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Aggregating risks from multiple sources can be complex and demanding, and decision makers usually adopt heuristics to simplify the evaluation process. This paper axiomatizes two closed related and yet different heuristics, narrow bracketing…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-08-30 Mu Zhang

The use of expectiles in risk management has recently gathered remarkable momentum due to their excellent axiomatic and probabilistic properties. In particular, the class of elicitable law-invariant coherent risk measures only consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Abdelaati Daouia , Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

In this paper we consider a multivariate risk model with common renewal process, while the logarithmic returns of the insurers investment portfolio, are described by a Levy process. In the two main results are established an asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

A fundamental problem in risk management is the robust aggregation of different sources of risk in a situation where little or no data are available to infer information about their dependencies. A popular approach to solving this problem…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-06 Raphael Hauser , Sergey Shahverdyan , Paul Embrechts

Offline reinforcement learning (RL) is suitable for safety-critical domains where online exploration is too costly or dangerous. In such safety-critical settings, decision-making should take into consideration the risk of catastrophic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Marc Rigter , Bruno Lacerda , Nick Hawes

Random utility theory models an agent's preferences on alternatives by drawing a real-valued score on each alternative (typically independently) from a parameterized distribution, and then ranking the alternatives according to scores. A…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2012-11-13 Hossein Azari Soufiani , David C. Parkes , Lirong Xia

In economic applications, model averaging has found principal use examining the validity of various theories related to observed heterogeneity in outcomes such as growth, development, and trade.Though often easy to articulate, these…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-16 Alex Lenkoski , Fredrik Lohne Aanes

We examine behavioral axioms in decision theory that are satisfied approximately rather than exactly. We demonstrate that in key domains -- decisions under risk, uncertainty, and intertemporal choice -- behavior that \emph{almost} satisfies…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-30 Christopher P Chambers , Federico Echenique

We present an historical overview about the connections between the analysis of risk and the control of autonomous systems. We offer two main contributions. Our first contribution is to propose three overlapping paradigms to classify the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Yuheng Wang , Margaret P. Chapman

The maximum utility estimation proposed by Elliott and Lieli (2013) can be viewed as cost-sensitive binary classification; thus, its in-sample overfitting issue is similar to that of perceptron learning. A utility-maximizing prediction rule…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-29 Jiun-Hua Su

We develop efficient algorithms to construct utility maximizing mechanisms in the presence of risk averse players (buyers and sellers) in Bayesian settings. We model risk aversion by a concave utility function, and players play…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-06-28 Anand Bhalgat , Tanmoy Chakraborty , Sanjeev Khanna

I conduct Rabin's (2000) calibration exercise in the subjective expected utility realm. I show that the rejection of some risky bet by a risk-averse agent only implies the rejection of more extreme and less desirable bets and nothing more.

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-06-05 Mark Whitmeyer

Recent literature in the last Maximum Entropy workshop introduced an analogy between cumulative probability distributions and normalized utility functions. Based on this analogy, a utility density function can de defined as the derivative…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-11-10 Ali E. Abbas

We study utility indifference prices and optimal purchasing quantities for a contingent claim, in an incomplete semi-martingale market, in the presence of vanishing hedging errors and/or risk aversion. Assuming that the average indifference…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-23 Michail Anthropelos , Scott Robertson , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

In this article, we employ a principal-agent model to analyze optimal contract design in a monopolistic reinsurance market under adverse selection with a continuum of insurer types. Instead of using the classical expected utility framework,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-06 Ka Chun Cheung , Sheung Chi Phillip Yam , Fei Lung Yuen , Yiying Zhang

Approximations to utility indifference prices are provided for a contingent claim in the large position size limit. Results are valid for general utility functions on the real line and semi-martingale models. It is shown that as the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-12 Scott Robertson

We provide a new algorithm for solving Risk Sensitive Partially Observable Markov Decisions Processes, when the risk is modeled by a utility function, and both the state space and the space of observations is finite. This algorithm is based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-19 Arsham Afsardeir , Andreas Kapetanis , Vaios Laschos , Klaus Obermayer

In our previous paper, "A Unified Approach to Systemic Risk Measures via Acceptance Set" (\textit{Mathematical Finance, 2018}), we have introduced a general class of systemic risk measures that allow for random allocations to individual…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-26 Francesca Biagini , Jean-Pierre Fouque , Marco Frittelli , Thilo Meyer-Brandis

This work presents an asset pricing model that under rational expectation equilibrium perspective shows how, depending on risk aversion and noise volatility, a risky-asset has one equilibrium price that differs in term of efficiency: an…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-18 Matteo Formenti

We study a general robust utility maximization problem in a discrete-time frictionless market. The investor is assumed to have a possibly infinite, random, nonconcave, and nondecreasing utility function defined on the whole real line. She…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-14 Laurence Carassus , Massinissa Ferhoune