklos Rasonyi , Andrea M. Rodrigues

Factor modeling of asset returns has been a dominant practice in investment science since the introduction of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT). The factors, which account for the systematic risk,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-30 Zhipu Zhou , Alexander Shkolnik , Sang-Yun Oh

Providing a measure of market risk is an important issue for investors and financial institutions. However, the existing models for this purpose are per definition symmetric. The current paper introduces an asymmetric capital asset pricing…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-07 Abdulnasser Hatemi-J

Most finance studies are discussed on the basis of several hypotheses, for example, investors rationally optimize their investment strategies. However, the hypotheses themselves are sometimes criticized. Market impacts, where trades of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-03 Takanobu Mizuta , Isao Yagi , Kosei Takashima

This work presents an asset pricing model that under rational expectation equilibrium perspective shows how, depending on risk aversion and noise volatility, a risky-asset has one equilibrium price that differs in term of efficiency: an…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-18 Matteo Formenti

The Bohmian quantum approach is implemented to analyze the financial markets. In this approach, there is a wave function that leads to a quantum potential. This potential can explain the relevance and entanglements of the agent's behaviors…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-12-19 F. Tahmasebi , S. Meskini , A. Namaki , G. R. Jafari

There are some statistical anomalies in the Chinese stock market, i.e., positive return skewness, anti-leverage effect (positive returns induce higher volatility than negative returns); and reverse volatility asymmetry (contemporaneous…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-06 Liang Wu , Jingyi Luo , Yingkai Tang , Gregory Bardes

It is shown that the axioms for coherent risk measures imply that whenever there is an asset in a portfolio that dominates the others in a given sample (which happens with finite probability even for large samples), then this portfolio…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-29 Imre Kondor , Istvan Varga-Haszonits

We analyze characteristics' joint predictive information through the lens of out-of-sample power utility functions. Linking weights to characteristics to form optimal portfolios suffers from estimation error which we mitigate by maximizing…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-05 Christopher G. Lamoureux , Huacheng Zhang

Optimal reinsurance when Value at Risk and expected surplus is balanced through their ratio is studied, and it is demonstrated how results for risk-adjusted surplus can be utilized. Simplifications for large portfolios are derived, and this…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-10 Erik Bølviken , Yinzhi Wang

We identify a new type of risk, common firm-level investor fears, from commonalities within the cross-sectional distribution of individual stock options. We define firm-level fears that link with upward price movements as good fears, and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-11 Jozef Barunik , Mattia Bevilacqua , Michael Ellington

We present extensive evidence that ``risk premium'' is strongly correlated with tail-risk skewness but very little with volatility. We introduce a new, intuitive definition of skewness and elicit an approximately linear relation between the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-02 Y. Lempérière , C. Deremble , T. T. Nguyen , P. Seager , M. Potters , J. P. Bouchaud

Large variations in stock prices happen with sufficient frequency to raise doubts about existing models, which all fail to account for non-Gaussian statistics. We construct simple models of a stock market, and argue that the large…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-25 P. Bak , M. Paczuski , M. Shubik

It is commonly believed that the correlations between stock returns increase in high volatility periods. We investigate how much of these correlations can be explained within a simple non-Gaussian one-factor description with time…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 Pierre Cizeau , Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

The world's stock markets display a strikingly suspicious pattern of overnight and intraday returns. Overnight returns to major stock market indices over the past few decades have been wildly positive, while intraday returns have been…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-06 Bruce Knuteson

Testing procedures for predictive regressions with lagged autoregressive variables imply a suboptimal inference in presence of small violations of ideal assumptions. We propose a novel testing framework resistant to such violations, which…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-16 Lorenzo Camponovo , Olivier Scaillet , Fabio Trojani

Scale invariance, collective behaviours and structural reorganization are crucial for portfolio management (portfolio composition, hedging, alternative definition of risk, etc.). This lack of any characteristic scale and such elaborated…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-24 Thomas Bury