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We present an exact algorithm for mean-risk optimization subject to a budget constraint, where decision variables may be continuous or integer. The risk is measured by the covariance matrix and weighted by an arbitrary monotone function,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-08 Christoph Buchheim , Marianna De Santis , Francesco Rinaldi , Long Trieu

We propose a new risk-constrained reformulation of the standard Linear Quadratic Regulator (LQR) problem. Our framework is motivated by the fact that the classical (risk-neutral) LQR controller, although optimal in expectation, might be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-30 Anastasios Tsiamis , Dionysios S. Kalogerias , Luiz F. O. Chamon , Alejandro Ribeiro , George J. Pappas

In the standard Gaussian linear measurement model $Y=X\mu_0+\xi \in \mathbb{R}^m$ with a fixed noise level $\sigma>0$, we consider the problem of estimating the unknown signal $\mu_0$ under a convex constraint $\mu_0 \in K$, where $K$ is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-24 Qiyang Han

We propose a risk measurement approach for a risk-averse stochastic problem. We provide results that guarantee that our problem has a solution. We characterize and explore the properties of the argmin as a risk measure and the minimum as a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Marcelo Brutti Righi , Fernanda Maria Müller , Marlon Ruoso Moresco

We introduce an alternative closed form lower bound on the Gaussian process ($\mathcal{GP}$) likelihood based on the R\'enyi $\alpha$-divergence. This new lower bound can be viewed as a convex combination of the Nystr\"om approximation and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-04 Xubo Yue , Raed Kontar

We propose a unified framework for likelihood-based regression modeling when the response variable has finite support. Our work is motivated by the fact that, in practice, observed data are discrete and bounded. The proposed methods assume…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-13 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Matteo Bottai

This paper studies a mean-risk portfolio choice problem for log-returns in a continuous-time, complete market. This is a growth-optimal problem with risk control. The risk of log-returns is measured by weighted Value-at-Risk (WVaR), which…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-30 Pengyu Wei , Zuo Quan Xu

The Lasso is biased. Concave penalized least squares estimation (PLSE) takes advantage of signal strength to reduce this bias, leading to sharper error bounds in prediction, coefficient estimation and variable selection. For prediction and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-29 Long Feng , Cun-Hui Zhang

We investigate the nonlinear regression problem under L2 loss (square loss) functions. Traditional nonlinear regression models often result in non-convex optimization problems with respect to the parameter set. We show that a convex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-03 Kaan Gokcesu , Hakan Gokcesu

This article considers nonconvex global optimization problems subject to uncertainties described by continuous random variables. Such problems arise in chemical process design, renewable energy systems, stochastic model predictive control,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-27 Yuanxun Shao , Joseph Kirk Scott

Models like LASSO and ridge regression are extensively used in practice due to their interpretability, ease of use, and strong theoretical guarantees. Cross-validation (CV) is widely used for hyperparameter tuning in these models, but do…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-03 William T. Stephenson , Zachary Frangella , Madeleine Udell , Tamara Broderick

Given a prediction task, understanding when one can and cannot design a consistent convex surrogate loss, particularly a low-dimensional one, is an important and active area of machine learning research. The prediction task may be given as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Jessie Finocchiaro , Rafael Frongillo , Bo Waggoner

We consider a general statistical learning problem where an unknown fraction of the training data is corrupted. We develop a robust learning method that only requires specifying an upper bound on the corrupted data fraction. The method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-10 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Peter Stoica

Estimating and assessing the risk of a large portfolio is an important topic in financial econometrics and risk management. The risk is often estimated by a substitution of a good estimator of the volatility matrix. However, the accuracy of…

Applications · Statistics 2013-02-06 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Liao , Xiaofeng Shi

Risk estimation is at the core of many learning systems. The importance of this problem has motivated researchers to propose different schemes, such as cross validation, generalized cross validation, and Bootstrap. The theoretical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Ji Xu , Arian Maleki , Kamiar Rahnama Rad , Daniel Hsu

We lower bound the complexity of finding $\epsilon$-stationary points (with gradient norm at most $\epsilon$) using stochastic first-order methods. In a well-studied model where algorithms access smooth, potentially non-convex functions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-01 Yossi Arjevani , Yair Carmon , John C. Duchi , Dylan J. Foster , Nathan Srebro , Blake Woodworth

We show that a random concave function having a periodic hessian on an equilateral lattice has a quadratic scaling limit, if the average hessian of the function satisfies certain conditions. We consider the set of all concave functions $g$…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-24 Hariharan Narayanan

We establish a new concentration result for regularized risk minimizers which is similar to an oracle inequality. Applying this inequality to regularized least squares minimizers like least squares support vector machines, we show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ingo Steinwart , Don Hush , Clint Scovel

In stochastic convex optimization the goal is to minimize a convex function $F(x) \doteq {\mathbf E}_{{\mathbf f}\sim D}[{\mathbf f}(x)]$ over a convex set $\cal K \subset {\mathbb R}^d$ where $D$ is some unknown distribution and each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-12-28 Vitaly Feldman

We consider an on-line least squares regression problem with optimal solution $\theta^*$ and Hessian matrix H, and study a time-average stochastic gradient descent estimator of $\theta^*$. For $k\ge2$, we provide an unbiased estimator of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-18 Nabil Kahalé