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Data assimilation combines prior (or background) information with observations to estimate the initial state of a dynamical system over a given time-window. A common application is in numerical weather prediction where a previous forecast…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-27 Coralia Cartis , Maha H. Kaouri , Amos S. Lawless , Nancy K. Nichols

Data assimilation plays a crucial role in modern weather prediction, providing a systematic way to incorporate observational data into complex dynamical models. The paper addresses continuous data assimilation for a model arising as a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Eduard Feireisl , Piotr Gwiazda , Agnieszka Świerczewska-Gwiazda

This study demonstrates how the incremental 4D-Var data assimilation method can be applied efficiently preconditione d in an application to an oceanographic problem. The approach consists in performing a few iterations of the reduced-order…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-09-19 Céline Robert , Eric Blayo , Jacques Verron

One of the goals of climate science is to characterize the statistics of extreme and potentially dangerous events in the present and future climate. Extreme events like heat waves, droughts, or floods due to persisting rains are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-08 Francesco Ragone , Freddy Bouchet

We introduce a data assimilation strategy aimed at accurately capturing key non-Gaussian structures in probability distributions using a small ensemble size. A major challenge in statistical forecasting of nonlinearly coupled multiscale…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Di Qi , Jian-Guo Liu

In atmospheric and turbulent flow modeling, Large Eddy Simulation (LES) is often used to reduce computational cost, while observational data typically originates from the underlying physical system. Motivated by this setting, we study a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Adam Larios , Ali Pakzad , Nicholas White

Using a very cheap Data Assimilation (DA) method, I show an alternative approach to classical DA for numerical climate models which produce a large amount of "big data". The problematic features of state-of-the-art high resolution Regional…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-12 Bijan Fallah

The accuracy of simulation-based forecasting in chaotic systems is heavily dependent on high-quality estimates of the system state at the time the forecast is initialized. Data assimilation methods are used to infer these initial conditions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Michael McCabe , Jed Brown

Data assimilation refers to the problem of finding trajectories of a prescribed dynamical model in such a way that the output of the model (usually some function of the model states) follows a given time series of observations. Typically…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-05-30 Jochen Bröcker , Ivan G. Szendro

Relevant comprehension of flood hazards has emerged as a crucial necessity, especially as the severity and the occurrence of flood events intensify with climate changes. Flood simulation and forecast capability have been greatly improved…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-18 Thanh Huy Nguyen , Anthéa Delmotte , Christophe Fatras , Peter Kettig , Andrea Piacentini , Sophie Ricci

We present a novel framework for assimilating planar PIV experimental data using a variational approach to enhance the predictions of the Spalart-Allmaras RANS turbulence model. Our method applies three-dimensional constraints to the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-27 Uttam Cadambi Padmanaban , Bharathram Ganapathisubramani , Sean Symon

Wind speed at sea surface is a key quantity for a variety of scientific applications and human activities. Due to the non-linearity of the phenomenon, a complete description of such variable is made infeasible on both the small scale and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Matteo Zambra , Nicolas Farrugia , Dorian Cazau , Alexandre Gensse , Ronan Fablet

This paper enhances the classic Smagorinsky model by introducing an innovative, adaptive dissipation term that adjusts dynamically with distance from boundary regions. This modification addresses a known limitation of the standard model…

We discuss the discrete data assimilation problem for the 3D viscous primitive equations arising in the modeling of large scale phenomena in oceanic dynamics. Our main result states possibility of asymptotically reliable prognosis based on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-08-08 Igor Chueshov

In applications such as free-space optical communication, a signal is often recovered after propagation through a turbulent medium. In this setting, it is common to assume that limited information is known about the turbulent medium, such…

Optics · Physics 2025-10-13 Anjali Nair , Qin Li , Samuel N. Stechmann

Recent extreme value theory literature has seen significant emphasis on the modelling of spatial extremes, with comparatively little consideration of spatio-temporal extensions. This neglects an important feature of extreme events: their…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Emma S. Simpson , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

An alternative data-driven modeling approach has been proposed and employed to gain fundamental insights into robot motion interaction with granular terrain at certain length scales. The approach is based on an integration of dimension…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Guanjin Wang , Xiangxue Zhao , Shapour Azarm , Balakumar Balachandran

Variational Data Assimilation (DA) has enabled huge improvements in the skill of operational weather forecasting. In this study, we use a simple solar-wind propagation model to develop the first solar-wind variational DA scheme. This scheme…

Space Physics · Physics 2018-10-19 Matthew Lang , Mathew Owens

Continuous data assimilation addresses time-dependent problems with unknown initial conditions by incorporating observations of the solution into a nudging term. For the prototypical heat equation with variable conductivity and the Neumann…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Vladimir Yushutin

Data assimilation is the process to fuse information from priors, observations of nature, and numerical models, in order to obtain best estimates of the parameters or state of a physical system of interest. Presence of large errors in some…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-11-06 Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu , Michael Ng , Elias Nino-Ruiz