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Neural simulation-based inference is a powerful class of machine-learning-based methods for statistical inference that naturally handles high-dimensional parameter estimation without the need to bin data into low-dimensional summary…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-06-16 ATLAS Collaboration

Over the past few years, several approaches utilizing score-based diffusion have been proposed to sample from probability distributions, that is without having access to exact samples and relying solely on evaluations of unnormalized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-15 Maxence Noble , Louis Grenioux , Marylou Gabrié , Alain Oliviero Durmus

Machine learning methods for identifying molecular structures from tandem mass spectra (MS/MS) have advanced rapidly, yet current approaches still exhibit significant error rates. In high-stakes applications such as clinical metabolomics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Mira Jürgens , Gaetan De Waele , Morteza Rakhshaninejad , Willem Waegeman

The density ratio model (DRM) is a semiparametric model that relates the distributions from multiple samples to a nonparametrically defined reference distribution via exponential tilting, with finite-dimensional parameters governing their…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 James Hugh McVittie , Archer Gong Zhang

While well-established methods for time-to-event data are available when the proportional hazards assumption holds, there is no consensus on the best inferential approach under non-proportional hazards (NPH). However, a wide range of…

A Two-Stage approach enables researchers to make optimal non-linear predictions via Generalized Ridge Regression using models that contain two or more x-predictor variables and make only realistic minimal assumptions. The optimal regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-11 Robert L. Obenchain

We investigate the concept of Best Approximation for Feedforward Neural Networks (FNN) and explore their convergence properties through the lens of Random Projection (RPNNs). RPNNs have predetermined and fixed, once and for all, internal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Gianluca Fabiani

The min-entropy is a widely used metric to quantify the randomness of generated random numbers, which measures the difficulty of guessing the most likely output. It is difficult to accurately estimate the min-entropy of a non-independent…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-12-20 Jiheon Woo , Chanhee Yoo , Young-Sik Kim , Yuval Cassuto , Yongjune Kim

We introduce an improved version of Random Search (RS), used here for hyperparameter optimization of machine learning algorithms. Unlike the standard RS, which generates for each trial new values for all hyperparameters, we generate new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-06 Adrian-Catalin Florea , Razvan Andonie

The random subspace method, known as the pillar of random forests, is good at making precise and robust predictions. However, there is not a straightforward way yet to combine it with deep learning. In this paper, we therefore propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-16 Yun-Hao Cao , Jianxin Wu , Hanchen Wang , Joan Lasenby

In model-free deep reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms, using noisy value estimates to supervise policy evaluation and optimization is detrimental to the sample efficiency. As this noise is heteroscedastic, its effects can be mitigated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-04 Vincent Mai , Kaustubh Mani , Liam Paull

Harrel's concordance index is a commonly used discrimination metric for survival models, particularly for models where the relative ordering of the risk of individuals is time-independent, such as the proportional hazards model. There are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-27 A. Gandy , T. J. Matcham

This paper presents a model-agnostic ensemble approach for supervised learning. The proposed approach is based on a parametric version of Random Subspace, in which each base model is learned from a feature subset sampled according to a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-23 Vân Anh Huynh-Thu , Pierre Geurts

In this paper, we explore a static setting for the assessment of risk in the context of mathematical finance and actuarial science that takes into account model uncertainty in the distribution of a possibly infinite-dimensional risk factor.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-13 Max Nendel , Alessandro Sgarabottolo

We developed a statistical inference method applicable to a broad range of generalized linear models (GLMs) in high-dimensional settings, where the number of unknown coefficients scales proportionally with the sample size. Although a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Kazuma Sawaya , Yoshimasa Uematsu , Masaaki Imaizumi

In this paper, a new modification of ranked set sampling (RSS) is suggested, namely; unified ranked set sampling (URSS) for estimating the population mean and variance. The performance of the empirical mean and variance estimators based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-07 Ehsan Zamanzade , Amer Ibrahim Al-Omari

Motivated by the need to analyze continuously updated data sets in the context of time-to-event modeling, we propose a novel nonparametric approach to estimate the conditional hazard function given a set of continuous and discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-03 Daphné Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

Risk modeling with EHR data is challenging due to a lack of direct observations on the disease outcome, and the high dimensionality of the candidate predictors. In this paper, we develop a surrogate assisted semi-supervised-learning (SAS)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-05 Jue Hou , Zijian Guo , Tianxi Cai

To avoid specification of the error distribution in a regression model, we propose a general nonparametric scale mixture model for the error distribution. For fitting such mixtures, the predictive recursion method is a simple and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-03 Ryan Martin , Zhen Han

Penalized regression methods are an attractive tool for high-dimensional data analysis, but their widespread adoption has been hampered by the difficulty of applying inferential tools. In particular, the question "How reliable is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Patrick Breheny