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This paper forges a strong connection between two seemingly unrelated forecasting problems: incentive-compatible forecast elicitation and forecast aggregation. Proper scoring rules are the well-known solution to the former problem. To each…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Eric Neyman , Tim Roughgarden

Consider the task of matrix estimation in which a dataset $X \in \mathbb{R}^{n\times m}$ is observed with sparsity $p$, and we would like to estimate $\mathbb{E}[X]$, where $\mathbb{E}[X_{ui}] = f(\alpha_u, \beta_i)$ for some Holder smooth…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-28 Christina Lee Yu

Boolean matrix factorisation aims to decompose a binary data matrix into an approximate Boolean product of two low rank, binary matrices: one containing meaningful patterns, the other quantifying how the observations can be expressed as a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-28 Tammo Rukat , Chris C. Holmes , Michalis K. Titsias , Christopher Yau

In this note, we consider the problem of aggregation of estimators in order to denoise a signal. The main contribution is a short proof of the fact that the exponentially weighted aggregate satisfies a sharp oracle inequality. While this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-27 Arnak S. Dalalyan

In a Bayesian setting, inverse problems and uncertainty quantification (UQ) - the propagation of uncertainty through a computational (forward) model - are strongly connected. In the form of conditional expectation the Bayesian update…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-04-09 Alexander Litvinenko , Hermann G. Matthies

Matrix completion aims to predict missing elements in a partially observed data matrix which in typical applications, such as collaborative filtering, is large and extremely sparsely observed. A standard solution is matrix factorization,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-06 Xiangju Qin , Paul Blomstedt , Samuel Kaski

In an indirect Gaussian sequence space model lower and upper bounds are derived for the concentration rate of the posterior distribution of the parameter of interest shrinking to the parameter value $\theta^\circ$ that generates the data.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-03 Jan Johannes , Anna Simoni , Rudolf Schenk

Grover's algorithm, orginally conceived as a means of searching an unordered database, can also be used to extract solutions from the result sets generated by quantum computations. The Grover algorithm exploits the concept of an oracle…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-11-19 Fintan M. Bolton

We propose a couple of oracle construction methods for quantum pattern matching. We in turn show that one of the construct can be used with the Grover's search algorithm for exact and partial pattern matching, deterministically. The other…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-02-24 Vikram Menon , Ayan Chattopadhyay

Nonnegative matrix factorization can be used to automatically detect topics within a corpus in an unsupervised fashion. The technique amounts to an approximation of a nonnegative matrix as the product of two nonnegative matrices of lower…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-12-21 Michael R. Lindstrom , Xiaofu Ding , Feng Liu , Anand Somayajula , Deanna Needell

Bayesian model-based clustering is a widely applied procedure for discovering groups of related observations in a dataset. These approaches use Bayesian mixture models, estimated with MCMC, which provide posterior samples of the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-24 Ketong Wang , Michael D. Porter

In a Bayesian setting, inverse problems and uncertainty quantification (UQ) --- the propagation of uncertainty through a computational (forward) model --- are strongly connected. In the form of conditional expectation the Bayesian update…

In a general counting process setting, we consider the problem of obtaining a prognostic on the survival time adjusted on covariates in high-dimension. Towards this end, we construct an estimator of the whole conditional intensity. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-15 Sarah Lemler

Unlike matrix completion, tensor completion does not have an algorithm that is known to achieve the information-theoretic sample complexity rate. This paper develops a new algorithm for the special case of completion for nonnegative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Caleb Bugg , Chen Chen , Anil Aswani

Order effects occur when judgments about a hypothesis's probability given a sequence of information do not equal the probability of the same hypothesis when the information is reversed. Different experiments have been performed in the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-24 Catarina Moreira , Jose Acacio de Barros

The literature for count modeling provides useful tools to conduct causal inference when outcomes take non-negative integer values. Applied to the potential outcomes framework, we link the Bayesian causal inference literature to statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-10 Young Lee , Wicher P. Bergsma , Marie-Abele C. Bind

Motivated by emerging applications in machine learning, we consider an optimization problem in a general form where the gradient of the objective function is available through a biased stochastic oracle. We assume a bias-control parameter…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Yin Liu , Sam Davanloo Tajbakhsh

We consider online learning in an adversarial, non-convex setting under the assumption that the learner has an access to an offline optimization oracle. In the general setting of prediction with expert advice, Hazan et al. (2016)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-30 Naman Agarwal , Alon Gonen , Elad Hazan

Clustering algorithms may unintentionally propagate or intensify existing disparities, leading to unfair representations or biased decision-making. Current fair clustering methods rely on notions of fairness that do not capture any…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-15 Fritz Bayer , Drago Plecko , Niko Beerenwinkel , Jack Kuipers

We introduce a general approach to prove oracle properties in context tree selection. The results derive from a concentration condition that is verified, for example, by mixing processes. Moreover, we show the superiority of the oracle…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 A. Garivier , M. Lerasle
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