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Dynamic discrete choice models are widely employed to answer substantive and policy questions in settings where individuals' current choices have future implications. However, estimation of these models is often computationally intensive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-11 Ebrahim Barzegary , Hema Yoganarasimhan

We present a new approach for learning compact and intuitive distributed representations with binary encoding. Rather than summing up expert votes as in products of experts, we employ for each variable the opinion of the most reliable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-17 Marc Goessling , Yali Amit

Recently, many methods to interpret and visualize deep neural network predictions have been proposed and significant progress has been made. However, a more class-discriminative and visually pleasing explanation is required. Thus, this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-01-06 Dasom Seo , Kanghan Oh , Il-Seok Oh

Consider a structured dataset of features, such as $\{\textrm{SEX}, \textrm{INCOME}, \textrm{RACE}, \textrm{EXPERIENCE}\}$. A user may want to know where in the feature space observations are concentrated, and where it is sparse or empty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Samuel Ackerman , Eitan Farchi , Orna Raz , Marcel Zalmanovici , Maya Zohar

When modeling geostatistical or areal data, spatial structure is commonly accommodated via a covariance function for the former and a neighborhood structure for the latter. In both cases the resulting spatial structure is a consequence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-20 Garritt L. Page , Fernando A. Quintana

In this paper, we investigate adaptive nonlinear regression and introduce tree based piecewise linear regression algorithms that are highly efficient and provide significantly improved performance with guaranteed upper bounds in an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-12-30 N. Denizcan Vanli , Suleyman S. Kozat

Decision making under uncertainty is at the heart of any autonomous system acting with imperfect information. The cost of solving the decision making problem is exponential in the action and observation spaces, thus rendering it unfeasible…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Tom Yotam , Vadim Indelman

We establish optimal convergence rates for a decomposition-based scalable approach to kernel ridge regression. The method is simple to describe: it randomly partitions a dataset of size N into m subsets of equal size, computes an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-01 Yuchen Zhang , John C. Duchi , Martin J. Wainwright

Cross-classified data frequently arise in scientific fields such as education, healthcare, and social sciences. A common modeling strategy is to introduce crossed random effects within a regression framework. However, this approach often…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-22 Shota Takeishi , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Predictive models make mistakes. Hence, there is a need to quantify the uncertainty associated with their predictions. Conformal inference has emerged as a powerful tool to create statistically valid prediction regions around point…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-14 Luben M. C. Cabezas , Mateus P. Otto , Rafael Izbicki , Rafael B. Stern

In this paper, we introduce a technique to enhance the computational efficiency of solution algorithms for high-dimensional discrete simulation-based optimization problems. The technique is based on innovative adaptive partitioning…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-04 Jing Lu , Tianli Zhou , Carolina Osorio

Estimation and inference with modern longitudinal data from wearable devices, which consist of biological signals at high-frequency time points, is burdened by massive computational costs. We propose a distributed estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Cole Manschot , Emily C. Hector

A Bayesian approach to the classification problem is proposed in which random partitions play a central role. It is argued that the partitioning approach has the capacity to take advantage of a variety of large-scale spatial structures, if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marc A. Coram

Conformal prediction is a non-parametric technique for constructing prediction intervals or sets from arbitrary predictive models under the assumption that the data is exchangeable. It is popular as it comes with theoretical guarantees on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-01 Jase Clarkson , Wenkai Xu , Mihai Cucuringu , Yvik Swan , Gesine Reinert

We propose Partition Tree, a novel tree-based framework for conditional density estimation over general outcome spaces that supports both continuous and categorical variables within a unified formulation. Our approach models conditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Felipe Angelim , Alessandro Leite

Quantifying uncertainty in model predictions is a common goal for practitioners seeking more than just point predictions. One tool for uncertainty quantification that requires minimal assumptions is conformal inference, which can help…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-08 Benjamin LeRoy , David Zhao

As predictive algorithms grow in popularity, using the same dataset to both train and test a new model has become routine across research, policy, and industry. Sample-splitting attains valid inference on model properties by using separate…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-27 Bruno Fava

Datasets containing both categorical and continuous variables are frequently encountered in many areas, and with the rapid development of modern measurement technologies, the dimensions of these variables can be very high. Despite the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-03 Binyan Jiang , Chenlei Leng , Cheng Wang , Zhongqing Yang , Xinyang Yu

Research has shown that deep networks tend to be overly optimistic about their predictions, leading to an underestimation of prediction errors. Due to the limited nature of data, existing studies have proposed various methods based on model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Jia-Qi Yang , De-Chuan Zhan , Le Gan

This paper presents a new probabilistic generative model for image segmentation, i.e. the task of partitioning an image into homogeneous regions. Our model is grounded on a mid-level image representation, called a region tree, in which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-15 Shell X. Hu , Christopher K. I. Williams , Sinisa Todorovic