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In this paper, we propose a filtering algorithm for simultaneously estimating the mode, input and state of hidden mode switched linear stochastic systems with unknown inputs. Using a multiple-model approach with a bank of linear input and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Sze Zheng Yong , Minghui Zhu , Emilio Frazzoli

In this paper we present a discussion of the basic aspects of the well-known problem of prediction and inference in physics, with specific attention to the role of models, the use of data and the application of recent developments in…

General Physics · Physics 2024-10-07 Luca Gammaitoni , Angelo Vulpiani

Active inference is a theory that underpins the way biological agent's perceive and act in the real world. At its core, active inference is based on the principle that the brain is an approximate Bayesian inference engine, building an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-03-09 Ozan Çatal , Samuel Wauthier , Tim Verbelen , Cedric De Boom , Bart Dhoedt

In this paper we consider sparse and identifiable linear latent variable (factor) and linear Bayesian network models for parsimonious analysis of multivariate data. We propose a computationally efficient method for joint parameter and model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-06-24 Ricardo Henao , Ole Winther

A core problem in machine learning is to learn expressive latent variables for model prediction on complex data that involves multiple sub-components in a flexible and interpretable fashion. Here, we develop an approach that improves…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Yi-Lin Tuan , Zih-Yun Chiu , William Yang Wang

Noise poses a challenge for learning dynamical-system models because already small variations can distort the dynamics described by trajectory data. This work builds on operator inference from scientific machine learning to infer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-27 Wayne Isaac Tan Uy , Yuepeng Wang , Yuxiao Wen , Benjamin Peherstorfer

This thesis studies two problems in modern statistics. First, we study selective inference, or inference for hypothesis that are chosen after looking at the data. The motiving application is inference for regression coefficients selected by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-02 Jason D. Lee

There is growing interest in using machine learning (ML) methods for structural metamodeling due to the substantial computational cost of traditional simulations. Purely data-driven strategies often face limitations in model robustness,…

Applied Physics · Physics 2024-04-30 R. Bailey Bond , Pu Ren , Jerome F. Hajjar , Hao Sun

Our predictions for particle physics processes are realized in a chain of complex simulators. They allow us to generate high-fidelity simulated data, but they are not well-suited for inference on the theory parameters with observed data. We…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-11-03 Johann Brehmer , Kyle Cranmer

Numerous process discovery techniques exist for generating process models that describe recorded executions of business processes. The models are meant to generalize executions into human-understandable modeling patterns, notably…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Dennis Brons , Roeland Scheepens , Dirk Fahland

State estimation for nonlinear dynamical systems is a critical challenge in control and engineering applications, particularly when only partial and noisy measurements are available. This paper introduces a novel Adaptive Physics-Informed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Ayoub Farkane , Mohamed Boutayeb , Mustapha Oudani , Mounir Ghogho

Motion sensing and tracking with IMU data is essential for spatial intelligence, which however is challenging due to the presence of time-varying stochastic bias. IMU bias is affected by various factors such as temperature and vibration,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Shenghao Zhou , Saimouli Katragadda , Guoquan Huang

Hidden semi-Markov models (HSMMs) are latent variable models which allow latent state persistence and can be viewed as a generalization of the popular hidden Markov models (HMMs). In this paper, we introduce a novel spectral algorithm to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-01 Igor Melnyk , Arindam Banerjee

Identifying the dynamical state variables of a system from high-dimensional observations is a central problem across physical sciences. The challenge is that the state variables are not directly observable and must be inferred from raw…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-04-28 K. Michael Martini , Eslam Abdelaleem , Paarth Gulati , Ilya Nemenman

While the identification of nonlinear dynamical systems is a fundamental building block of model-based reinforcement learning and feedback control, its sample complexity is only understood for systems that either have discrete states and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-19 Horia Mania , Michael I. Jordan , Benjamin Recht

Efficient operation of intelligent machines in the real world requires methods that allow them to understand and predict the uncertainties presented by the unstructured environments with good accuracy, scalability and generalization,…

The impact of machine learning models on healthcare will depend on the degree of trust that healthcare professionals place in the predictions made by these models. In this paper, we present a method to provide people with clinical expertise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-05 Aniruddh Raghu , John Guttag , Katherine Young , Eugene Pomerantsev , Adrian V. Dalca , Collin M. Stultz

In the context of proxy modeling for process systems, traditional data-driven deep learning approaches frequently encounter significant challenges, such as substantial training costs induced by large amounts of data, and limited…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Pengwei Liu , Zhongkai Hao , Xingyu Ren , Hangjie Yuan , Jiayang Ren , Dong Ni

The importance of state estimation in fluid mechanics is well-established; it is required for accomplishing several tasks including design/optimization, active control, and future state prediction. A common tactic in this regards is to rely…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-03-14 Yash Kumar , Pranav Bahl , Souvik Chakraborty

Extended finite state machines (EFSMs) model stateful systems with internal data variables and have numerous applications in software engineering. A major advantage of this type of model lies in its ability to model both the data flow and…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Roland Groz , German Eduardo Vega Baez , Adenilso Simao , Catherine Oriat , Neil Walkinshaw , Michael Foster