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Given $iid$ observations from an unknown absolute continuous distribution defined on some domain $\Omega$, we propose a nonparametric method to learn a piecewise constant function to approximate the underlying probability density function.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-13 Dangna Li , Kun Yang , Wing Hung Wong

Motivated by the need to analyze continuously updated data sets in the context of time-to-event modeling, we propose a novel nonparametric approach to estimate the conditional hazard function given a set of continuous and discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-03 Daphné Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

We consider the problem of interaction neighborhood estimation from the partial observation of a finite number of realizations of a random field. We introduce a model selection rule to choose estimators of conditional probabilities among…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-25 Matthieu Lerasle , Daniel Yasumasa Takahashi

We define a general method for finding a quasi-best approximant in sup-norm to a target density belonging to a given model, based on independent samples drawn from distributions which average to the target (which does not necessarily belong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-26 Guillaume Maillard

This paper presents a novel approach for pointwise estimation of multivariate density functions on known domains of arbitrary dimensions using nonparametric local polynomial estimators. Our method is highly flexible, as it applies to both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Karine Bertin , Nicolas Klutchnikoff , Frédéric Ouimet

This paper studies the minimax rate of nonparametric conditional density estimation under a weighted absolute value loss function in a multivariate setting. We first demonstrate that conditional density estimation is impossible if one only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-15 Michael Li , Matey Neykov , Sivaraman Balakrishnan

Conditional density estimation (density regression) estimates the distribution of a response variable y conditional on covariates x. Utilizing a partition model framework, a conditional density estimation method is proposed using logistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-22 Richard D. Payne , Nilabja Guha , Yu Ding , Bani K. Mallick

Estimating the transition dynamics of controlled Markov chains is crucial in fields such as time series analysis, reinforcement learning, and system exploration. Traditional non-parametric density estimation methods often assume independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-21 Imon Banerjee , Vinayak Rao , Harsha Honnappa

We propose an estimation method for the conditional mode when the conditioning variable is high-dimensional. In the proposed method, we first estimate the conditional density by solving quantile regressions multiple times. We then estimate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-27 Hirofumi Ohta , Satoshi Hara

We propose a new method of histogram construction, providing a fully Bayesian approach to irregular histograms. Our procedure applies Bayesian model selection to a piecewise constant model of the underlying distribution, resulting in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Oskar Høgberg Simensen , Dennis Christensen , Nils Lid Hjort

In this paper, we introduce a novel method to generate interpretable regression function estimators. The idea is based on called data-dependent coverings. The aim is to extract from the data a covering of the feature space instead of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-27 Vincent Margot , Jean-Patrick Baudry , Frédéric Guilloux , Olivier Wintenberger

This paper deals with the problem of density estimation. We aim at building an estimate of an unknown density as a linear combination of functions of a dictionary. Inspired by Cand\`es and Tao's approach, we propose an $\ell_1$-minimization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-05-07 Karine Bertin , Erwan Le Pennec , Vincent Rivoirard

In this article we study the asymptotic predictive optimality of a model selection criterion based on the cross-validatory predictive density, already available in the literature. For a dependent variable and associated explanatory…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Arijit Chakrabarti , Tapas Samanta

We consider the problem of estimating the density $\Pi$ of a determinantal process $N$ from the observation of $n$ independent copies of it. We use an aggregation procedure based on robust testing to build our estimator. We establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-15 Yannick Baraud

We build penalized least-squares estimators using the slope heuristic and resampling penalties. We prove oracle inequalities for the selected estimator with leading constant asymptotically equal to 1. We compare the practical performances…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Matthieu Lerasle

The theory of adaptive estimation and oracle inequalities for the case of Gaussian-shift--finite-interval experiments has made significant progress in recent years. In particular, sharp-minimax adaptive estimators and exact exponential-type…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Sam Efromovich

In frequentist inference, minimizing the Hellinger distance between a kernel density estimate and a parametric family produces estimators that are both robust to outliers and statistically efficienty when the parametric model is correct.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-12 Yuefeng Wu , Giles Hooker

We propose in this work an original estimator of the conditional intensity of a marker-dependent counting process, that is, a counting process with covariates. We use model selection methods and provide a non asymptotic bound for the risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-24 F. Comte , S. Gaïffas , A. Guilloux

Parameter estimation in a class of heteroscedastic time series models is investigated. The existence of conditional least-squares and conditional likelihood estimators is proved. Their consistency and their asymptotic normality are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-08 Joseph Ngatchou-Wandji

Any continuous conditional distribution of $Y$ given $X$ can be generated from a transform of a known noise distribution $U$ such as the uniform or normal distribution via $Y = g(X, U)$. This paper provides an estimator of such a generative…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Jinhang Chai , Jianqing Fan , Yihong Gu