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We develop a Monte Carlo-free approach to inference post output from randomized algorithms with a convex loss and a convex penalty. The pivotal statistic based on a truncated law, called the selective pivot, usually lacks closed form…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-19 Snigdha Panigrahi , Jelena Markovic , Jonathan Taylor

We present a method of constructing statistical intervals that obtain a natural middle ground between Bayesian and frequentist statistical intervals, previously unexplored in literature: To a p% Bayesian credible interval we should assign a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Tim Ritmeester

Accurately estimating the mixed oil length plays a big role in the economic benefit for oil pipeline network. While various proposed methods have tried to predict the mixed oil length, they often exhibit an extremely high probability…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-28 Yanfeng Yang , Lihong Zhang , Ziqi Chen , Miaomiao Yu , Lei Chen

For randomized controlled trials to be conclusive, it is important to set the target sample size accurately at the design stage. Comparing two normal populations, the sample size calculation requires specification of the variance other than…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Hirotada Maeda , Satoshi Hattori , Tim Friede

We propose a method to remedy finite sample coverage problems and improve upon the efficiency of commonly employed procedures for the construction of nonparametric confidence intervals in regression kink designs. The proposed interval is…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-23 Majed Dodin

Semiparametric estimators admitting a von Mises expansion often reduce inference to the influence-function variance. This reduction is justified when the second-order remainder is negligible in variance, a condition that is stronger than…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Lin Li , Pengcheng Wu

Randomization-based inference commonly relies on grid search methods to construct confidence intervals by inverting hypothesis tests over a range of parameter values. While straightforward, this approach is computationally intensive and can…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-17 Ian Xu

We consider a linear regression model, with the parameter of interest a specified linear combination of the regression parameter vector. We suppose that, as a first step, a data-based model selection (e.g. by preliminary hypothesis tests or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-27 Paul Kabaila , Khageswor Giri

Having a regression model, we are interested in finding two-sided intervals that are guaranteed to contain at least a desired proportion of the conditional distribution of the response variable given a specific combination of predictors. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-22 Mohammad Ghasemi Hamed , Mathieu Serrurier , Nicolas Durand

This paper studies the construction of adaptive confidence intervals under Huber's contamination model when the contamination proportion is unknown. For the robust confidence interval of a Gaussian mean, we show that the optimal length of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-05 Yuetian Luo , Chao Gao

Subsampling and block-based bootstrap methods have been used in a wide range of inference problems for time series. To accommodate the dependence, these resampling methods involve a bandwidth parameter, such as subsampling window width and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-05 Xiaofeng Shao , Dimitris N. Politis

This paper proposes a decorrelation-based approach to test hypotheses and construct confidence intervals for the low dimensional component of high dimensional proportional hazards models. Motivated by the geometric projection principle, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-12-17 Ethan X. Fang , Yang Ning , Han Liu

This paper describes three methods for carrying out non-asymptotic inference on partially identified parameters that are solutions to a class of optimization problems. Applications in which the optimization problems arise include estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Joel L. Horowitz , Sokbae Lee

We review the methods of constructing confidence intervals that account for a priori information about one-sided constraints on the parameter being estimated. We show that the so-called method of sensitivity limit yields a correct solution…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-20 A. V. Lokhov , F. V. Tkachov

We address functional uncertainty quantification for ill-posed inverse problems where it is possible to evaluate a possibly rank-deficient forward model, the observation noise distribution is known, and there are known parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Michael Stanley , Pau Batlle , Pratik Patil , Houman Owhadi , Mikael Kuusela

Estimating the mode of a unimodal distribution is a classical problem in statistics. Although there are several approaches for point-estimation of mode in the literature, very little has been explored about the interval-estimation of mode.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Manit Paul , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

In this paper we study the consistency of different bootstrap procedures for constructing confidence intervals (CIs) for the unique jump discontinuity (change-point) in an otherwise smooth regression function in a stochastic design setting.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-01-06 Emilio Seijo , Bodhisattva Sen

In econometrics, many parameters of interest can be written as ratios of expectations. The main approach to construct confidence intervals for such parameters is the delta method. However, this asymptotic procedure yields intervals that may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Alexis Derumigny , Lucas Girard , Yannick Guyonvarch

Rating systems are ubiquitous, with applications ranging from product recommendation to teaching evaluations. Confidence intervals for functionals of rating data such as empirical means or quantiles are critical to decision-making in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Robert Nowak , Ervin Tánczos

We propose a bootstrap-based calibrated projection procedure to build confidence intervals for single components and for smooth functions of a partially identified parameter vector in moment (in)equality models. The method controls…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-03 Hiroaki Kaido , Francesca Molinari , Jörg Stoye
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