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Related papers: Long memory and multifractality: A joint test

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We present statistical tests for the continuous martingale hypothesis. That is, whether an observed process is a continuous local martingale, or equivalently a continuous time-changed Brownian motion. Our technique is based on the concept…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-30 Owen D. Jones , David A. Rolls

In this paper, we show that the adaptive multidimensional increment ratio estimator of the long range memory parameter defined in Bardet and Dola (2012) satisfies a central limit theorem (CLT in the sequel) for a large semiparametric class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-19 Jean-Marc Bardet , Béchir Dola

In this paper, we present the results of Monte Carlo simulations for two popular techniques of long-range correlations detection - classical and modified rescaled range analyses. A focus is put on an effect of different distributional…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-24 Ladislav Kristoufek

In this letter we have analyzed the temporal correlations of the angle-of-arrival fluctuations of stellar images. Experimentally measured data were carefully examined by implementing multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis. This…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-07-19 Luciano Zunino , Damián Gulich , Gustavo Funes , Aziz Ziad

There is more and more empirical evidence that multifractality constitutes another and perhaps the most significant financial stylized fact. A realistic model of the financial dynamics should therefore incorporate this effect. The most…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 P. Oswiecimka , J. Kwapien , S. Drozdz , A. Z. Gorski , R. Rak

Identifying and quantifying memory are often critical steps in developing a mechanistic understanding of stochastic processes. These are particularly challenging and necessary when exploring processes that exhibit long-range correlations.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-04-20 Sarah E. Marzen , James P. Crutchfield

In this work we propose a new class of long-memory models with time-varying fractional parameter. In particular, the dynamics of the long-memory coefficient, $d$, is specified through a stochastic recurrence equation driven by the score of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-19 Luisa Bisaglia , Matteo Grigoletto

The fractional difference operator remains to be the most popular mechanism to generate long memory due to the existence of efficient algorithms for their simulation and forecasting. Nonetheless, there is no theoretical argument linking the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-25 J. Eduardo Vera-Valdés

Distinguishing long-memory behaviour from nonstationarity is challenging, as both produce slowly decaying sample autocovariances. Existing stationarity tests either fail to account for long-memory processes or exhibit poor empirical size,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Mohamedou Ould Haye , Anne Philippe

It is empirically established that order flow in the financial markets is positively auto-correlated and can serve as an example of a social system with long-range memory. Nevertheless, widely used long-range memory estimators give varying…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-02 Vygintas Gontis

We present a systematic study of various statistical characteristics of high-frequency returns from the foreign exchange market. This study is based on six exchange rates forming two triangles: EUR-GBP-USD and GBP-CHF-JPY. It is shown that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-24 Stanislaw Drozdz , Jaroslaw Kwapien , Pawel Oswiecimka , Rafal Rak

The intraday pattern, long memory, and multifractal nature of the intertrade durations, which are defined as the waiting times between two consecutive transactions, are investigated based upon the limit order book data and order flows of 23…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-18 Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wei Chen , Wei-Xing Zhou

An important problem in time series analysis is the discrimination between non-stationarity and longrange dependence. Most of the literature considers the problem of testing specific parametric hypotheses of non-stationarity (such as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-19 Philip Preuß , Kemal Sen , Holger Dette

Permutation tests are a powerful and flexible approach to inference via resampling. As computational methods become more ubiquitous in the statistics curriculum, use of permutation tests has become more tractable. At the heart of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-09 Johanna Hardin , Lauren Quesada , Julie Ye , Nicholas J. Horton

The creativity and emergence of biological and psychological behavior are nonlinear. However, that does not necessarily mean only that the measurements of the behaviors are curvilinear. Furthermore, the linear model might fail to reduce…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-05-28 Damian G. Kelty-Stephen , Elizabeth Lane , Madhur Mangalam

In many modern applications, a dependent functional response is observed for each subject over repeated time, leading to longitudinal functional data. In this paper, we propose a novel statistical procedure to test whether the mean function…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Salil Koner , So Young Park , Ana-Maria Staicu

We study quantitatively the level of false multifractal signal one may encounter while analyzing multifractal phenomena in time series within multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA). The investigated effect appears as a result…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-16 Dariusz Grech , Grzegorz Pamuła

A multivariate mixed-effects model seems to be the most appropriate for gene expression data collected in a crossover trial. It is, however, difficult to obtain reliable results using standard statistical inference when some responses are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-12 Savita Pareek , Kalyan Das , Siuli Mukhopadhyay

This paper studies the error metric selection for long-term memory learning in sequence modelling. We examine the bias towards short-term memory in commonly used errors, including mean absolute/squared error. Our findings show that all…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-24 Shida Wang , Zhanglu Yan

The issue addressed in this paper is that of testing for common breaks across or within equations of a multivariate system. Our framework is very general and allows integrated regressors and trends as well as stationary regressors. The null…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-12 Tatsushi Oka , Pierre Perron