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In Epoch 2 of the 2024 PDC25 Hypothetical Asteroid Impact Scenario, an asteroid is confirmed to be on a collision course with the Earth, and its size and surface composition have been well characterized via a flyby mission. A kinetic…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-24 Christoph M. Schäfer , Uri Malamud , Tamir Manoach , Hagai B. Perets

We present a novel concept to impart a continuous thrust to an Earth threatening asteroid from a hovering spacecraft without need for physical attachment nor gravitational interaction with the asteroid. The concept involves an ion thruster…

Space Physics · Physics 2011-02-08 C. Bombardelli , J. Pelaez

Deflecting an asteroid from an Earth impact trajectory requires only small velocity changes, typically of the order of microns per second, if done many years ahead of time. For this, a highly precise method of determining the need,…

Space Physics · Physics 2008-09-17 Bernhard W. Adams

Thermophysical models allow for improved constraints on the physical and thermal surface properties of asteroids beyond what can be inferred from more simple thermal modeling, provided a sufficient number of observations is available. We…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-08-14 Joseph R. Masiero , E. L. Wright , A. K. Mainzer

A realistic mission scenario for the deflection of fictitious asteroid 2015PDC is investigated that makes use of the ion beam shepherd concept as primary deflection technique. The article deals with the design of a low thrust rendezvous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Claudio Bombardelli , Davide Amato , Juan Luis Cano

While no known asteroid poses a threat to Earth for at least the next century, the catalog of near-Earth asteroids is incomplete for objects whose impacts would produce regional devastation. Several approaches have been proposed to…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-03-07 R. Terik Daly , Carolyn M. Ernst , Olivier S. Barnouin , Nancy L. Chabot , Andrew S. Rivkin , Andrew F. Cheng , Elena Y. Adams , Harrison F. Agrusa , Elisabeth D. Abel , Amy L. Alford , Erik I. Asphaug , Justin A. Atchison , Andrew R. Badger , Paul Baki , Ronald-L. Ballouz , Dmitriy L. Bekker , Julie Bellerose , Shyam Bhaskaran , Bonnie J. Buratti , Saverio Cambioni , Michelle H. Chen , Steven R. Chesley , George Chiu , Gareth S. Collins , Matthew W. Cox , Mallory E. DeCoster , Peter S. Ericksen , Raymond C. Espiritu , Alan S. Faber , Tony L. Farnham , Fabio Ferrari , Zachary J. Fletcher , Robert W. Gaskell , Dawn M. Graninger , Musad A. Haque , Patricia A. Harrington-Duff , Sarah Hefter , Isabel Herreros , Masatoshi Hirabayashi , Philip M. Huang , Syau-Yun W. Hsieh , Seth A. Jacobson , Stephen N. Jenkins , Mark A. Jensenius , Jeremy W. John , Martin Jutzi , Tomas Kohout , Timothy O. Krueger , Frank E. Laipert , Norberto R. Lopez , Robert Luther , Alice Lucchetti , Declan M. Mages , Simone Marchi , Anna C. Martin , Maria E. McQuaide , Patrick Michel , Nicholas A. Moskovitz , Ian W. Murphy , Naomi Murdoch , Shantanu P. Naidu , Hari Nair , Michael C. Nolan , Jens Ormö , Maurizio Pajola , Eric E. Palmer , James M. Peachey , Petr Pravec , Sabina D. Raducan , K. T. Ramesh , Joshua R. Ramirez , Edward L. Reynolds , Joshua E. Richman , Colas Q. Robin , Luis M. Rodriguez , Lew M. Roufberg , Brian P. Rush , Carolyn A. Sawyer , Daniel J. Scheeres , Petr Scheirich , Stephen R. Schwartz , Matthew P. Shannon , Brett N. Shapiro , Caitlin E. Shearer , Evan J. Smith , R. Joshua Steele , Jordan K Steckloff , Angela M. Stickle , Jessica M. Sunshine , Emil A. Superfin , Zahi B. Tarzi , Cristina A. Thomas , Justin R. Thomas , Josep M. Trigo-Rodríguez , B. Teresa Tropf , Andrew T. Vaughan , Dianna Velez , C. Dany Waller , Daniel S. Wilson , Kristin A. Wortman , Yun Zhang

