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We propose a novel credit default model that takes into account the impact of macroeconomic information and contagion effect on the defaults of obligors. We use a set-valued Markov chain to model the default process, which is the set of all…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-31 Dianfa Chen , Jun Deng , Jianfen Feng , Bin Zou

Applying historical data from the USD LIBOR transition period, we estimate a joint model for SOFR, Fed Funds, and Eurodollar futures rates as well as spot USD LIBOR and term repo rates. The framework endogenously models basis spreads…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-18 David Skovmand , Jacob Bjerre Skov

In this work we develop a tractable structural model with analytical default probabilities depending on a random default barrier and possibly random volatility ideally associated with a scenario based underlying firm debt. We show how to…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-12-17 Damiano Brigo , Marco Tarenghi

We consider a structural default model in an interconnected banking network as in Lipton [International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, 19(6), 2016], with mutual obligations between each pair of banks. We analyse the model…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-03 Vadim Kaushansky , Alexander Lipton , Christoph Reisinger

We review different approaches for measuring the impact of liquidity on CDS prices. We start with reduced form models incorporating liquidity as an additional discount rate. We review Chen, Fabozzi and Sverdlove (2008) and Buhler and Trapp…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-03-23 Damiano Brigo , Mirela Predescu , Agostino Capponi

In a series of recent papers, Damiano Brigo, Andrea Pallavicini, and co-authors have shown that the value of a contract in a Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) setting, being the sum of the cash flows, can be represented as a solution of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-30 Aditi Dandapani , Philip Protter

Corporate defaults may be triggered by some major market news or events such as financial crises or collapses of major banks or financial institutions. With a view to develop a more realistic model for credit risk analysis, we introduce a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-03 Jia-Wen Gu , Wai-Ki Ching , Tak-Kuen Siu , Harry Zheng

We analyse time series of CDS spreads for a set of major US and European institutions on a pe- riod overlapping the recent financial crisis. We extend the existing methodology of {\epsilon}-drawdowns to the one of joint {\epsilon}-drawups,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-05 Rahul Kaushik , Stefano Battiston

The role of collateral in derivative pricing has evolved beyond credit risk mitigation, particularly following the global financial crisis, when funding costs and basis spreads became central to valuation practices. This development…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-10 Yining Ding , Ruyi Liu , Marek Rutkowski

This article presents a generic model for pricing financial derivatives subject to counterparty credit risk. Both unilateral and bilateral types of credit risks are considered. Our study shows that credit risk should be modeled as American…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-09 David Lee

This paper presents the experimental process and results of SVM, Gradient Boosting, and an Attention-GRU Hybrid model in predicting the Implied Volatility of rolled-over five-year spread contracts of credit default swaps (CDS) on European…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-29 Robert Taylor

We present a new model for credit index derivatives, in the top-down approach. This model has a dynamic loss intensity process with volatility and jumps and can include counterparty risk. It handles CDS, CDO tranches, Nth-to-default and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-10 Louis Paulot

In this theoretical paper, I propose creation of a venture bank, able to multiply the capital of a venture capital firm by at least 47 times, without requiring access to the Federal Reserve or other central bank apart from settlement. This…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-19 Brian P. Hanley

Multifractal detrended cross-correlation methodology is described and applied to Foreign exchange (Forex) market time series. Fluctuations of high frequency exchange rates of eight major world currencies over 2010-2018 period are used to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-17 Robert Gębarowski , Paweł Oświęcimka , Marcin Wątorek , Stanisław Drożdż

A three-dimensional extension of the structural default model with firms' values driven by correlated diffusion processes is presented. Green's function based semi-analytical methods for solving the forward calibration problem and backward…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-26 Alexander Lipton , Ioana Savescu

We propose a model which can be jointly calibrated to the corporate bond term structure and equity option volatility surface of the same company. Our purpose is to obtain explicit bond and equity option pricing formulas that can be…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2008-09-21 Erhan Bayraktar , Bo Yang

Credit Value Adjustment (CVA) is the difference between the value of the default-free and credit-risky derivative portfolio, which can be regarded as the cost of the credit hedge. Default probabilities are therefore needed, as input…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-21 Ola Hammarlid , Marta Leniec

The financial crisis of 2007/08 caused catastrophic consequences and brought a bunch of changes around the world. Interest rates that were known to follow or behave similarly of each other diverged. Furthermore, the regulation and in…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-06 Jorge Inigo

We obtain an explicit formula for the bilateral counterparty valuation adjustment of a credit default swaps portfolio referencing an asymptotically large number of entities. We perform the analysis under a doubly stochastic intensity…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-27 Lijun Bo , Agostino Capponi

First passage models, where corporate assets undergo a random walk and default occurs if the assets fall below a threshold, provide an attractive framework for modeling the default process. Recently such models have been generalized to…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Peter B. Lee , Mark B. Wise , Vineer Bhansali