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The expectation is an example of a descriptive statistic that is monotone with respect to stochastic dominance, and additive for sums of independent random variables. We provide a complete characterization of such statistics, and explore a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-08-06 Xiaosheng Mu , Luciano Pomatto , Philipp Strack , Omer Tamuz

Constrained reinforcement learning is to maximize the expected reward subject to constraints on utilities/costs. However, the training environment may not be the same as the test one, due to, e.g., modeling error, adversarial attack,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-16 Yue Wang , Fei Miao , Shaofeng Zou

Probabilistic control design is founded on the principle that a rational agent attempts to match modelled with an arbitrary desired closed-loop system trajectory density. The framework was originally proposed as a tractable alternative to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Tom Lefebvre

We develop a tractable model of realization utility that studies the role of reference-dependent S-shaped preferences in a dynamic investment setting with reinvestment. Our model generates both voluntarily realized gains and losses. It…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-14 Jonathan E. Ingersoll , Lawrence J. Jin

We consider a class of well-known dynamic resource allocation models in loss network systems with advanced reservation. The most important performance measure in any loss network system is to compute its blocking probability, i.e., the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-15 Retsef Levi , Cong Shi

In this paper, we discuss an application of the SDDP type algorithm to nested risk-averse formulations of Stochastic Optimal Control (SOC) problems. We propose a construction of a statistical upper bound for the optimal value of risk-averse…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-04 Vincent Guigues , Alexander Shapiro , Yi Cheng

This paper studies Pareto-optimal reinsurance design in a monopolistic market with multiple primary insurers and a single reinsurer, all with heterogeneous risk preferences. The risk preferences are characterized by a family of risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-15 Tim J. Boonen , Xia Han , Peng Liu , Jiacong Wang

Many sequential decision-making problems that are currently automated, such as those in manufacturing or recommender systems, operate in an environment where there is either little uncertainty, or zero risk of catastrophe. As companies and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Marc Rigter

The (R, s, S) is a stochastic inventory control policy widely used by practitioners. In an inventory system managed according to this policy, the inventory is reviewed at instant R; if the observed inventory position is lower than the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-26 Andrea Visentin , Steven Prestwich , Roberto Rossi , S. Armagan Tarim

We introduce a statistical physics inspired supervised machine learning algorithm for classification and regression problems. The method is based on the invariances or stability of predicted results when known data is represented as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-19 Patrick Chao , Tahereh Mazaheri , Bo Sun , Nicholas B. Weingartner , Zohar Nussinov

We propose an computational framework for real-time risk assessment and prioritizing for random outcomes without prior information on probability distributions. The basic model is built based on satisficing measure (SM) which yields a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-03 Wenjie Huang

A widely used heuristic for solving stochastic optimization problems is to use a deterministic rolling horizon procedure, which has been modified to handle uncertainty (e.g. buffer stocks, schedule slack). This approach has been criticized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-16 Raymond T. Perkins , Warren B. Powell

We consider a financial intermediary managing assets and liabilities exposed to several risk sources and seeking an optimal portfolio strategy to minimise the initial capital invested and the total risk associated with investment losses and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-23 Giorgio Consigli , Darinka Dentcheva , Francesca Maggioni , Giovanni Micheli

Social decision schemes (SDSs) map the preferences of a group of voters over some set of $m$ alternatives to a probability distribution over the alternatives. A seminal characterization of strategyproof SDSs by Gibbard implies that there…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-01-26 Felix Brandt , Patrick Lederer , René Romen

This paper develops theoretical criteria and econometric methods to rank policy interventions in terms of welfare when individuals are loss-averse. Our new criterion for "loss aversion-sensitive dominance" defines a weak partial ordering of…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-07 Sergio Firpo , Antonio F. Galvao , Martyna Kobus , Thomas Parker , Pedro Rosa-Dias

Optimal control of stochastic nonlinear dynamical systems is a major challenge in the domain of robot learning. Given the intractability of the global control problem, state-of-the-art algorithms focus on approximate sequential optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-23 Joe Watson , Hany Abdulsamad , Jan Peters

In reinforcement learning (RL), offline learning decoupled learning from data collection and is useful in dealing with exploration-exploitation tradeoff and enables data reuse in many applications. In this work, we study two offline…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-08 Jing Dong , Xin T. Tong

In this work, we consider how preference models in interactive recommendation systems determine the availability of content and users' opportunities for discovery. We propose an evaluation procedure based on stochastic reachability to…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-07-05 Mihaela Curmei , Sarah Dean , Benjamin Recht

We consider a problem of finding an SSD (second-order stochastic dominance)-minimal quantile function subject to the mixture of FSD (first-order stochastic dominance) and SSD constraints. The SSD-minimal solution is explicitly worked out…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-02 Xiangyu Wang , Jianming Xia , Zuo Quan Xu , Zhou Yang

Optimal control under uncertainty is a prevailing challenge for many reasons. One of the critical difficulties lies in producing tractable solutions for the underlying stochastic optimization problem. We show how advanced approximate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Joe Watson , Hany Abdulsamad , Rolf Findeisen , Jan Peters
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