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Individuals or companies in a large social or financial network often display rather heterogeneous behaviors for various reasons. In this work, we propose a network vector autoregressive model with a latent group structure to model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-14 Xuening Zhu , Ganggang Xu , Jianqing Fan

A semi-parametric, non-linear regression model in the presence of latent variables is applied towards learning network graph structure. These latent variables can correspond to unmodeled phenomena or unmeasured agents in a complex system of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 Jonathan Mei , José M. F. Moura

In this paper, we propose a new test for the detection of a change in a non-linear (auto-)regressive time series as well as a corresponding estimator for the unknown time point of the change. To this end, we consider an at-most-one-change…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Claudia Kirch , Stefanie Schwaar

Graph auto-encoders have proved to be useful in network embedding task. However, current models only consider explicit structures and fail to explore the informative latent structures cohered in networks. To address this issue, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-01 Minglong Lei , Yong Shi , Lingfeng Niu

Latent space model plays a crucial role in network analysis, and accurate estimation of latent variables is essential for downstream tasks such as link prediction. However, the large number of parameters to be estimated presents a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-22 Kuangnan Fang , Ruixuan Qin , Xinyan Fan

Contemporary time series data often feature objects connected by a social network that naturally induces temporal dependence involving connected neighbours. The network vector autoregressive model is useful for describing the influence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Weichi Wu , Chenlei Leng

We study transfer learning for estimation in latent variable network models. In our setting, the conditional edge probability matrices given the latent variables are represented by $P$ for the source and $Q$ for the target. We wish to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Akhil Jalan , Arya Mazumdar , Soumendu Sundar Mukherjee , Purnamrita Sarkar

We study general nonlinear models for time series networks of integer and continuous valued data. The vector of high dimensional responses, measured on the nodes of a known network, is regressed non-linearly on its lagged value and on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-25 Mirko Armillotta , Konstantinos Fokianos

In this paper, we consider data-driven reconstruction of unknown inputs to linear time-invariant (LTI) multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems. We propose a novel autoregressive estimator based on a constrained least-squares…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-10 Enno Breukelman , Takumi Shinohara , Joowon Lee , Henrik Sandberg

This work focuses on the identifiability of dynamical networks with partial excitation and measurement: a set of nodes are interconnected by unknown transfer functions according to a known topology, some nodes are subject to external…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-12 Antoine Legat , Julien M. Hendrickx

In this article, we present a method to reconstruct the topology of a partially observed radial network of linear dynamical systems with bi-directional interactions. Our approach exploits the structure of the inverse power spectral density…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-13 Saurav Talukdar , Deepjyoti Deka , Michael Chertkov , Murti Salapaka

Predicting the output of a dynamical system from streaming data is fundamental to real-time feedback control and decision-making. We first derive an autoregressive representation that relates future local outputs to asynchronous past…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-09 Jiachen Qian , Yang Zheng

We address the problem of inferring an undirected graph from nodal observations, which are modeled as non-stationary graph signals generated by local diffusion dynamics that depend on the structure of the unknown network. Using the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-02-01 Rasoul Shafipour , Santiago Segarra , Antonio G. Marques , Gonzalo Mateos

We study the problem of learning the support of transition matrix between random processes in a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model from samples when a subset of the processes are latent. It is well known that ignoring the effect of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-13 Saber Salehkaleybar , Jalal Etesami , Negar Kiyavash , Kun Zhang

The paper proposes an identification procedure for autoregressive gaussian stationary stochastic processes wherein the manifest (or observed) variables are mostly related through a limited number of latent (or hidden) variables. The method…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-12-02 Mattia Zorzi , Rodolphe Sepulchre

This paper investigates the optimality analysis of the recursive least-squares (RLS) algorithm for autoregressive systems with exogenous inputs (ARX systems). A key challenge in analyzing is managing the potential unboundedness of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Xingrui Liu , Jieming Ke , Yanlong Zhao

This paper considers the problem of inferring an unknown network of dynamical systems driven by unknown, intrinsic, noise inputs. Equivalently we seek to identify direct causal dependencies among manifest variables only from observations of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-12-22 David Hayden , Ye Yuan , Jorge Goncalves

Multivariate network time series are ubiquitous in modern systems, yet existing network autoregressive models typically treat nodes as scalar processes, ignoring cross-variable spillovers. To capture these complex interactions without the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Qi Lyu , Xiaoyu Zhang , Guodong Li , Di Wang

In many real-world scenarios, it is nearly impossible to collect explicit social network data. In such cases, whole networks must be inferred from underlying observations. Here, we formulate the problem of inferring latent social networks…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2010-10-28 Seth A. Myers , Jure Leskovec

This paper addresses the problem of transferring useful knowledge from a source network to predict node labels in a newly formed target network. While existing transfer learning research has primarily focused on vector-based data, in which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Meng Fang , Jie Yin , Xingquan Zhu
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