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Generalized cross-validation (GCV) is a widely-used method for estimating the squared out-of-sample prediction risk that employs a scalar degrees of freedom adjustment (in a multiplicative sense) to the squared training error. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-23 Pierre C. Bellec , Jin-Hong Du , Takuya Koriyama , Pratik Patil , Kai Tan

We consider the estimation of a bounded regression function with nonparametric heteroscedastic noise and random design. We study the true and empirical excess risks of the least-squares estimator on finite-dimensional vector spaces. We give…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-29 Adrien Saumard

We study a non-concave optimization problem in which a financial company maximizes the expected utility of the surplus under a risk-based regulatory constraint. For this problem, we consider four different prevalent risk constraints…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-22 An Chen , Mitja Stadje , Fangyuan Zhang

In this paper, we initiate a systematic investigation of differentially private algorithms for convex empirical risk minimization. Various instantiations of this problem have been studied before. We provide new algorithms and matching lower…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-10-21 Raef Bassily , Adam Smith , Abhradeep Thakurta

Bounds on the log partition function are important in a variety of contexts, including approximate inference, model fitting, decision theory, and large deviations analysis. We introduce a new class of upper bounds on the log partition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Martin Wainwright , Tommi S. Jaakkola , Alan Willsky

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is perhaps the most prevalent optimization method in modern machine learning. Contrary to the empirical practice of sampling from the datasets without replacement and with (possible) reshuffling at each…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-08 Xufeng Cai , Cheuk Yin Lin , Jelena Diakonikolas

The advances in conic optimization have led to its increased utilization for modeling data uncertainty. In particular, conic mean-risk optimization gained prominence in probabilistic and robust optimization. Whereas the corresponding conic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-08-28 Alper Atamturk , Carlos Deck , Hyemin Jeon

Stochastic approximation (SA) is a classical approach for stochastic convex optimization. Previous studies have demonstrated that the convergence rate of SA can be improved by introducing either smoothness or strong convexity condition. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-29 Lijun Zhang , Zhi-Hua Zhou

The performance of Least Squares (LS) estimators is studied in isotonic, unimodal and convex regression. Our results have the form of sharp oracle inequalities that account for the model misspecification error. In isotonic and unimodal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-09 Pierre C. Bellec

We consider the classic Kelly gambling problem with general distribution of outcomes, and an additional risk constraint that limits the probability of a drawdown of wealth to a given undesirable level. We develop a bound on the drawdown…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-22 Enzo Busseti , Ernest K. Ryu , Stephen Boyd

There has been substantial recent work on methods for estimating the slope function in linear regression for functional data analysis. However, as in the case of more conventional finite-dimensional regression, much of the practical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 T. Tony Cai , Peter Hall

Shape constraints in nonparametric regression provide a powerful framework for estimating regression functions under realistic assumptions without tuning parameters. However, most existing methods$\unicode{x2013}$except additive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Dohyeong Ki , Adityanand Guntuboyina

A general lower bound is developed for the minimax risk when estimating an arbitrary functional. The bound is based on testing two composite hypotheses and is shown to be effective in estimating the nonsmooth functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-17 T. Tony Cai , Mark G. Low

We establish a nonasymptotic lower bound on the $L_2$ minimax risk for a class of generalized linear models. It is further shown that the minimax risk for the canonical linear model matches this lower bound up to a universal constant.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Kuan-Yun Lee , Thomas A. Courtade

We obtain sharp oracle inequalities for the empirical risk minimization procedure in the regression model under the assumption that the target Y and the model F are subgaussian. The bound we obtain is sharp in the minimax sense if F is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-20 Guillaume Lecué , Shahar Mendelson

We consider the problem of estimating an unknown $n_1 \times n_2$ matrix $\mathbf{\theta^*}$ from noisy observations under the constraint that $\mathbf{\theta}^*$ is nondecreasing in both rows and columns. We consider the least squares…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-03 Sabyasachi Chatterjee , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Bodhisattva Sen

We consider the problems of estimation and optimization of two popular convex risk measures: utility-based shortfall risk (UBSR) and Optimized Certainty Equivalent (OCE) risk. We extend these risk measures to cover possibly unbounded random…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Sumedh Gupte , Prashanth L. A. , Sanjay P. Bhat

We study the nonparametric least squares estimator (LSE) of a multivariate convex regression function. The LSE, given as the solution to a quadratic program with $O(n^2)$ linear constraints ($n$ being the sample size), is difficult to…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-29 Rahul Mazumder , Arkopal Choudhury , Garud Iyengar , Bodhisattva Sen

We derive a risk lower bound in estimating the threshold parameter without knowing whether the threshold regression model is continuous or not. The bound goes to zero as the sample size $ n $ grows only at the cube root rate. Motivated by…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-03-02 Javier Hidalgo , Heejun Lee , Jungyoon Lee , Myung Hwan Seo

The softmax function is a ubiquitous component at the output of neural networks and increasingly in intermediate layers as well. This paper provides convex lower bounds and concave upper bounds on the softmax function, which are compatible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Dennis Wei , Haoze Wu , Min Wu , Pin-Yu Chen , Clark Barrett , Eitan Farchi