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Parallel tempering is a meta-algorithm for Markov Chain Monte Carlo that uses multiple chains to sample from tempered versions of the target distribution, enhancing mixing in multi-modal distributions that are challenging for traditional…

Computation · Statistics 2024-12-30 Daniel Zhao , Natesh S. Pillai

Stochastic kinetic models (SKMs) are increasingly used to account for the inherent stochasticity exhibited by interacting populations of species in areas such as epidemiology, population ecology and systems biology. Species numbers are…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-06 Tom E. Lowe , Andrew Golightly , Chris Sherlock

We present a novel Bayesian inference tool that uses a neural network to parameterise efficient Markov Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) proposals. The target distribution is first transformed into a diagonal, unit variance Gaussian by a series of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-03 Adam Moss

Discrete choice models (DCMs) are used to analyze individual decision-making in contexts such as transportation choices, political elections, and consumer preferences. DCMs play a central role in applied econometrics by enabling inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-19 Daniel F. Villarraga , Ricardo A. Daziano

This book aims to provide a graduate-level introduction to advanced topics in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, as applied broadly in the Bayesian computational context. Most, if not all of these topics (stochastic gradient MCMC,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-18 Paul Fearnhead , Christopher Nemeth , Chris J. Oates , Chris Sherlock

Identifying the active factors that have significant impacts on the output of the complex system is an important but challenging variable selection problem in computer experiments. In this paper, a Bayesian hierarchical Gaussian process…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-18 Xiao Yao , Ning Jianhui , Qin Hong

In this paper, a distributed stochastic gradient (SG) algorithm is proposed where the estimators are aimed to collectively estimate an unknown time-invariant parameter from a set of noisy measurements obtained by distributed sensors. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-08 Die Gan , Zhixin Liu

The identification of parameters in mathematical models using noisy observations is a common task in uncertainty quantification. We employ the framework of Bayesian inversion: we combine monitoring and observational data with prior…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-11 Jonas Latz , Iason Papaioannou , Elisabeth Ullmann

Models of biological systems often have many unknown parameters that must be determined in order for model behavior to match experimental observations. Commonly-used methods for parameter estimation that return point estimates of the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-01-31 Sanjana Gupta , Liam Hainsworth , Justin S. Hogg , Robin E. C. Lee , James R. Faeder

We develop a framework that allows the use of the multi-level Monte Carlo (MLMC) methodology (Giles2015) to calculate expectations with respect to the invariant measure of an ergodic SDE. In that context, we study the (over-damped) Langevin…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-08-13 Michael B. Giles , Mateusz B. Majka , Lukasz Szpruch , Sebastian Vollmer , Konstantinos Zygalakis

Application of the replica exchange (i.e., parallel tempering) technique to Langevin Monte Carlo algorithms, especially stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics (SGLD), has scored great success in non-convex learning problems, but one…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-06 Guanxun Li , Guang Lin , Zecheng Zhang , Quan Zhou

The learning of Gaussian Mixture Models (also referred to simply as GMMs) plays an important role in machine learning. Known for their expressiveness and interpretability, Gaussian mixture models have a wide range of applications, from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-14 Ruichong Zhang

Bayesian inference promises to ground and improve the performance of deep neural networks. It promises to be robust to overfitting, to simplify the training procedure and the space of hyperparameters, and to provide a calibrated measure of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-12 Jonathan Heek , Nal Kalchbrenner

Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD) is a prominent particle-based variational inference method used for sampling a target distribution. SVGD has attracted interest for application in machine-learning techniques such as Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Yuya Kawamura , Satoshi Takabe

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD), which dates back to the 1950s, is one of the most popular and effective approaches for performing stochastic optimization. Research on SGD resurged recently in machine learning for optimizing convex loss…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Jie Chen , Ronny Luss

Gradient-based Monte Carlo sampling algorithms, like Langevin dynamics and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, are important methods for Bayesian inference. In large-scale settings, full-gradients are not affordable and thus stochastic gradients…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Zhize Li , Tianyi Zhang , Shuyu Cheng , Jun Zhu , Jian Li

This work presents an efficient approach for accelerating multilevel Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for large-scale problems using low-fidelity machine learning models. While conventional techniques for large-scale Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-21 Sohail Reddy , Hillary Fairbanks

Multi-task Gaussian process (MTGP) is a well-known non-parametric Bayesian model for learning correlated tasks effectively by transferring knowledge across tasks. But current MTGPs are usually limited to the multi-task scenario defined in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-28 Haitao Liu , Kai Wu , Yew-Soon Ong , Chao Bian , Xiaomo Jiang , Xiaofang Wang

In this paper, we consider a general stochastic optimization problem which is often at the core of supervised learning, such as deep learning and linear classification. We consider a standard stochastic gradient descent (SGD) method with a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-27 Lam M. Nguyen , Nam H. Nguyen , Dzung T. Phan , Jayant R. Kalagnanam , Katya Scheinberg

Stochastic gradient descent algorithm has been successfully applied on support vector machines (called PEGASOS) for many classification problems. In this paper, stochastic gradient descent algorithm is investigated to twin support vector…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-17 Zhen Wang , Yuan-Hai Shao , Lan Bai , Li-Ming Liu , Nai-Yang Deng