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Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) allow us to propagate uncertainties in the coefficients of differential equations to the statistics of their solutions. Their main advantage is that they replace stochastic equations by systems of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-25 H. Cagan Ozen , Guillaume Bal

Generalized Polynomial Chaos (gPC) theory has been widely used for representing parametric uncertainty in a system, thanks to its ability to propagate uncertainty evolution. In an optimal control context, gPC can be combined with several…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Yuichiro Aoyama , Augustinos D. Saravanos , Evangelos A. Theodorou

The post-Moore era casts a shadow of uncertainty on many aspects of computer system design. Managing that uncertainty requires new algorithmic tools to make quantitative assessments. While prior uncertainty quantification methods, such as…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-22 Zichang He , Weilong Cui , Chunfeng Cui , Timothy Sherwood , Zheng Zhang

This paper proposes a general framework to estimate coefficients of generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) used in uncertainty quantification via rotational sparse approximation. In particular, we aim to identify a rotation matrix such that the…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-20 Mengqi Hu , Yifei Lou , Xiu Yang

Robustness analysis is very important in biology and neuroscience, to unravel behavioural patterns of systems that are conserved despite large parametric uncertainties. To make studies of probabilistic robustness more efficient and scalable…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-08 Uros Sutulovic , Daniele Proverbio , Rami Katz , Giulia Giordano

Generalized Polynomial Chaos (gPC) expansions are well established for forward uncertainty propagation in many application areas. Although the associated computational effort may be reduced in comparison to Monte Carlo techniques, for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-07-26 Niklas Georg , Ulrich Römer

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a classical and widely used surrogate modeling technique in physical simulation and uncertainty quantification. By taking a linear combination of a set of basis polynomials - orthonormal with respect to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Johannes Exenberger , Sascha Ranftl , Robert Peharz

We first investigate the structure of the systems derived from the gPC based stochastic Galerkin method for the nonlinear hyperbolic systems with random inputs. This method adopts a generalized Polynomial Chaos (gPC) approximations in the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-01-27 Zhenning Cai , Ruo Li , Yanli Wang

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a versatile tool widely used in uncertainty quantification and machine learning, but its successful application depends strongly on the accuracy and reliability of the resulting PCE-based response…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-14 Paul-Christian Bürkner , Ilja Kröker , Sergey Oladyshkin , Wolfgang Nowak

This work proposes a method for sparse polynomial chaos (PC) approximation of high-dimensional stochastic functions based on non-adapted random sampling. We modify the standard l1 -minimization algorithm, originally proposed in the context…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Ji Peng , Jerrad Hampton , Alireza Doostan

Presence of a high-dimensional stochastic parameter space with discontinuities poses major computational challenges in analyzing and quantifying the effects of the uncertainties in a physical system. In this paper, we propose a stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Anindya Bhaduri , Yanyan He , Michael D. Shields , Lori Graham-Brady , Robert M. Kirby

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are widely used for uncertainty quantification (UQ) tasks, particularly in the applied mathematics community. However, PCE has received comparatively less attention in the statistics literature, and fully…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-30 Kellin N. Rumsey , Devin Francom , Graham C. Gibson , J. Derek Tucker , Gabriel Huerta

We present an enriched formulation of the Least Squares (LSQ) regression method for Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) using generalised polynomial chaos (gPC). More specifically, we enrich the linear system with additional equations for the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-08-09 Kyriakos D. Kantarakias , George Papadakis

This paper deals with some of the methodologies used to construct polynomial surrogate models based on generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) expansions for applications to uncertainty quantification (UQ) in aerodynamic computations. A core…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-03-14 Eric Savin , Andrea Resmini , Jacques Peter

It is known that standard stochastic Galerkin methods face challenges when solving partial differential equations (PDEs) with random inputs. These challenges are typically attributed to the large number of required physical basis functions…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-27 Guanjie Wang , Qifeng Liao

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a powerful surrogate model-based reliability analysis method. Generally, a PCE model with a higher expansion order is usually required to obtain an accurate surrogate model for some complex non-linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Xiaohu Zheng , Wen Yao , Yunyang Zhang , Xiaoya Zhang

It is known that standard stochastic Galerkin methods encounter challenges when solving partial differential equations with high-dimensional random inputs, which are typically caused by the large number of stochastic basis functions…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Guanjie Wang , Smita Sahu , Qifeng Liao

This paper introduces a new generalized polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) comprising measure-consistent multivariate orthonormal polynomials in dependent random variables. Unlike existing PCEs, whether classical or generalized, no…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Sharif Rahman

Dimensionally decomposed generalized polynomial chaos expansion (DD-GPCE) efficiently performs forward uncertainty quantification (UQ) in complex engineering systems with high-dimensional random inputs of arbitrary distributions. However,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Hojun Choi , Eunho Heo , Dongjin Lee

In complex and unknown processes, global models are initially generated over the entire experimental space but often fail to provide accurate predictions in local areas. A common approach is to use local models, which requires partitioning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Dominik Polke , Tim Kösters , Elmar Ahle , Dirk Söffker
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