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A central challenge in physics is to describe non-equilibrium systems driven by randomness, such as a randomly growing interface, or fluids subject to random fluctuations that account e.g. for local stresses and heat fluxes not related to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-02-16 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , James C. McWilliams , Shouhong Wang

Many aspects of the historical relationships between populations in a species are reflected in genetic data. Inferring these relationships from genetic data, however, remains a challenging task. In this paper, we present a statistical model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-11-20 Joseph K. Pickrell , Jonathan K. Pritchard

Matching is a widely used causal inference design that aims to approximate a randomized experiment using observational data by forming matched sets of treated and control units based on similarities in their covariates. Ideally, treated…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-06 Jianan Zhu , Jeffrey Zhang , Zijian Guo , Siyu Heng

The frequency-domain properties of nonstationary functional time series often contain valuable information. These properties are characterized through its time-varying power spectrum. Practitioners seeking low-dimensional summary measures…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-12 Pramita Bagchi , Scott A. Bruce

In this paper, we present an abstract framework to obtain convergence rates for the approximation of random evolution equations corresponding to a random family of forms determined by finite-dimensional noise. The full discretization error…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-19 Katharina Klioba , Christian Seifert

In populations competing for resources, it is natural to ask whether consuming fewer resources provides any selective advantage. To answer this question, we propose a Wright- Fisher model with two types of individuals: the inefficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-11 Adrian Gonzalez Casanova , Veronica Miro Pina , Juan Carlos Pardo

Modeling non-stationary processes, where statistical properties vary across the input domain, is a critical challenge in machine learning; yet most scalable methods rely on a simplifying assumption of stationarity. This forces a difficult…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Sawan Kumar , Souvik Chakraborty

A Bayesian nonparametric approach to the study of species diversity based on choosing a random discrete distribution as a prior model for the unknown relative abundances of species has been recently introduced in Lijoi et al. (2007, 2008).…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-09 Annalisa Cerquetti

Non-stationarity is a fundamental challenge in multivariate long-term time series forecasting, often manifested as rapid changes in amplitude and phase. These variations lead to severe distribution shifts and consequently degrade predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Yue Hu , Jialiang Tang , Siwei Yu , Baosheng Yu , Jing Zhang , Dacheng Tao

In this paper, we consider a mathematical model for the evolution of neutral genetic diversity in a spatial continuum including mutations, genetic drift and either short range or long range dispersal. The model we consider is the spatial $…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Raphaël Forien

The stationary sampling distribution of a neutral decoupled Moran or Wright-Fisher diffusion with neutral mutations is known to first order for a general rate matrix with small but otherwise unconstrained mutation rates. Using this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-07 Claus Vogl , Lynette C. Mikula , Conrad J. Burden

The Ancestral Selection Graph (ASG) is an important genealogical process which extends the well-known Kingman coalescent to incorporate natural selection. We show that the number of lineages of the ASG with and without mutation is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-23 Philip A. Hanson , Paul A. Jenkins , Jere Koskela , Dario Spanò

We describe a continuous-time modelling framework for biological population dynamics that accounts for demographic noise. In the spirit of the methodology used by statistical physicists, transitions between the states of the system are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-19 George W. A. Constable , Alan J. McKane

The paper presents a method by which the mean field dynamics of a population of dynamical systems with parameter diversity and global coupling can be described in terms of a few macroscopic degrees of freedom. The method applies to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Silvia De Monte , Francesco d'Ovidio , Erik Mosekilde

Moran or Wright-Fisher processes are probably the most well known model to study the evolution of a population under various effects. Our object of study will be the Simpson index which measures the level of diversity of the population, one…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-25 Arnaud Personne , Arnaud Guillin , Franck Jabot , Arnaud Guillin

In Federated Learning (FL), anomaly detection (AD) is a challenging task due to the decentralized nature of data and the presence of non-IID data distributions. This study introduces a novel federated threshold calculation method that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Sofiane Laridi , Gregory Palmer , Kam-Ming Mark Tam

Semiparametric regression offers a flexible framework for modeling non-linear relationships between a response and covariates. A prime example are generalized additive models where splines (say) are used to approximate non-linear functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-05 Francis K. C. Hui , Chong You , Han Lin Shang , Samuel Müller

Distribution-to-distribution generative models support scientific imaging tasks ranging from modeling cellular perturbation responses to translating medical images across conditions. Trustworthy generation requires reliability, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Dongxia Wu , Yuhui Zhang , Serena Yeung-Levy , Emma Lundberg , Emily B. Fox

Data assimilation combines information from models, measurements, and priors to estimate the state of a dynamical system such as the atmosphere. The Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a family of ensemble-based data assimilation approaches…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-12-09 Ahmed Attia , Adrian Sandu

Our models for detecting the effect of adaptation on population genomic diversity are often predicated on a single newly arisen mutation sweeping rapidly to fixation. However, a population can also adapt to a new situation by multiple…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-26 Peter Ralph , Graham Coop