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In this work we study systems consisting of a group of moving particles. In such systems, often some important parameters are unknown and have to be estimated from observed data. Such parameter estimation problems can often be solved via a…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-11 Chen Cheng , Linjie Wen , Jinglai Li

Given a family of real probability measures $(\mu_t)_{t\geq 0}$ increasing in convex order (a peacock) we describe a systematic method to create a martingale exactly fitting the marginals at any time. The key object for our approach is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Martin Brückerhoff , Martin Huesmann , Nicolas Juillet

The question of optimally approximating an arbitrary probability measure in the Wasserstein distance by a discrete one with uniform weights is considered. Estimates are obtained for the optimal approximation distance, with an explicit rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Benjamin Seeger

This paper deals with the problem of quantifying the approximation a probability measure by means of an empirical (in a wide sense) random probability measure, depending on the first n terms of a sequence of random elements. In Section 2,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-23 Emanuele Dolera , Eugenio Regazzini

The Wasserstein distance between two probability measures on a metric space is a measure of closeness with applications in statistics, probability, and machine learning. In this work, we consider the fundamental question of how quickly the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-04 Jonathan Weed , Francis Bach

Ranking distributions according to a stochastic order has wide applications in diverse areas. Although stochastic dominance has received much attention, convex order, particularly in general dimensions, has yet to be investigated from a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-15 Jakwang Kim , Young-Heon Kim , Yuanlong Ruan , Andrew Warren

A common way to discretize a probability measure is to use an empirical measure as a discrete approximation. But how far from being optimal is this approximation in the p-Wasserstein distance? In this paper, we study this question in two…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-05 March T. Boedihardjo

We present a multidimensional extension of Kellerer's theorem on the existence of mimicking Markov martingales for peacocks, a term derived from the French for stochastic processes increasing in convex order. For a continuous-time peacock…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Gudmund Pammer , Benjamin A. Robinson , Walter Schachermayer

We study approximations of evolving probability measures by an interacting particle system. The particle system dynamics is a combination of independent Markov chain moves and importance sampling/resampling steps. Under global regularity…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-12 Andreas Eberle , Carlo Marinelli

Random probabilities are a key component to many nonparametric methods in Statistics and Machine Learning. To quantify comparisons between different laws of random probabilities several works are starting to use the elegant Wasserstein over…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-27 Marta Catalano , Hugo Lavenant

Computing the infinity Wasserstein distance and retrieving projections of a probability measure onto a closed subset of probability measures are critical sub-problems in various applied fields. However, the practical applicability of these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-15 Gennaro Auricchio , Gabriele Loli , Marco Veneroni

A growing number of generative statistical models do not permit the numerical evaluation of their likelihood functions. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has become a popular approach to overcome this issue, in which one simulates…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-10 Espen Bernton , Pierre E. Jacob , Mathieu Gerber , Christian P. Robert

We are interested in the approximation in Wasserstein distance with index $\rho\ge 1$ of a probability measure $\mu$ on the real line with finite moment of order $\rho$ by the empirical measure of $N$ deterministic points. The minimal error…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-07 Oumaima Bencheikh , Benjamin Jourdain

The Wasserstein barycenter problem seeks a probability measure that minimizes the weighted average of the Wasserstein distances to a given collection of probability measures. We study the discrete setting, where each measure has finite…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Jiaqi Wang , Weijun Xie

Wasserstein distances are metrics on probability distributions inspired by the problem of optimal mass transportation. Roughly speaking, they measure the minimal effort required to reconfigure the probability mass of one distribution in…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-10 Victor M. Panaretos , Yoav Zemel

In the study of dynamical and physical systems, the input parameters are often uncertain or randomly distributed according to a measure $\varrho$. The system's response $f$ pushes forward $\varrho$ to a new measure $f\circ \varrho$ which we…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2019-11-15 Amir Sagiv

We introduce the observable Wasserstein distance, a framework for deriving lower bounds on the Wasserstein distance between probability measures on Polish metric spaces, designed to bypass the computational intractability of exact optimal…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Edivaldo Lopes dos Santos , Leandro Vicente Mauri , Washington Mio , Tom Needham

Bayesian inference typically requires the computation of an approximation to the posterior distribution. An important requirement for an approximate Bayesian inference algorithm is to output high-accuracy posterior mean and uncertainty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-03 Jonathan H. Huggins , Trevor Campbell , Mikołaj Kasprzak , Tamara Broderick

The Wasserstein distance is a distance between two probability distributions and has recently gained increasing popularity in statistics and machine learning, owing to its attractive properties. One important approach to extending this…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-14 Ryo Okano , Masaaki Imaizumi

We consider a Markov chain on $\mathbb{R}^d$ with invariant measure $\mu$. We are interested in the rate of convergence of the empirical measures towards the invariant measure with respect to various dual distances, including in particular…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-13 Adrian Riekert
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