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Latent variable time-series models are among the most heavily used tools from machine learning and applied statistics. These models have the advantage of learning latent structure both from noisy observations and from the temporal ordering…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-24 Evan Archer , Il Memming Park , Lars Buesing , John Cunningham , Liam Paninski

In this paper, we consider the basic problem of portfolio construction in financial engineering, and analyze how market-based and analytical approaches can be combined to obtain efficient portfolios. As a first step in our analysis, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Burak Kocuk , Gérard Cornuéjols

In the study of investment problem, aside from the investment risk the background risk appears. Both the investment risk and the background risk are probabilistically described by random variables. This paper starts from the hypothesis that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-31 Irina Georgescu

In line with the increasing attention paid to deal with uncertainty in ordinal data models, we propose to combine Fuzzy models with \cub models within questionnaire analysis. In particular, the focus will be on \cub models' uncertainty…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-22 E. Di Nardo , R. Simone

This paper develops a model of reference-dependent assessment of subjective beliefs in which loss-averse people optimally choose the expectation as the reference point to balance the current felicity from the optimistic anticipation and the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-14 Si Chen

In this paper, a new method based on TOPSIS and optimization models is proposed for multi-attribute group decision-making in the environment of interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets.Firstly, by minimizing the sum of differences between…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Qixiao Hu , Shiquan Zhang , Chaolang Hu , Yuetong Liu

In this paper, notion of p - norm generalized trapezoidal intuitionistic fuzzy numbers is introduced. A new ranking method is introduced for p - norm generalized trapezoidal intuitionistic fuzzy numbers. Also we consider linear programming…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Shashi Aggarwal , Chavi Gupta

We study the inverse problem of recovering the order and the diffusion coefficient of an elliptic fractional partial differential equation from a finite number of noisy observations of the solution. We work in a Bayesian framework and show…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-06-28 Nicolas Garcia Trillos , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

Prediction sets offer a binary inclusion/exclusion for each element at the same fixed confidence level. We generalize to fuzzy prediction sets, which exclude elements at their own data-driven confidence level. Our key insight is that a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Nick W. Koning , Sam van Meer

We reconsider the problem of option pricing using historical probability distributions. We first discuss how the risk-minimisation scheme proposed recently is an adequate starting point under the realistic assumption that price increments…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Potters

This paper discusses a class of uncertain optimization problems, in which unknown parameters are modeled by fuzzy intervals. The membership functions of the fuzzy intervals are interpreted as possibility distributions for the values of the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

We propose a mathematical model for the word-of-mouth communications among stock investors through social networks and explore how the changes of the investors' social networks influence the stock price dynamics and vice versa. An investor…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-22 Li-Xin Wang

A new approach for uncertainty management for fuzzy, rule based decision support systems is proposed: The domain expert's knowledge is expressed by a set of rules that frequently refer to vague and uncertain propositions. The certainty of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Christoph F. Eick

In case of decision making problems, classification of pattern is a complex and crucial task. Pattern classification using multilayer perceptron (MLP) trained with back propagation learning becomes much complex with increase in number of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-01-15 Tirtharaj Dash , H. S. Behera

Methods for analyzing or learning from "fuzzy data" have attracted increasing attention in recent years. In many cases, however, existing methods (for precise, non-fuzzy data) are extended to the fuzzy case in an ad-hoc manner, and without…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-10 Eyke Hüllermeier

We consider a class of linear ill-posed inverse problems arising from inversion of a compact operator with singular values which decay exponentially to zero. We adopt a Bayesian approach, assuming a Gaussian prior on the unknown function.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-09 Sergios Agapiou , Andrew M. Stuart , Yuan-Xiang Zhang

Based on criteria of mathematical simplicity and consistency with empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model is constructed, the volatility process being driven by fractional noise. Price return statistics and asymptotic behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Rui Vilela Mendes , M. J. Oliveira

With the rapid advancement of large language models (LLMs), natural language processing (NLP) has achieved remarkable progress. Nonetheless, significant challenges remain in handling texts with ambiguity, polysemy, or uncertainty. We…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Ping Chen , Xiang Liu , Zhaoxiang Liu , Zezhou Chen , Xingpeng Zhang , Huan Hu , Zipeng Wang , Kai Wang , Shuming Shi , Shiguo Lian

This paper shows that the fuzzy temporal logic can model figures of thought to describe decision-making behaviors. In order to exemplify, some economic behaviors observed experimentally were modeled from problems of choice containing time,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-18 José Cláudio do Nascimento

Impact of chosen behavioural factors on imprecision of present value is discussed here. The formal model of behavioural present value is offered as a result of this discussion. Behavioural present value is described here by fuzzy set. These…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-11 Krzysztof Piasecki