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Statistical methodology for the design and analysis of clinical Phase II dose response studies, with related software implementation, are well developed for the case of a normally distributed, homoscedastic response considered for a single…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-09 José Pinheiro , Björn Bornkamp , Ekkehard Glimm , Frank Bretz

Clinical trials constitute a critical yet exceptionally challenging and costly stage of drug development (\$2.6B per drug), where protocols are encoded as complex natural language documents, motivating the use of AI systems beyond manual…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Sixue Xing , Kerui Wu , Xuanye Xia , Meng Jiang , Jintai Chen , Tianfan Fu

Traditional accelerated life test plans are typically based on optimizing the C-optimality for minimizing the variance of an interested quantile of the lifetime distribution. The traditional methods rely on some specified planning values…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-04 Lu Lu , I-Chen Lee , Yili Hong

The question of selecting the "best" amongst different choices is a common problem in statistics. In drug development, our motivating setting, the question becomes, for example: what is the dose that gives me a pre-specified risk of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-15 Pavel Mozgunov , Thomas Jaki

The commonplace description of phase 1 clinical trials in oncology as "primarily concerned with safety" is belied by their near universal adoption of dose-escalation practices which are inherently unsafe. In contrast with dose titration,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-28 David C. Norris

Model-assisted designs have garnered significant attention in recent years due to their high accuracy in identifying the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) and their operational simplicity. To identify the MTD, they employ estimated dose limiting…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-19 Rentaro Wakayama , Tomotaka Momozaki , Shuji Ando

Optimal block designs in small blocks are explored when the treatments have a natural ordering and interest lies in comparing consecutive pairs of treatments. We first develop an approximate theory which leads to a convenient multiplicative…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-20 S. Huda , Rahul Mukerjee

Identification of optimal dose combinations in early phase dose-finding trials is challenging, due to the trade-off between precisely estimating the many parameters required to flexibly model the possibly non-monotonic dose-response…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 James Willard , Shirin Golchi , Erica E. M. Moodie , Bruno Boulanger , Bradley P. Carlin

Computational methods in drug repositioning can help to conserve resources. In particular, methods based on biological networks are showing promise. Considering only the network topology and knowledge on drug target genes is not sufficient…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-02 Atte Aalto , La Mi , Diego A. Blanco-Mora , Jorge Goncalves

The experimental design problem concerns the selection of k points from a potentially large design pool of p-dimensional vectors, so as to maximize the statistical efficiency regressed on the selected k design points. Statistical efficiency…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Zeyuan Allen-Zhu , Yuanzhi Li , Aarti Singh , Yining Wang

Cancer is one of the most common diseases worldwide, posing a serious threat to human health and leading to the deaths of a large number of people. It was observed during the drug administration in chemotherapy that immune cells, cancer…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-20 SeyedMehdi Abtahi , Mojtaba Sharifi

An accurately identified maximum tolerated dose (MTD) serves as the cornerstone of successful subsequent phases in oncology drug development. Bayesian logistic regression model (BLRM) is a popular and versatile model-based dose-finding…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-17 Hongtao Zhang , Alan Y Chiang , Jixian Wang

Due to ethical and economical reasons, sequential single-arm trial designs are used for assessing the therapeutic efficacy of new treatments in phase II trials. Simon's 2-stage design and Lan-DeMets' $\alpha$-spending function method with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-31 Tasuku Inao , Isao Yokota

Tumor response, a binary variable, has historically been the main measure of antitumor activity for many cancer phase II single-arm trials. Simon two-stage designs are often used. Sargent et al. proposed a three-outcome trial design in this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-20 Minghua Shan

In longitudinal studies, we observe measurements of the same variables at different time points to track the changes in their pattern over time. In such studies, scheduling of the data collection waves (i.e. time of participants' visits) is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-30 Li Xing , Xuekui Zhang , Ardo van den Hout , Scott Hofer , Graciela Muniz Terrera

Benchmark dose analysis aims to estimate the level of exposure to a toxin that results in a clinically-significant adverse outcome and quantifies uncertainty using the lower limit of a confidence interval for this level. We develop a novel…

Mechanistic mathematical models of biological systems usually contain a number of unknown parameters whose values need to be estimated from available experimental data in order for the models to be validated and used to make quantitative…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-16 Yue Liu , Philip K. Maini , Ruth E. Baker

We consider the sequential experimental design problem in the predict-then-optimize paradigm. In this paradigm, the outputs of the prediction model are used as coefficient vectors in a downstream linear optimization problem. Traditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-06 Beichen Wan , Mo Liu , Paul Grigas , Zuo-Jun Max Shen

The e-value is gaining traction as a robust alternative to p-values and Bayes factors for quantifying statistical evidence. e-values are a promising method for adaptive clinical trials due to their anytime-validity: e-values ensure type I…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-28 Stef Baas , Judith ter Schure , Joost van Rosmalen

Optimal experimental designs are probability measures with finite support enjoying an optimality property for the computation of least squares estimators. We present an algorithm for computing optimal designs on finite sets based on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-11 Federico Piazzon