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Modern approaches to perform Bayesian variable selection rely mostly on the use of shrinkage priors. That said, an ideal shrinkage prior should be adaptive to different signal levels, ensuring that small effects are ruled out, while keeping…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Santiago Marin , Bronwyn Loong , Anton H. Westveld

Due to developments in instruments and computers, functional observations are increasingly popular. However, effective methodologies for flexibly estimating the underlying trends with valid uncertainty quantification for a sequence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-22 Tomoya Wakayama , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Many real-life applications involve estimation of curves that exhibit complicated shapes including jumps or varying-frequency oscillations. Practical methods have been devised that can adapt to a locally varying complexity of an unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-28 Veronika Rockova , Judith Rousseau

This article introduces two absolutely continuous global-local shrinkage priors to enable stochastic variable selection in the context of high-dimensional matrix exponential spatial specifications. Existing approaches as a means to dealing…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-02-06 Michael Pfarrhofer , Philipp Piribauer

We propose a novel adaptive empirical Bayesian method for sparse deep learning, where the sparsity is ensured via a class of self-adaptive spike-and-slab priors. The proposed method works by alternatively sampling from an adaptive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-15 Wei Deng , Xiao Zhang , Faming Liang , Guang Lin

In this paper, we propose a new horseshoe-type prior hierarchy for adaptively shrinking spline-based functional effects towards a predefined vector space of parametric functions. Instead of shrinking each spline coefficient towards zero, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-15 Paul Wiemann , Thomas Kneib

High-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models offer a versatile framework for multivariate time series analysis, yet face critical challenges from over-parameterization and uncertain lag order. In this paper, we systematically compare…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Harrison Katz , Robert E. Weiss

Isotonic regression or monotone function estimation is a problem of estimating function values under monotonicity constraints, which appears naturally in many scientific fields. This paper proposes a new Bayesian method with global-local…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-07 Ryo Okano , Yasuyuki Hamura , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

We propose a novel class of dynamic shrinkage processes for Bayesian time series and regression analysis. Building upon a global-local framework of prior construction, in which continuous scale mixtures of Gaussian distributions are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-02 Daniel R. Kowal , David S. Matteson , David Ruppert

We propose a nested Gaussian process (nGP) as a locally adaptive prior for Bayesian nonparametric regression. Specified through a set of stochastic differential equations (SDEs), the nGP imposes a Gaussian process prior for the function's…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-24 Bin Zhu , David B. Dunson

When modeling biological responses using Bayesian non-parametric regression, prior information may be available on the shape of the response in the form of non-linear function spaces that define the general shape of the response. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-25 Julia Christin Duda , Matthew Wheeler

Most estimates for penalised linear regression can be viewed as posterior modes for an appropriate choice of prior distribution. Bayesian shrinkage methods, particularly the horseshoe estimator, have recently attracted a great deal of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-06 Zemei Xu , Daniel F. Schmidt , Enes Makalic , Guoqi Qian , John L. Hopper

Estimating boundary curves has many applications such as economics, climate science, and medicine. Bayesian trend filtering has been developed as one of locally adaptive smoothing methods to estimate the non-stationary trend of data. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-13 Takahiro Onizuka , Fumiya Iwashige , Shintaro Hashimoto

We introduce an adaptive regularization approach. In contrast to conventional Tikhonov regularization, which specifies a fixed regularization operator, we estimate it simultaneously with parameters. From a Bayesian perspective we estimate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2009-06-19 Andriy Myronenko , Xubo Song

Small area estimation (SAE) plays a central role in survey statistics and epidemiology, providing reliable estimates for domains with limited sample sizes. The multivariate Fay-Herriot model has been extensively used for this purpose,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Shushi Nishina , Takahiro Onizuka , Shintaro Hashimoto

Locally adaptive shrinkage in the Bayesian framework is achieved through the use of local-global prior distributions that model both the global level of sparsity as well as individual shrinkage parameters for mean structure parameters. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Andrew Womack , Zikun Yang

We provide a framework for assessing the default nature of a prior distribution using the property of regular variation, which we study for global-local shrinkage priors. In particular, we demonstrate the horseshoe priors, originally…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-17 Anindya Bhadra , Jyotishka Datta , Nicholas G. Polson , Brandon T. Willard

In this study, we develop an asymptotic theory of nonparametric regression for locally stationary random fields (LSRFs) $\{{\bf X}_{{\bf s}, A_{n}}: {\bf s} \in R_{n} \}$ in $\mathbb{R}^{p}$ observed at irregularly spaced locations in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-07 Daisuke Kurisu

Predictive inference in the sparse Gaussian sequence model has received considerably less attention than its non-sparse, finite-sample counterpart. Existing work has largely been confined to discrete mixture priors. In this paper, we study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Percy S. Zhai , Veronika Ročková

Numerical methods for random parametric PDEs can greatly benefit from adaptive refinement schemes, in particular when functional approximations are computed as in stochastic Galerkin and stochastic collocations methods. This work is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-03 Martin Eigel , Nando Farchmin , Sebastian Heidenreich , Philipp Trunschke
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