We assess the risk of an Earth impact for asteroid (99942) Apophis by means of a statistical analysis accounting for the uncertainty of both the orbital solution and the Yarkovsky effect. We select those observations with either rigorous…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-12 D. Farnocchia , S. R. Chesley , P. W. Chodas , M. Micheli , D. J. Tholen , A. Milani , G. T. Elliott , F. Bernardi

This article investigates reconstructing the internal mass density of a numerical asteroid model using the gradient of a simulated gravity field as synthetic measurement data. Our goal is to advance the mathematical inversion methodology…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-01 Liisa-Ida Sorsa , Mika Takala , Patrick Bambach , Jakob Deller , Esa Vilenius , Jessica Agarwal , Kieran A. Carroll , Özgür Karatekin , Sampsa Pursiainen

Tumbling asteroids belong to a small group of objects, whose angular velocity vector is unaligned with any of its principal axes of inertia. This leads to challenging efforts to model the trajectory of any spacecraft designed to orbit these…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-05-31 S. Aljbaae , J. Souchay , V. Carruba , D. M. Sanchez , A. F. B. A. Prado

Wide Field Survey Telescope (WFST), with a powerful sky survey capability in the northern hemisphere, will play an important role in asteroid searching and monitoring. However, WFST is not a telescope dedicated to near-Earth asteroids…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-21 Jun-Qiang Lu , Lu-Lu Fan , Min-Xuan Cai , Shao-Han Wang , Bing-Xue Fu , Xu Kong , Qing-Feng Zhu

In 2029, the near-Earth asteroid (99942) Apophis approaches the Earth within six Earth radii. This opportunity is one of the rarest natural experiments that we can use to better characterize a small body through telescopic observations and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-07-24 Masatoshi Hirabayashi

The catalog of km-sized near-Earth objects (NEOs) is nearly complete. Typical impact monitoring analyses search for possible impacts over the next 100 years and none of the km-sized objects represent an impact threat over that time…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-28 Oscar Fuentes-Muñoz , Daniel J. Scheeres , Davide Farnocchia , Ryan S. Park

Asteroid impacts pose a major threat to all life on Earth. The age of the dinosaurs was abruptly ended by a 10-km-diameter asteroid. Currently, a nuclear device is the only means of deflecting large Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs)…

Space Physics · Physics 2020-04-09 Mingtao Li , Yirui Wang , Youliang Wang , Binghong Zhou , Wei Zheng

Hazardous asteroid has been one of the concerns for humankind as fallen asteroid on earth could cost a huge impact on the society.Monitoring these objects could help predict future impact events, but such efforts are hindered by the large…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-05 Thai Duy Quy , Alvin Buana , Josh Lee , Rakha Asyrofi

A method for asteroid deflection that makes use of a spacecraft moving back and forth on a segment of a Keplerian orbit about the asteroid is studied with the aim of optimizing the initial gross mass of the spacecraft. The corresponding…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-10-12 Yohannes Ketema

This paper presents a novel approach to the robust design of deflection actions for Near Earth Objects (NEO). In particular, the case of deflection by means of Solar-pumped Laser ablation is studied here in detail. The basic idea behind…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2012-06-07 Federico Zuiani , Massimiliano Vasile , Alison Gibbings

The Near Earth Object Surveyor mission has a requirement to find two-thirds of the potentially hazardous asteroids larger than 140 meters in size. In order to determine the mission's expected progress toward this goal during design and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-10-20 Joseph R. Masiero , Dar W. Dahlen , Amy K. Mainzer , William F. Bottke , Jennifer C. Bragg , James. M. Bauer , Tommy Grav

Close-proximity exploration of small celestial bodies is crucial for the comprehensive and accurate characterization of their properties. However, the complex and uncertain dynamical environment around them contributes to a rapid dispersion…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-08-13 Niccolò Michelotti , Antonio Rizza , Carmine Giordano , Francesco Topputo

We define a set of procedures to numerically study the fate of ejecta produced by the impact of an artificial projectile with the aim of deflecting an asteroid. Here we develop a simplified, idealized model of impact conditions that can be…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2016-01-25 Stephen R. Schwartz , Yang Yu , Patrick Michel , Martin Jutzi

In this article, theory-based analytical methodologies of astrophysics employed in the modern era are suitably operated alongside a test research-grade telescope to image and determine the orbit of a near-earth asteroid from original…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-09-16 Muhammad Farae , Cameron Woo , Anka Hu