English
Related papers

Related papers: An Extended Empirical Saddlepoint Approximation fo…

200 papers

The distribution of sum of independent non-identical binomial random variables is frequently encountered in areas such as genomics, healthcare, and operations research. Analytical solutions to the density and distribution are usually…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-06 Boxiang Liu , Thomas Quertermous

Preferential sampling is a common feature in geostatistics and occurs when the locations to be sampled are chosen based on information about the phenomena under study. In this case, point pattern models are commonly used as the probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-27 Douglas Mateus da Silva , Dani Gamerman

The marginal likelihood, or evidence, plays a central role in Bayesian model selection, yet remains notoriously challenging to compute in likelihood-free settings. While Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) techniques such as Sequential Neural…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-14 Paul Bastide , Arnaud Estoup , Jean-Michel Marin , Julien Stoehr

The aim of this note is to state a couple of general results about the properties of the penalized maximum likelihood estimators (pMLE) and of the posterior distribution for parametric models in a non-asymptotic setup and for possibly large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Vladimir Spokoiny

Empirical likelihood is a popular nonparametric statistical tool that does not require any distributional assumptions. In this paper, we explore the possibility of conducting variable selection via Bayesian empirical likelihood. We show…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-13 Yichen Cheng , Yichuan Zhao

This thesis studies high-dimensional, continuous-valued pairwise Markov Random Fields. We are particularly interested in approximating pairwise densities whose logarithm belongs to a Sobolev space. For this problem we propose the method of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-12 Eric Janofsky

Evidential Deep Learning (EDL) is an emerging method for uncertainty estimation that provides reliable predictive uncertainty in a single forward pass, attracting significant attention. Grounded in subjective logic, EDL derives Dirichlet…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-02 Mengyuan Chen , Junyu Gao , Changsheng Xu

Applying standard statistical methods after model selection may yield inefficient estimators and hypothesis tests that fail to achieve nominal type-I error rates. The main issue is the fact that the post-selection distribution of the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-23 Amit Meir , Mathias Drton

A common approach to synthetic data is to sample from a fitted model. We show that under general assumptions, this approach results in a sample with inefficient estimators and whose joint distribution is inconsistent with the true…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-18 Jordan Awan , Zhanrui Cai

Stochastic processes defined on integer valued state spaces are popular within the physical and biological sciences. These models are necessary for capturing the dynamics of small systems where the individual nature of the populations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-15 Luke O'Loughlin , John Maclean , Andrew Black

Sensitive datasets are often underutilized in research and industry due to privacy concerns, limiting the potential of valuable data-driven insights. Synthetic data generation presents a promising solution to address this challenge by…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-27 Ali Furkan Kalay

The ratio between two probability density functions is an important component of various tasks, including selection bias correction, novelty detection and classification. Recently, several estimators of this ratio have been proposed. Most…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-30 Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee , Chad M. Schafer

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods, which are applicable when the likelihood is difficult or impossible to calculate, are an active topic of current research. Most current ABC algorithms directly approximate the posterior…

Computation · Statistics 2012-12-10 Y. Fan , D. J. Nott , S. A. Sisson

The past few years have seen impressive progress in the development of deep generative models capable of producing high-dimensional, complex, and photo-realistic data. However, current methods for evaluating such models remain incomplete:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Marco Jiralerspong , Avishek Joey Bose , Ian Gemp , Chongli Qin , Yoram Bachrach , Gauthier Gidel

This paper investigates the large sample properties of local regression distribution estimators, which include a class of boundary adaptive density estimators as a prime example. First, we establish a pointwise Gaussian large sample…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-29 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Xinwei Ma

We consider the fundamental problem of how to automatically construct summary statistics for implicit generative models where the evaluation of the likelihood function is intractable, but sampling data from the model is possible. The idea…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-31 Yanzhi Chen , Dinghuai Zhang , Michael Gutmann , Aaron Courville , Zhanxing Zhu

We propose a new approach that combines multiple non-parametric likelihood-type components to build a data-driven approximation of the true likelihood function. Our approach is built on empirical likelihood, a non-parametric approximation…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-15 Adam Jaeger , Nicole Lazar

I consider two problems in machine learning and statistics: the problem of estimating the joint probability density of a collection of random variables, known as density estimation, and the problem of inferring model parameters when their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-30 George Papamakarios

This document is due to appear as a chapter of the forthcoming Handbook of Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) by S. Sisson, L. Fan, and M. Beaumont. Here we describe some of the circumstances under which statistical ecologists might…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-10 Matteo Fasiolo , Simon N. Wood

To address the challenges of reliable statistical inference in high-dimensional models, we introduce the Synthetic-data Regularized Estimator (SRE). Unlike traditional regularization methods, the SRE regularizes the complex target model via…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Weihao Li , Dongming Huang