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We propose a novel numerical approach for nonlocal diffusion equations [8] with integrable kernels, based on the relationship between the backward Kolmogorov equation and backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) driven by L\`{e}vy…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Guannan Zhang , Weidong Zhao , Clayton Webster , Max Gunzburger

Theories with a sign problem due to a complex action or Boltzmann weight can sometimes be numerically solved using a stochastic process in the complexified configuration space. However, the probability distribution effectively sampled by…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2025-10-06 Gert Aarts , Diaa E. Habibi , Lingxiao Wang , Kai Zhou

This paper establishes explicit solutions for fractional diffusion problems on bounded domains. It also gives stochastic solutions, in terms of Markov processes time-changed by an inverse stable subordinator whose index equals the order of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-22 Boris Baeumer , Tomasz Luks , Mark M. Meerschaert

The Poisson distribution arises naturally when dealing with data involving counts, and it has found many applications in inverse problems and imaging. In this work, we develop an approximate Bayesian inference technique based on expectation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Chen Zhang , Simon Arridge , Bangti Jin

We propose to use L\'evy {\alpha}-stable distributions for constructing priors for Bayesian inverse problems. The construction is based on Markov fields with stable-distributed increments. Special cases include the Cauchy and Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-26 Jarkko Suuronen , Tomás Soto , Neil K. Chada , Lassi Roininen

The dissipation of general convex entropies for continuous time Markov processes can be described in terms of backward martingales with respect to the tail filtration. The relative entropy is the expected value of a backward submartingale.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-27 Joaquin Fontbona , Benjamin Jourdain

In this article, we consider diffusion approximations for a general class of stochastic recursions. Such recursions arise as models for population growth, genetics, financial securities, multiplicative time series, numerical schemes and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-13 David Kelly

Inverse problems, i.e., estimating parameters of physical models from experimental data, are ubiquitous in science and engineering. The Bayesian formulation is the gold standard because it alleviates ill-posedness issues and quantifies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-28 Sharmila Karumuri , Ilias Bilionis

Sampling from various kinds of distributions is an issue of paramount importance in statistics since it is often the key ingredient for constructing estimators, test procedures or confidence intervals. In many situations, the exact sampling…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-06 Arnak S. Dalalyan

In this paper, a modification of the conventional approximations to the quasi-maximum likelihood method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from discrete observations. This is based on a convergent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

We perform a Bayesian parameter inference in the context of resonantly damped transverse coronal loop oscillations. The forward problem is solved in terms of parametric results for kink waves in one-dimensional flux tubes in the thin tube…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-28 Inigo Arregui , Andres Asensio Ramos

We construct intrinsic on-and off-diagonal upper and lower estimates for the transition probability density of a L\'evy process in small time. By intrinsic we mean that such estimates reflect the structure of the characteristic exponent of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-09 Victoria Knopova , Alexei Kulik

In indirect measurements, the measurand is determined by solving an inverse problem which requires a model of the measurement process. Such models are often approximations and introduce systematic errors leading to a bias of the posterior…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-22 Maren Casfor , Philipp Trunschke , Sebastian Heidenreich , Nando Hegemann

We present and analyze an a posteriori error estimator for a space-time hybridizable discontinuous Galerkin discretization of the time-dependent advection-diffusion problem. The residual-based error estimator is proven to be reliable and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Yuan Wang , Sander Rhebergen

We propose a method for estimating the posterior distribution of a standard geostatistical model. After choosing the model formulation and specifying a prior, we use normal mixture densities to approximate the posterior distribution. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-10 Zepu Zhang

The goal of this work is to formally abstract a Markov process evolving in discrete time over a general state space as a finite-state Markov chain, with the objective of precisely approximating its state probability distribution in time,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Sadegh Esmaeil Zadeh Soudjani , Alessandro Abate

In computational system biology, the mesoscopic model of reaction-diffusion kinetics is described by a continuous time, discrete space Markov process. To simulate diffusion stochastically, the jump coefficients are obtained by a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-19 Lina Meinecke , Stefan Engblom , Andreas Hellander , Per Lötstedt

In the paper, we present a strategy for accelerating posterior inference for unknown inputs in time fractional diffusion models. In many inference problems, the posterior may be concentrated in a small portion of the entire prior support.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-07-03 Lijian Jiang , Na Ou

Inverse problems are ubiquitous because they formalize the integration of data with mathematical models. In many scientific applications the forward model is expensive to evaluate, and adjoint computations are difficult to employ; in this…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-05 G. A. Pavliotis , A. M. Stuart , U. Vaes

Parallel replica dynamics is a method for accelerating the computation of processes characterized by a sequence of infrequent events. In this work, the processes are governed by the overdamped Langevin equation. Such processes spend much of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-09-04 Gideon Simpson , Mitchell Luskin