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In planar slow-fast systems, fractal analysis of (bounded) sequences in $\mathbb R$ has proved important for detection of the first non-zero Lyapunov quantity in singular Hopf bifurcations, determination of the maximum number of limit…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-23 Peter De Maesschalck , Renato Huzak , Ansfried Janssens , Goran Radunović

Extreme value statistics, or extreme statistics for short, refers to the statistics that characterizes rare events of either unusually high or low intensity: climate disasters like floods following extremely intense rains are among the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2013-11-11 R. Labbé , G. Bustamante

We develop a discrete-event modeling framework that captures the progression of geophysical systems toward catastrophic failure through sequences of distinct damage events. By representing system evolution as a succession of temporally…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-07-31 Qinghua Lei , Didier Sornette

In this paper we consider a discrete-time dynamical system on the real line by random iteration of two functions. These functions are assumed to satisfy appropriate monotonicity conditions; optionally, a symmetry condition may be imposed.…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2025-08-25 Cristian Mitrea , Alef E. Sterk

We establish a Minkowski measurability criterion for a large class of relative fractal drums (or, in short, RFDs), in Euclidean spaces of arbitrary dimension in terms of their complex dimensions, which are defined as the poles of their…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-04-27 Michel L. Lapidus , Goran Radunović , Darko Žubrinić

An exact analytical description of extreme intensity statistics in complex random states is derived. These states have the statistical properties of the Gaussian and Circular Unitary Ensemble eigenstates of random matrix theory. Although…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2011-08-02 Arul Lakshminarayan , Steven Tomsovic , Oriol Bohigas , Satya N. Majumdar

We point out that the functional form describing the frequency of sizes of events in complex systems (e.g. earthquakes, forest fires, bursts of neuronal activity) can be obtained from maximal likelihood inference, which, remarkably, only…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-10-03 Xiaoyong Yan , Petter Minnhagen , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

We establish a theory for multivariate extreme value analysis of dynamical systems. Namely, we provide conditions adapted to the dynamical setting which enable the study of dependence between extreme values of the components of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Romain Aimino , Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

Extreme value functionals of stochastic processes are inverse functionals of the first passage time -- a connection that renders their probability distribution functions equivalent. Here, we deepen this link and establish a framework for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-05-30 David Hartich , Aljaz Godec

Several theoretical results concerning event-by-event fluctuations are discussed: (1) a role of the global conservation laws and concept of statistical ensembles; (2) strongly intensive measures are introduced; they give a possibility to…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2015-05-18 Mark I. Gorenstein

One of the main goal of extreme value analysis is to estimate the probability of rare events given a sample from an unknown distribution. The upper tail behavior of this distribution is described by the extreme value index. We present a new…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Laurent Gardes , Stephane Girard

Extreme value statistics provides accurate estimates for the small occurrence probabilities of rare events. While theory and statistical tools for univariate extremes are well-developed, methods for high-dimensional and complex data sets…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-06 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

This work employs variational techniques to revisit and expand the construction and analysis of extreme value processes. These techniques permit a novel study of spatial statistics of the location of minimizing events. We develop integral…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-10 Nicolas Garcia Trillos , Ryan Murray , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

As an alternative to the well-known methods of "chaining" and "bracketing" that have been developed in the study of random fields, a new method, which is based on a {\em stochastic maximal inequality} derived by using the formula for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-16 Yoichi Nishiyama

In environmental applications of extreme value statistics, the underlying stochastic process is often modeled either as a max-stable process in continuous time/space or as a process in the domain of attraction of such a max-stable process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-13 Holger Drees , Laurens de Haan , Feridun Turkman

Interacting particle systems with many degrees of freedom may undergo phase transitions to sustain atypical fluctuations of dynamical observables such as the current or the activity. This leads in some cases to symmetry-broken space-time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-08-23 Carlos Pérez-Espigares , Pablo I. Hurtado

In classical extreme value theory probabilities of extreme events are estimated assuming all the components of a random vector to be in a domain of attraction of an extreme value distribution. In contrast, the conditional extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-30 Bikramjit Das , Sidney I. Resnick

We study fractal properties of unbounded domains with infinite Lebesgue measure via their complex fractal dimensions. These complex dimensions are defined as poles of a suitable defined Lapidus fractal zeta function at infinity and are a…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Goran Radunović

We use importance sampling in a redefined way to highlight and investigate rare events in the form of trajectories trapped inside a target coherent set. We take a transfer operator approach to finding these sets on a reconstructed…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-10-16 Meagan Carney , Holger Kantz

We consider globally invertible and piecewise contracting maps in higher dimensions and we perturb them with a particular kind of noise introduced by Lasota and Mackey. We got random transformations which are given by a stationary process:…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-19 D. Faranda , J. -M. Freitas , P. Guiraud , S. Vaienti