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Bayesian analysis for Markov jump processes is a non-trivial and challenging problem. Although exact inference is theoretically possible, it is computationally demanding thus its applicability is limited to a small class of problems. In…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-08 Vassilios Stathopoulos , Mark A. Girolami

In this paper we propose a new method for approximating the nonstationary moment dynamics of one dimensional Markovian birth-death processes. By expanding the transition probabilities of the Markov process in terms of Poisson-Charlier…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-09-23 Stefan Engblom , Jamol Pender

Stein's (1972) method is a very general tool for assessing the quality of approximation of the distribution of a random element by another, often simpler, distribution. In applications of Stein's method, one needs to establish a Stein…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andrew D. Barbour , Vydas Cekanavicius , Aihua Xia

We establish two theorems for assessing the accuracy in total variation of multivariate discrete normal approximation to the distribution of an integer valued random vector $W$. The first is for sums of random vectors whose dependence…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-19 A. D. Barbour , A. Xia

Modelling random dynamical systems in continuous time, diffusion processes are a powerful tool in many areas of science. Model parameters can be estimated from time-discretely observed processes using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-12 Susanne Pieschner , Christiane Fuchs

This exposition explains the basic ideas of Stein's method for Poisson random variable approximation and Poisson process approximation from the point of view of the immigration-death process and Palm theory. The latter approach also enables…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Louis H. Y. Chen , Aihua Xia

The concentration inequality approach for normal approximation by Stein's method is generalized to the multivariate setting. We use this approach to prove a non-smooth function distance for multivariate normal approximation for standardized…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Louis H. Y. Chen , Xiao Fang

Stein's method has been widely used for probability approximations. However, in the multi-dimensional setting, most of the results are for multivariate normal approximation or for test functions with bounded second- or higher-order…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-16 Xiao Fang , Qi-Man Shao , Lihu Xu

In this paper, we establish an abstract framework for the approximation of the invariant probability measure for a Markov semigroup. Following Pag{\`e}s and Panloup [40] we use an Euler scheme with decreasing step (unadjusted Langevin…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-02 Vlad Bally , Yifeng Qin

We develop a functional Stein-Malliavin method in a non-diffusive Poissonian setting, thus obtaining a) quantitative central limit theorems for approximation of arbitrary non-degenerate Gaussian random elements taking values in a separable…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-17 Solesne Bourguin , Simon Campese , Thanh Dang

A rescaled Markov chain converges uniformly in probability to the solution of an ordinary differential equation, under carefully specified assumptions. The presentation is much simpler than those in the outside literature. The result may be…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 R. W. R. Darling

We derive Stein approximation bounds for functionals of uniform random variables, using chaos expansions and the Clark-Ocone representation formula combined with derivation and finite difference operators. This approach covers sums and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-28 Nicolas Privault , Grzegorz Serafin

We establish presumably optimal rates of normal convergence with respect to the Kolmogorov distance for a large class of geometric functionals of marked Poisson and binomial point processes on general metric spaces. The rates are valid…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Raphaël Lachièze-Rey , Matthias Schulte , J. E. Yukich

We consider a general method for the approximation of the distribution of a process conditioned to not hit a given set. Existing methods are based on particle system that are failable, in the sense that, in many situations , they are not…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-30 William Oçafrain , Denis Villemonais

Stein's method is used to obtain two theorems on multivariate normal approximation. Our main theorem, Theorem 1.2, provides a bound on the distance to normality for any nonnegative random vector. Theorem 1.2 requires multivariate size bias…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Larry Goldstein , Yosef Rinott

This paper considers the entropy of the sum of (possibly dependent and non-identically distributed) Bernoulli random variables. Upper bounds on the error that follows from an approximation of this entropy by the entropy of a Poisson random…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Igal Sason

Narayana numbers appear in many places in combinatorics and probability, and it is known that they are asymptotically normal. Using Stein's method of exchangeable pairs, we provide an error of approximation in total variation to a symmetric…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-13 Jason Fulman , Adrian Röllin

We deal with stochastic differential equations with jumps. In order to obtain an accurate approximation scheme, it is usual to replace the "small jumps" by a Brownian motion. In this paper, we prove that for every fixed time $t$, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Vlad Bally , Yifeng Qin

We extend the ideas of (Barbour 1990) and use Stein's method to obtain a bound on the distance between a scaled time-changed random walk and a time-changed Brownian Motion. We then apply this result to bound the distance between a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-05 Mikolaj J. Kasprzak

We derive a Dickman approximation for the small jumps of a large class of multivariate L\'evy processes. We then apply this approximation to develop a simulation method for the class of general multivariate gamma distributions (GMGD). A…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-19 Michael Grabchak , Xingnan Zhang