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This paper describes a heuristic Bayesian method for computing probability distributions from experimental data, based upon the multivariate normal form of the influence diagram. An example illustrates its use in medical technology…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Ross D. Shachter , David M. Eddy , Vic Hasselblad , Robert Wolpert

This paper proposes a symbolic-numeric Bayesian filtering method for a class of discrete-time nonlinear stochastic systems to achieve high accuracy with a relatively small online computational cost. The proposed method is based on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-23 Tomoyuki Iori , Toshiyuki Ohtsuka

This paper is concerned with sampling from probability distributions $\pi$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$ admitting a density of the form $\pi(x) \propto e^{-U(x)}$, where $U(x)=F(x)+G(Kx)$ with $K$ being a linear operator and $G$ being…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Andreas Habring , Martin Holler , Thomas Pock

We give a highly efficient "semi-agnostic" algorithm for learning univariate probability distributions that are well approximated by piecewise polynomial density functions. Let $p$ be an arbitrary distribution over an interval $I$ which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-05-15 Siu-On Chan , Ilias Diakonikolas , Rocco A. Servedio , Xiaorui Sun

Sampling logconcave functions arising in statistics and machine learning has been a subject of intensive study. Recent developments include analyses for Langevin dynamics and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC). While both approaches have…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-12-18 Yin Tat Lee , Zhao Song , Santosh S. Vempala

Diffusion models learn to reverse the progressive noising of a data distribution to create a generative model. However, the desired continuous nature of the noising process can be at odds with discrete data. To deal with this tension…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Griffin Floto , Thorsteinn Jonsson , Mihai Nica , Scott Sanner , Eric Zhengyu Zhu

We consider a particular class of n-dimensional homogeneous diffusions all of which have an identity diffusion matrix and a drift function that is piecewise constant and scale invariant. Abstract stochastic calculus immediately gives us…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-02 Sourav Chatterjee , Soumik Pal

The complexity of computing the solutions of a system of multivariate polynomial equations by means of Groebner bases computations is upper bounded by a function of the solving degree. In this paper, we discuss how to rigorously estimate…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-09-22 Alessio Caminata , Elisa Gorla

Given a convergent sequence of nodes we present a one-dimensional-holomorphic-function version of the Newton interpolation method of polynomials. It also generalises the Taylor and the Laurent formula. In other words, we present an…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2012-02-28 Tomasz Sobieszek

We propose a novel algebraic framework for treating probability distributions represented by their cumulants such as the mean and covariance matrix. As an example, we consider the unsupervised learning problem of finding the subspace on…

We establish sharp estimates that adapt the polynomial method to arbitrary varieties. These include a partitioning theorem, estimates on polynomials vanishing on fixed sets and bounds for the number of connected components of real algebraic…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2020-06-15 Miguel N. Walsh

We use discrete holomorphic polynomials to prove that, given a refining sequence of critical maps of a Riemann surface, any holomorphic function can be approximated by a converging sequence of discrete holomorphic functions.

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Christian Mercat

Accurate estimates of long-term risk probabilities and their gradients are critical for many stochastic safe control methods. However, computing such risk probabilities in real-time and in unseen or changing environments is challenging.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-20 Zhuoyuan Wang , Yorie Nakahira

We study the Euler-Frobenius numbers, a generalization of the Eulerian numbers, and the probability distribution obtained by normalizing them. This distribution can be obtained by rounding a sum of independent uniform random variables; this…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-17 Svante Janson

Multivariate functions encountered in high-dimensional uncertainty quantification problems often vary most strongly along a few dominant directions in the input parameter space. We propose a gradient-based method for detecting these…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Olivier Zahm , Paul Constantine , Clémentine Prieur , Youssef Marzouk

In this paper we develop a very general class of bivariate discrete distributions. The basic idea is very simple. The marginals are obtained by taking the random geometric sum of a baseline distribution function. The proposed class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-22 Debasis Kundu

A method of calculating probability values from a system of marginal constraints is presented. Previous systems for finding the probability of a single attribute have either made an independence assumption concerning the evidence or have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 J. W. Miller , R. M. Goodman

The focus of modern biomedical studies has gradually shifted to explanation and estimation of joint effects of high dimensional predictors on disease risks. Quantifying uncertainty in these estimates may provide valuable insight into…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Zhe Fei , Yi Li

We examine the problem of computing the highest density region (HDR) in a computational context where the user has access to a density function and quantile function for the distribution (e.g., in the statistical language R). We examine…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-07 Ben O'Neill

Polynomial reduction, designed first for hypergeometric terms, can be used to automatically prove and generate new hypergeometric identities from old ones. In this paper, we extend the reduction method to holonomic sequences. As…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Rong-Hua Wang , Michael X. X. Zhong