Related papers: Black-Litterman model with intuitionistic fuzzy po…
We analyse a preferential urn model with randomness using the replica method. The preferential urn model is a stochastic model based on the concept "the rich get richer." The replica analysis clarifies that the preferential urn model with…
In this paper we establish a link between fuzzy and preferential semantics for description logics and Self-Organising Maps, which have been proposed as possible candidates to explain the psychological mechanisms underlying category…
Optimizing high-dimensional black-box functions under black-box constraints is a pervasive task in a wide range of scientific and engineering problems. These problems are typically harder than unconstrained problems due to hard-to-find…
Low Back Pain (LBP) is a common medical condition that deprives many individuals worldwide of their normal routine activities. In the absence of external biomarkers, diagnosis of LBP is quite challenging. It requires dealing with several…
We analyze the problem of sequential probability assignment for binary outcomes with side information and logarithmic loss, where regret---or, redundancy---is measured with respect to a (possibly infinite) class of experts. We provide upper…
In this paper we deal with a new approach to probabilistic reasoning in a logical framework. Nearly almost all logics of probability that have been proposed in the literature are based on classical two-valued logic. After making clear the…
We propose a new mathematical framework for the evolution and propagation of opinions, called Fuzzy Opinion Network, which is the connection of a number of Gaussian Nodes, possibly through some weighted average, time-delay or logic…
In this paper, we propose a novel heuristic algorithm for constructing a Type-2 Fuzzy Set of the Linear Linguistic Regression (T2F-LLR) model, designed to address uncertainty and vagueness in real-world decision-making. We consider a…
We derive a closed form portfolio optimization rule for an investor who is diffident about mean return and volatility estimates, and has a CRRA utility. The novelty is that confidence is here represented using ellipsoidal uncertainty sets…
We introduce fractional Brownian motion processes (fBm) as an alternative model for the turbulent index of refraction. These processes allow to reconstruct most of the index properties, but they are not differentiable. We overcome the…
There has been much recent interest in modifying Bayesian inference for misspecified models so that it is useful for specific purposes. One popular modified Bayesian inference method is "cutting feedback" which can be used when the model…
This paper considers properties of an optimization based sampler for targeting the posterior distribution when the likelihood is intractable and auxiliary statistics are used to summarize information in the data. Our reverse sampler…
In this paper, we study the recovery of the Hurst parameter from a given discrete sample of fractional Brownian motion with statistical inverse theory. In particular, we show that in the limit the posteriori distribution of the parameter…
Posterior predictive p-values are a common approach to Bayesian model-checking. This article analyses their frequency behaviour, that is, their distribution when the parameters and the data are drawn from the prior and the model…
Predictive Bayesian inference (PBI) represents a model-and prior-agnostic approach to standard Bayesian inference which allows users to quantify uncertainty for a functional of interest only by specifying a forward predictive model for…
For a multi-attribute decision making (MADM) problem, the information of alternatives under different attributes is given in the form of intuitionistic fuzzy number(IFN). Intuitionistic fuzzy set (IFS) plays an important role in dealing…
A multivariate fractional Brownian motion (mfBm) with component-wise Hurst exponents is used to model and forecast realized volatility. We investigate the interplay between correlation coefficients and Hurst exponents and propose a novel…
Modeling human ratings data subject to raters' decision uncertainty is an attractive problem in applied statistics. In view of the complex interplay between emotion and decision making in rating processes, final raters' choices seldom…
Intuitionistic fuzzy Banach algebra is introduced and a few properties of it is studied. The properties of invertible elements and relation among invertible elements, open set, closed set are emphasized. Topological divisors of zero is…
Probabilistic Latent Tensor Factorization (PLTF) is a recently proposed probabilistic framework for modelling multi-way data. Not only the common tensor factorization models but also any arbitrary tensor factorization structure can be…