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Bayesian disease mapping, yet if undeniably useful to describe variation in risk over time and space, comes with the hurdle of prior elicitation on hard-to-interpret random effect precision parameters. We introduce a reparametrized version…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-20 Maria Franco-Villoria , Massimo Ventrucci , Håvard Rue

Sampling-based planning is the predominant paradigm for motion planning in robotics. Most sampling-based planners use a global random sampling scheme to guarantee probabilistic completeness. However, most schemes are often inefficient as…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Tin Lai , Philippe Morere , Fabio Ramos , Gilad Francis

Current methods for learning graphical models with latent variables and a fixed structure estimate optimal values for the model parameters. Whereas this approach usually produces overfitting and suboptimal generalization performance,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Hagai Attias

Structural transformation, the shift from agrarian economies to more diversified industrial and service-based systems, is a key driver of economic development. However, in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), data scarcity and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-02 Ronald Katende

This paper devises a fully Bayesian sample size determination method for hierarchical model-based small area estimation with a decision risk approach. A new loss function specified around a desired maximum posterior variance target…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-27 Peter Dutey-Magni

Application of interpretable machine learning techniques on medical datasets facilitate early and fast diagnoses, along with getting deeper insight into the data. Furthermore, the transparency of these models increase trust among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Sreejita Ghosh , Elizabeth S. Baranowski , Michael Biehl , Wiebke Arlt , Peter Tino , Kerstin Bunte

When modelling HIV epidemics, it is important to incorporate set-point viral load and its heritability. As set-point viral load distributions can differ significantly amongst epidemics, it is imperative to account for the observed local…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-28 Pieter Libin , Laurens Hernalsteen , Kristof Theys , Perpetua Gomes , Ana Abecasis , Ann Nowe

The transmission dynamics of an epidemic are rarely homogeneous. Super-spreading events and super-spreading individuals are two types of heterogeneous transmissibility. Inference of super-spreading is commonly carried out on secondary case…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-23 Hannah Craddock , Simon EF Spencer , Xavier Didelot

We describe a diffeomorphic registration algorithm that allows groups of images to be accurately aligned to a common space, which we intend to incorporate into the SPM software. The idea is to perform inference in a probabilistic graphical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-10 Mikael Brudfors , Yaël Balbastre , Guillaume Flandin , Parashkev Nachev , John Ashburner

It has become increasingly common to collect high-dimensional binary response data; for example, with the emergence of new sampling techniques in ecology. In smaller dimensions, multivariate probit (MVP) models are routinely used for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-26 Antik Chakraborty , Rihui Ou , David B. Dunson

Bayesian inverse problems use observed data to update a prior probability distribution for an unknown state or parameter of a scientific system to a posterior distribution conditioned on the data. In many applications, the unknown parameter…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Josie König , Elizabeth Qian , Melina A. Freitag

Spatial maps of extreme precipitation are crucial in flood protection. With the aim of producing maps of precipitation return levels, we propose a novel approach to model a collection of spatially distributed time series where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-27 Federica Stolf , Antonio Canale

In this paper, we propose a Bayesian matrix-variate spatiotemporal modeling framework for jointly analyzing multiple response variables observed at spatial locations over time. The approach relaxes the standard assumption of spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Rodrigo de Souza Bulhões , Marina Silva Paez , Dani Gamerman

Statistical models used to estimate the spatio-temporal pattern in disease risk from areal unit data represent the risk surface for each time period with known covariates and a set of spatially smooth random effects. The latter act as a…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-19 Alastair Rushworth , Duncan Lee , Christophe Sarran

In the context of structural health monitoring (SHM), the selection and extraction of damage-sensitive features from raw sensor recordings represent a critical step towards solving the inverse problem underlying the identification of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Matteo Torzoni , Andrea Manzoni , Stefano Mariani

Many cognitive neuroscience studies use large feature sets to predict and interpret brain activity patterns. Feature sets take many forms, from human stimulus annotations to representations in deep neural networks. Of crucial importance in…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-12-07 Anna A. Ivanova , Martin Schrimpf , Stefano Anzellotti , Noga Zaslavsky , Evelina Fedorenko , Leyla Isik

It is often of interest to combine available estimates of a similar quantity from multiple data sources. When the corresponding variances of each estimate are also available, a model should take into account the uncertainty of the estimates…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-17 Yujing Yao , R. Todd Ogden , Chubing Zeng , Qixuan Chen

B-spline-based hidden Markov models employ B-splines to specify the emission distributions, offering a more flexible modelling approach to data than conventional parametric HMMs. We introduce a Bayesian framework for inference, enabling the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-03 Sida Chen , Bärbel Finkenstädt Rand

Many scientific models are composed of multiple discrete components, and scientists often make heuristic decisions about which components to include. Bayesian inference provides a mathematical framework for systematically selecting model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-31 Cornelius Schröder , Jakob H. Macke

Well-established methods for the solution of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) typically struggle in problems with high-dimensional inputs/outputs. Such difficulties are only amplified in large-scale applications where even…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-10 Constantin Grigo , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis
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