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Deep neural networks are often ignorant about what they do not know and overconfident when they make uninformed predictions. Some recent approaches quantify classification uncertainty directly by training the model to output high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Murat Sensoy , Lance Kaplan , Federico Cerutti , Maryam Saleki

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is essential for creating trustworthy machine learning models. Recent years have seen a steep rise in UQ methods that can flag suspicious examples, however, it is often unclear what exactly these methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Hao Sun , Boris van Breugel , Jonathan Crabbe , Nabeel Seedat , Mihaela van der Schaar

Modern control theory provides us with a spectrum of methods for studying the interconnection of dynamic systems using input-output properties of the interconnected subsystems. Perhaps the most advanced framework for such input-output…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-04 Aleksandr Talitckii , Peter Seiler , Matthew M. Peet

Large Language Models (LLMs) have enabled new ways to satisfy information needs. Although great strides have been made in applying them to settings like document ranking and short-form text generation, they still struggle to compose…

Neural networks predictions are unreliable when the input sample is out of the training distribution or corrupted by noise. Being able to detect such failures automatically is fundamental to integrate deep learning algorithms into robotics.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Antonio Loquercio , Mattia Segù , Davide Scaramuzza

The problem of behaviour prediction for linear parameter-varying systems is considered in the interval framework. It is assumed that the system is subject to uncertain inputs and the vector of scheduling parameters is unmeasurable, but all…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-08-13 Edouard Leurent , Denis Efimov , Tarek Raïssi , Wilfrid Perruquetti

Complex systems are often driven by higher-order interactions among multiple units, naturally represented as hypergraphs. Understanding dependency structures within these hypergraphs is crucial for understanding and predicting the behavior…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-05-29 John Hood , Caterina De Bacco , Aaron Schein

In this paper, we address the challenge of multivariate time-series forecasting using quantum machine learning techniques. We introduce adaptation strategies that extend variational quantum circuit models, traditionally limited to…

We investigate a data-driven approach to constructing uncertainty sets for robust optimization problems, where the uncertain problem parameters are modeled as random variables whose joint probability distribution is not known. Relying only…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Polina Alexeenko , Eilyan Bitar

Machine-learning technologies for learning dynamical systems from data play an important role in engineering design. This research focuses on learning continuous linear models from data. Stability, a key feature of dynamic systems, is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-25 Pawan Goyal , Igor Pontes Duff , Peter Benner

This paper analyzes the computational complexity of validated interval methods for uncertain nonlinear systems and steady-state enclosure. Interval analysis produces guaranteed enclosures that account for uncertainty and round-off, but its…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Rudra Prakash , S. Janardhanan , Shaunak Sen

Most modern probabilistic generative models, such as the variational autoencoder (VAE), have certain indeterminacies that are unresolvable even with an infinite amount of data. Different tasks tolerate different indeterminacies, however…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-06 Quanhan Xi , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy

Mechanical metamaterials represent an innovative class of artificial structures, distinguished by their extraordinary mechanical characteristics, which are beyond the scope of traditional natural materials. The use of deep generative models…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-31 Zihan Wang , Anindya Bhaduri , Hongyi Xu , Liping Wang

As large language models continue to be widely developed, robust uncertainty quantification techniques will become crucial for their safe deployment in high-stakes scenarios. In this work, we explore how conformal prediction can be used to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Bhawesh Kumar , Charlie Lu , Gauri Gupta , Anil Palepu , David Bellamy , Ramesh Raskar , Andrew Beam

With rapid adoption of deep learning in critical applications, the question of when and how much to trust these models often arises, which drives the need to quantify the inherent uncertainties. While identifying all sources that account…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-22 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Bindya Venkatesh , Prasanna Sattigeri , Peer-Timo Bremer

As autonomous systems become more complex and integral in our society, the need to accurately model and safely control these systems has increased significantly. In the past decade, there has been tremendous success in using deep learning…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Hao Wang , Javier Borquez , Somil Bansal

Traditional approaches to outage-constrained beamforming optimization rely on statistical assumptions about channel distributions and estimation errors. However, the resulting outage probability guarantees are only valid when these…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Xin Su , Qiushuo Hou , Ruisi He , Osvaldo Simeone

Parametric uncertainty in nonlinear dynamical systems can fundamentally alter bifurcation behaviour, leading to qualitative response changes. Predicting operating margins/envelopes under such uncertainties is critical but challenging:…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Dongxiao Hong , David A. W. Barton , Simon A. Neild

Handling graph data is one of the most difficult tasks. Traditional techniques, such as those based on geometry and matrix factorization, rely on assumptions about the data relations that become inadequate when handling large and complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Zhenyu Qian , Yiming Qian , Yuting Song , Fei Gao , Hai Jin , Chen Yu , Xia Xie

In this work, we present a new class of models, called uncertain-input models, that allows us to treat system-identification problems in which a linear system is subject to a partially unknown input signal. To encode prior information about…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-09-12 Riccardo Sven Risuleo , Giulio Bottegal , Håkan Hjalmarsson
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