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Variational inference has become one of the most widely used methods in latent variable modeling. In its basic form, variational inference employs a fully factorized variational distribution and minimizes its KL divergence to the posterior.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-29 Robert Bamler , Cheng Zhang , Manfred Opper , Stephan Mandt

We present a general method for deriving collapsed variational inference algo- rithms for probabilistic models in the conjugate exponential family. Our method unifies many existing approaches to collapsed variational inference. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-05 James Hensman , Magnus Rattray , Neil D. Lawrence

This paper studies the convergence rate of a message-passing distributed algorithm for solving a large-scale linear system. This problem is generalised from the celebrated Gaussian Belief Propagation (BP) problem for statistical learning…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-15 Zhaorong Zhang , Qianqian Cai , Minyue Fu

Exponential family distributions are highly useful in machine learning since their calculation can be performed efficiently through natural parameters. The exponential family has recently been extended to the t-exponential family, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-30 Futoshi Futami , Issei Sato , Masashi Sugiyama

In this work, the probability of an event under some joint distribution is bounded by measuring it with the product of the marginals instead (which is typically easier to analyze) together with a measure of the dependence between the two…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-10-22 Amedeo Roberto Esposito , Michael Gastpar , Ibrahim Issa

In computational inverse problems, it is common that a detailed and accurate forward model is approximated by a computationally less challenging substitute. The model reduction may be necessary to meet constraints in computing time when…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-14 Daniela Calvetti , Matthew M. Dunlop , Erkki Somersalo , Andrew M. Stuart

Error bound conditions (EBC) are properties that characterize the growth of an objective function when a point is moved away from the optimal set. They have recently received increasing attention in the field of optimization for developing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-15 Mingrui Liu , Xiaoxuan Zhang , Lijun Zhang , Rong Jin , Tianbao Yang

Several numerical approximation strategies for the expectation-propagation algorithm are studied in the context of large-scale learning: the Laplace method, a faster variant of it, Gaussian quadrature, and a deterministic version of…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-16 Alexis Roche

Probit models are useful for modeling correlated discrete responses in many disciplines, including consumer choice data in economics and marketing. However, the Gaussian latent variable feature of probit models coupled with identification…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Patrick Ding , Guido Imbens , Zhaonan Qu , Yinyu Ye

The Bayesian predictive density has complex representation and does not belong to any finite-dimensional statistical model except for in limited situations. In this paper, we introduce its simple approximate representation employing its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-30 Michiko Okudo , Fumiyasu Komaki

Equilibrium Propagation (EP) is a learning algorithm for training Energy-based Models (EBMs) on static inputs which leverages the variational description of their fixed points. Extending EP to time-varying inputs is a challenging problem,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Guillaume Pourcel , Debabrota Basu , Maxence Ernoult , Aditya Gilra

Let $K(=K_{n,\theta})$ be a positive integer-valued random variable whose distribution is given by ${\rm P}(K = x) = \bar{s}(n,x) \theta^x/(\theta)_n$ $(x=1,\ldots,n) $, where $\theta$ is a positive number, $n$ is a positive integer,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Koji Tsukuda

We consider the problem of estimating a $d$-dimensional discrete distribution from its samples observed under a $b$-bit communication constraint. In contrast to most previous results that largely focus on the global minimax error, we study…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Wei-Ning Chen , Peter Kairouz , Ayfer Özgür

This work is concerned with the convergence of Gaussian process regression. A particular focus is on hierarchical Gaussian process regression, where hyper-parameters appearing in the mean and covariance structure of the Gaussian process…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Aretha L Teckentrup

We study the consistency of stochastic dynamic programs under converging probability distributions and other approximations. Utilizing results on the epi-convergence of expectation functions with varying measures and integrands, and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Dominic S. T. Keehan , Johannes O. Royset

This paper focuses on the distributed static estimation problem and a Belief Propagation (BP) based estimation algorithm is proposed. We provide a complete analysis for convergence and accuracy of it. More precisely, we offer conditions…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-07 Damián Marelli , Tianju Sui , Minyue Fu , Ximing Sun

The Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm has been predominantly used to approximate the maximum likelihood estimation of the location-scale Gaussian mixtures. However, when the models are over-specified, namely, the chosen number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-24 Tongzheng Ren , Fuheng Cui , Sujay Sanghavi , Nhat Ho

This paper investigates the approximation of Gaussian random variables in Banach spaces, focusing on the high-probability bounds for the approximation of Gaussian random variables using finitely many observations. We derive non-asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-28 Daniel Winkle , Ingo Steinwart , Bernard Haasdonk

The problem of finding an optimum using noisy evaluations of a smooth cost function arises in many contexts, including economics, business, medicine, experiment design, and foraging theory. We derive an asymptotic bound E[ (x_t - x*)^2 ] >=…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Barak A. Pearlmutter

Bayesian procedures designed to quantify truncation errors in perturbative calculations of quantum chromodynamics observables are adapted to expansions in effective field theory (EFT). In the Bayesian approach, such truncation errors are…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2016-05-12 R. J. Furnstahl , N. Klco , D. R. Phillips , S. Wesolowski
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