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We introduce graphical time series models for the analysis of dynamic relationships among variables in multivariate time series. The modelling approach is based on the notion of strong Granger causality and can be applied to time series…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-18 Michael Eichler

Representing the conditional independences present in a multivariate random vector via graphs has found widespread use in applications, and such representations are popularly known as graphical models or Markov random fields. These models…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-02 David Montague , Bala Rajaratnam

A graphical model encodes conditional independence relations via the Markov properties. For an undirected graph these conditional independence relations can be represented by a simple polytope known as the graph associahedron, which can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-08 Fatemeh Mohammadi , Caroline Uhler , Charles Wang , Josephine Yu

A Markov network characterizes the conditional independence structure, or Markov property, among a set of random variables. Existing work focuses on specific families of distributions (e.g., exponential families) and/or certain structures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-22 Yujia Zheng , Ignavier Ng , Yewen Fan , Kun Zhang

We analyze the properties of degree-preserving Markov chains based on elementary edge switchings in undirected and directed graphs. We give exact yet simple formulas for the mobility of a graph (the number of possible moves) in terms of its…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2012-03-12 E. S. Roberts , A. Annibale , A. C. C. Coolen

We show that, for generative classifiers, conditional independence corresponds to linear constraints for the induced discrimination functions. Discrimination functions of undirected Markov network classifiers can thus be characterized by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-13 Gherardo Varando , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga , Eva Riccomagno

We propose generalizations of a number of standard network models, including the classic random graph, the configuration model, and the stochastic block model, to the case of time-varying networks. We assume that the presence and absence of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-05-02 Xiao Zhang , Cristopher Moore , M. E. J. Newman

We derive an explicit link between Gaussian Markov random fields on metric graphs and graphical models, and in particular show that a Markov random field restricted to the vertices of the graph is, under mild regularity conditions, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-08 David Bolin , Alexandre B. Simas , Jonas Wallin

Markov models lie at the interface between statistical independence in a probability distribution and graph separation properties. We review model selection and estimation in directed and undirected Markov models with Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-03 Irene Córdoba , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga

Graphical models express conditional independence relationships among variables. Although methods for vector-valued data are well established, functional data graphical models remain underdeveloped. We introduce a notion of conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-06 Hongxiao Zhu , Nate Strawn , David B. Dunson

Neural network design has utilized flexible nonlinear processes which can mimic biological systems, but has suffered from a lack of traceability in the resulting network. Graphical probabilistic models ground network design in probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-19 Kenric P. Nelson , Madalina Barbu , Brian J. Scannell

Real causal processes may contain feedback loops and change over time. In this paper, we model cycles and non-stationary distributions using a mixture of directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). We then study the conditional independence (CI)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-16 Eric V. Strobl

We introduce a novel class of graphical models, termed profile graphical models, that represent, within a single graph, how an external factor influences the dependence structure of a multivariate set of variables. This class is quite…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco , Monia Lupparelli , Francesco C. Stingo

Acyclic directed mixed graphs (ADMGs) are graphs that contain directed ($\rightarrow$) and bidirected ($\leftrightarrow$) edges, subject to the constraint that there are no cycles of directed edges. Such graphs may be used to represent the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-15 Robin J. Evans , Thomas S. Richardson

Constraint-based causal discovery algorithms utilize many statistical tests for conditional independence to uncover networks of causal dependencies. These approaches to causal discovery rely on an assumed correspondence between the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Bijan Mazaheri , Jiaqi Zhang , Caroline Uhler

Consider longitudinal networks whose edges turn on and off according to a discrete-time Markov chain with exponential-family transition probabilities. We characterize when their joint distributions are also exponential families with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 William K. Schwartz , Sonja Petrović , Hemanshu Kaul

Decomposable graphs are known for their tedious and complicated Markov update steps. Instead of modelling them directly, this work introduces a class of tree-dependent bipartite graphs that span the projective space of decomposable graphs.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-11 Mohamad Elmasri

Graphical models have proven to be powerful tools for representing high-dimensional systems of random variables. One example of such a model is the undirected graph, in which lack of an edge represents conditional independence between two…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-11 Dhafer Malouche , Bala Rajaratnam , Benjamin T. Rolfs

The invariance properties of interventional distributions relative to the observational distribution, and how these properties allow us to refine Markov equivalence classes (MECs) of DAGs, is central to causal DAG discovery algorithms that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-09 Liam Solus

Inferring the causal structure that links n observables is usually based upon detecting statistical dependences and choosing simple graphs that make the joint measure Markovian. Here we argue why causal inference is also possible when only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-04-24 Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Schoelkopf