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We address the common problem of calculating intervals in the presence of systematic uncertainties. We aim to investigate several approaches, but here describe just a Bayesian technique for setting upper limits. The particular example we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Joel Heinrich , Craig Blocker , John Conway , Luc Demortier , Louis Lyons , Giovanni Punzi , Pekka K. Sinervo

We investigate the connections between the mean pathwise regularity of stochastic processes and their L^r(P)-functional quantization rates as random variables taking values in some L^p([0,T],dt)-spaces (0 < p <= r). Our main tool is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-03 Harald Luschgy , Gilles Pagès

We first study a $d$-dimensional branching Brownian motion (BBM) among mild Poissonian obstacles, where a random trap field in $\mathbb{R}^d$ is created via a Poisson point process. The trap field consists of balls of fixed radius centered…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-18 Mehmet Öz

In this paper, we give sufficient conditions to establish central limit theorems for boundary estimates of Poisson point processes. The considered estimates are obtained by smoothing some bias corrected extreme values of the point process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-31 Stéphane Girard , Ludovic Menneteau

We study nonparametric Bayesian statistical inference for the parameters governing a pure jump process of the form $$Y_t = \sum_{k=1}^{N(t)} Z_k,~~~ t \ge 0,$$ where $N(t)$ is a standard Poisson process of intensity $\lambda$, and $Z_k$ are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Richard Nickl , Jakob Söhl

We derive Wasserstein distance bounds between the probability distributions of a stochastic integral (It\^o) process with jumps $(X_t)_{t\in [0,T]}$ and a jump-diffusion process $(X^\ast_t)_{t\in [0,T]}$. Our bounds are expressed using the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-12 Jean-Christophe Breton , Nicolas Privault

This work presents several expected generalization error bounds based on the Wasserstein distance. More specifically, it introduces full-dataset, single-letter, and random-subset bounds, and their analogues in the randomized subsample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-29 Borja Rodríguez-Gálvez , Germán Bassi , Ragnar Thobaben , Mikael Skoglund

This paper proposes and analyses a new multilevel Monte Carlo method for the estimation of mean exit times for multi-dimensional Brownian diffusions, and associated functionals which correspond to solutions to high-dimensional parabolic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Michael B. Giles , Francisco Bernal

U-statistics of spatial point processes given by a density with respect to a Poisson process are investigated. In the first half of the paper general relations are derived for the moments of the functionals using kernels from the Wiener-Ito…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Viktor Benes , Marketa Zikmundova

We study the asymptotic distribution of the output of a stable Linear Time-Invariant (LTI) system driven by a non-Gaussian stochastic input. Motivated by longstanding heuristics in the stochastic describing function method, we rigorously…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-03 Yashaswini Murthy , Bassam Bamieh , R. Srikant

Bayesian Poisson probability distributions for the average n can be analytically converted into equivalent chi-squared distributions. These can then be combined with other Gaussian or Bayesian Poisson distributions to make a total…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Dennis Silverman

Let $H$ be a real separable Hilbert space and $(a_k)_{k\in\mathbb{Z}}$ a sequence of bounded linear operators from $H$ to $H$. We consider the linear process $X$ defined for any $k$ in $\mathbb{Z}$ by…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-07 Mohamed EL Machkouri

We consider a branching random walk on $d$-dimensional real space with immigration in a time-dependent random environment. Let $Z_n(\mathbf t)$ be the so-called partition function of the process, namely, the moment generating function of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-18 Chunmao Huang , Yukun Ren , Runze Li

This paper proposes a new methodology to perform Bayesian inference for a class of multidimensional Cox processes in which the intensity function is piecewise constant. Poisson processes with piecewise constant intensity functions are…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-16 Flavio B. Gonçalves , Barbara C. C. Dias

We give a number of results on approximations of Markov kernels in total variation and Wasserstein norms weighted by a Lyapunov function. The results are applied to examples from Bayesian statistics where approximations to transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-09 James E. Johndrow , Jonathan C. Mattingly

The Poisson process is one of the simplest stochastic processes defined in continuous time, having interesting mathematical properties, leading, in many situations, to applications mathematically treatable. One of the limitations of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-26 Thomas Freud , Pablo M. Rodriguez

In high energy physics, a widely used method to treat systematic uncertainties in confidence interval calculations is based on combining a frequentist construction of confidence belts with a Bayesian treatment of systematic uncertainties.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Fredrik Tegenfeldt , Jan Conrad

This paper establishes expectation and variance asymptotics for statistics of the Poisson--Voronoi approximation of general sets, as the underlying intensity of the Poisson point process tends to infinity. Statistics of interest include…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Christoph Thäle , J. E. Yukich

We use the Stein-Chen method to prove new explicit inequalities for the total variation, Wasserstein and local distances between the distribution of a random diagonal sum of a Bernoulli matrix and a Poisson distribution. Approximation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Bero Roos

This paper derives non-asymptotic error bounds for nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms in the Wasserstein-$p$ distance. To obtain explicit finite-sample guarantees for the last iterate, we develop a coupling argument that compares…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Seo Taek Kong , R. Srikant