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The bivariate copulas that describe the dependencies and partial dependencies of lagged variables in strictly stationary, first-order GARCH-type processes are investigated. It is shown that the copulas of symmetric GARCH processes are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-10 Alexandra Dias , Jialing Han , Alexander J. McNeil

We propose a copula based method to handle missing values in multivariate data of mixed types in multilevel data sets. Building upon the extended rank likelihood of \cite{hoff2007extending} and the multinomial probit model, our model is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Jiali Wang , Bronwyn Loong , Anton H. Westveld , Alan H. Welsh

Copulas are widely used in financial economics as well as in other areas of applied mathematics. Yet, there is much arbitrariness in their choice. The author proposes "a natural copula" concept, which minimizes Wasserstein distance between…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Peter B. Lerner

This paper investigates the cross-correlations across multiple climate model errors. We build a Bayesian hierarchical model that accounts for the spatial dependence of individual models as well as cross-covariances across different climate…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-02 Huiyan Sang , Mikyoung Jun , Jianhua Z. Huang

This paper considers a multivariate spatial random field, with each component having univariate marginal distributions of the skew-Gaussian type. We assume that the field is defined spatially on the unit sphere embedded in $\mathbb{R}^3$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-05 Alfredo Alegría , Sandra Caro , Moreno Bevilacqua , Emilio Porcu , Jorge Clarke

In this manuscript, we consider a finite multivariate nonparametric mixture model where the dependence between the marginal densities is modeled using the copula device. Pseudo EM stochastic algorithms were recently proposed to estimate all…

Computation · Statistics 2022-12-14 Michael Levine , Gildas Mazo

In this paper, we obtain general representations for the joint distributions and copulas of arbitrary dependent random variables absolutely continuous with respect to the product of given one-dimensional marginal distributions. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Victor H. de la Peña , Rustam Ibragimov , Shaturgun Sharakhmetov

We propose a multiscale approach for predicting quantities in dynamical systems which is explicitly structured to extract information in both fine-to-coarse and coarse-to-fine directions. We envision this method being generally applicable…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-30 Karl Otness , Laure Zanna , Joan Bruna

In many applications including financial risk measurement, copulas have shown to be a powerful building block to reflect multivariate dependence between several random variables including the mapping of tail dependencies. A famous key…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-09 Frank Oertel

New in the probability theory and eventology theory, the concept of Kopula (eventological copula) is introduced. The theorem on the characterization of the sets of events by Kopula is proved, which serves as the eventological pre-image of…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-02-23 Oleg Yu. Vorobyev

Multivariate count data are defined as the number of items of different categories issued from sampling within a population, which individuals are grouped into categories. The analysis of multivariate count data is a recurrent and crucial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-17 Pierre Fernique , Jean-Baptiste Durand , Yann Guédon

This paper addresses the problem of quantification and propagation of uncertainties associated with dependence modeling when data for characterizing probability models are limited. Practically, the system inputs are often assumed to be…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-14 Jiaxin Zhang , Michael D. Shields

The popular choice of using a $direct$ forecasting scheme implies that the individual predictions do not contain information on cross-horizon dependence. However, this dependence is needed if the forecaster has to construct, based on…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-10 Matteo Mogliani , Florens Odendahl

We propose reinterpreting copula density estimation as a discriminative task. Under this novel estimation scheme, we train a classifier to distinguish samples from the joint density from those of the product of independent marginals,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-20 David Huk , Mark Steel , Ritabrata Dutta

We develop a new method for multivariate scalar on multidimensional distribution regression. Traditional approaches typically analyze isolated univariate scalar outcomes or consider unidimensional distributional representations as…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-17 Rahul Ghosal , Marcos Matabuena

A method for estimating the Shannon differential entropy of multidimensional random variables using independent samples is described. The method is based on decomposing the distribution into a product of the marginal distributions and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-04-22 Gil Ariel , Yoram Louzoun

The statistical analysis of univariate quantiles is a well developed research topic. However, there is a need for research in multivariate quantiles. We construct bivariate (conditional) quantiles using the level curves of vine copula based…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-04 Marija Tepegjozova , Claudia Czado

Accurately assessing financial risk requires capturing both individual asset volatility and the complex, asymmetric dependence structures that emerge during extreme market events. While modern diffusion-based models have advanced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-20 David Huk , Dongshan Wang , Miha Bresar

The empirical copula process, a fundamental tool for copula inference, is studied in the high dimensional regime where the dimension is allowed to grow to infinity exponentially in the sample size. Under natural, weak smoothness assumptions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-25 Axel Bücher , Cambyse Pakzad

In a multiple linear regression model, the algebraic formula of the decomposition theorem explains the relationship between the univariate regression coefficient and partial regression coefficient using geometry. It was found that…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-04 Xingguo Wu