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Related papers: Full-scale Cascade Dynamics Prediction with a Loca…

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Contagions such as the spread of popular news stories, or infectious diseases, propagate in cascades over dynamic networks with unobservable topologies. However, "social signals" such as product purchase time, or blog entry timestamps are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-21 Brian Baingana , Georgios B. Giannakis

Spreading processes play an increasingly important role in modeling for diffusion networks, information propagation, marketing and opinion setting. We address the problem of learning of a spreading model such that the predictions generated…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-07-27 Mateusz Wilinski , Andrey Y. Lokhov

Online social networks (OSNs) are emerging as the most popular mainstream platform for content cascade diffusion. In order to provide satisfactory quality of experience (QoE) for users in OSNs, much research dedicates to proactive content…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-03-26 Qiong Wu , Muhong Wu , Xu Chen , Zhi Zhou , Kaiwen He , Liang Chen

The emergence of online social platforms, such as social networks and social media, has drastically affected the way people apprehend the information flows to which they are exposed. In such platforms, various information cascades spreading…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Gaspard Abel , Argyris Kalogeratos , Jean-Pierre Nadal , Julien Randon-Furling

In a diversified context with multiple social networking sites, heterogeneous activity patterns and different user-user relations, the concept of "information cascade" is all but univocal. Despite the fact that such information cascades can…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-03-20 Raquel A Baños , Javier Borge-Holthoefer , Yamir Moreno

Information cascade popularity prediction is a key problem in analyzing content diffusion in social networks. However, current related works suffer from three critical limitations: (1) temporal leakage in current evaluation--random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Jie Peng , Rui Wang , Qiang Wang , Zhewei Wei , Bin Tong , Guan Wang , Bo Zheng

How do blogs cite and influence each other? How do such links evolve? Does the popularity of old blog posts drop exponentially with time? These are some of the questions that we address in this work. Our goal is to build a model that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Jure Leskovec , Mary McGlohon , Christos Faloutsos , Natalie Glance , Matthew Hurst

Predicting cascade dynamics has important implications for understanding information propagation and launching viral marketing. Previous works mainly adopt a pair-wise manner, modeling the propagation probability between pairs of users…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-01-23 Yongqing Wang , Hua-Wei Shen , Shenghua Liu , Xue-Qi Cheng

We build a model of information cascades on feed-based networks, taking into account the finite attention span of users, message generation rates and message forwarding rates. Using this model, we study through simulations, the effect of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-06-15 Sameet Sreenivasan , Kevin S. Chan , Ananthram Swami , Gyorgy Korniss , Boleslaw Szymanski

The behaviour of information cascades (such as retweets) has been modelled extensively. While point process-based generative models have long been in use for estimating cascade growths, deep learning has greatly enhanced diverse feature…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Subhabrata Dutta , Shravika Mittal , Dipankar Das , Soumen Chakrabarti , Tanmoy Chakraborty

The ability to understand and eventually predict the emergence of information and activation cascades in social networks is core to complex socio-technical systems research. However, the complexity of social interactions makes this a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-16 Pablo Piedrahíta , Javier Borge-Holthoefer , Yamir Moreno , Alex Arenas

Threshold models of global cascades have been extensively used to model real-world collective behavior, such as the contagious spread of fads and the adoption of new technologies. A common property of those cascade models is that a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-01-18 Teruyoshi Kobayashi

Spreading processes on graphs arise in a host of application domains, from the study of online social networks to viral marketing to epidemiology. Various discrete-time probabilistic models for spreading processes have been proposed. These…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-09-24 Abram Magner , Carolyn Kaminski , Petko Bogdanov

Information diffusion prediction aims at predicting the target users in the information diffusion path on social networks. Prior works mainly focus on the observed structure or sequence of cascades, trying to predict to whom this cascade…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-08-09 Xiaowen Wang , Lanjun Wang , Yuting Su , Yongdong Zhang , An-An Liu

We present an analytical approach to determining the expected cascade size in a broad range of dynamical models on the class of highly-clustered random graphs introduced by Gleeson [J. P. Gleeson, Phys. Rev. E 80, 036107 (2009)]. A…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-06-05 Adam Hackett , James P. Gleeson

Understanding information cascades in networks is a fundamental issue in numerous applications. Current researches often sample cascade information into several independent paths or subgraphs to learn a simple cascade representation.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Fanrui Zhang , Jiawei Liu , Qiang Zhang , Xiaoling Zhu , Zheng-Jun Zha

Widespread interest in the diffusion of information through social networks has produced a large number of Social Dynamics models. A majority of them use theoretical hypothesis to explain their diffusion mechanisms while the few empirically…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-05-18 José Luis Iribarren , Esteban Moro

A common assumption in the literature on information diffusion is that populations are homogeneous regarding individuals' information acquisition and propagation process: Individuals update their informed and actively communicating state…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Flávio L. Pinheiro , Vítor V. Vasconcelos

Information diffusion mechanisms based on social influence models are mainly studied using likelihood of adoption when active neighbors expose a user to a message. The problem arises primarily from the fact that for the most part, this…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-03-24 Soumajyoti Sarkar , Hamidreza Alvari , Paulo Shakarian

Online social networks play a major role in the spread of information at very large scale and it becomes essential to provide means to analyse this phenomenon. In this paper we address the issue of predicting the temporal dynamics of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Adrien Guille , Hakim Hacid , Cécile Favre