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It is becoming increasingly important for machine learning methods to make predictions that are interpretable as well as accurate. In many practical applications, it is of interest which features and feature interactions are relevant to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-09 Viktoriya Krakovna , Jiong Du , Jun S. Liu

We propose a unifying view of two different Bayesian inference algorithms, Stochastic Gradient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (SG-MCMC) and Stein Variational Gradient Descent (SVGD), leading to improved and efficient novel sampling schemes. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-25 Victor Gallego , David Rios Insua

Most applications of Bayesian Inference for parameter estimation and model selection in astrophysics involve the use of Monte Carlo techniques such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and nested sampling. However, these techniques are time…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-01-26 Geetakrishnasai Gunapati , Anirudh Jain , P. K. Srijith , Shantanu Desai

We present an extension of Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) that strongly increases its efficiency for trees with asymmetry and/or loops. Asymmetric termination of search trees introduces a type of uncertainty for which the standard upper…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-24 Thomas M. Moerland , Joost Broekens , Aske Plaat , Catholijn M. Jonker

This work presents an efficient approach for accelerating multilevel Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for large-scale problems using low-fidelity machine learning models. While conventional techniques for large-scale Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-21 Sohail Reddy , Hillary Fairbanks

We propose a new Bayesian tracking and parameter learning algorithm for non-linear non-Gaussian multiple target tracking (MTT) models. We design a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to sample from the posterior distribution of the…

Applications · Statistics 2015-10-28 Lan Jiang , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Sinan Yıldırım

Genomes contain the mutational footprint of an organism's evolutionary history, shaped by diverse forces including ecological factors, selective pressures, and life history traits. The sequentially Markovian coalescent (SMC) is a versatile…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-03 David Peede , Trevor Cousins , Arun Durvasula , Anastasia Ignatieva , Toby G. L. Kovacs , Alba Nieto , Emily E. Puckett , Elizabeth T. Chevy

Generative models derived from large protein sequence alignments define complex fitness landscapes, but their utility for accurately modeling non-equilibrium evolutionary dynamics remains unclear. In this work, we perform a rigorous…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-10 Leonardo Di Bari , Thierry Mora , Andrea Pagnani , Aleksandra M. Walczak , Francesco Zamponi , Saverio Rossi

In large-scale genomic applications vast numbers of molecular features are scanned in order to find a small number of candidates which are linked to a particular disease or phenotype. This is a variable selection problem in the "large p,…

Computation · Statistics 2014-02-13 Manuela Zucknick , Sylvia Richardson

Factors models are routinely used to analyze high-dimensional data in both single-study and multi-study settings. Bayesian inference for such models relies on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods which scale poorly as the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Blake Hansen , Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco , Massimiliano Russo , Roberta De Vito

We present a novel preference learning framework to capture participant preferences efficiently within limited interaction rounds. It involves three main contributions. First, we develop a variational Bayesian approach to infer the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Yan Wang , Jiapeng Liu , Milosz Kadziński , Xiuwu Liao

One of the goals of phylogenetic research is to find the species tree describing the evolutionary history of a set of species. But the trees derived from geneti data with the help of tree inference methods are gene trees that need not…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-28 Mareike Fischer , Martin Kreidl

Recently there has been renewed interest in phylogenetic inference methods based on phylogenetic invariants, alongside the related Markov invariants. Broadly speaking, both these approaches give rise to polynomial functions of sequence site…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-31 Jeremy G Sumner , Amelia Taylor , Barbara R Holland , Peter D Jarvis

We consider the problem of estimating species trees from unrooted gene tree topologies in the presence of incomplete lineage sorting, a common phenomenon that creates gene tree heterogeneity in multilocus datasets. One popular class of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-21 Sebastien Roch

We present a new method for inferring species trees from multi-copy gene trees. Our method is based on a generalization of the Robinson-Foulds (RF) distance to multi-labeled trees (mul-trees), i.e., gene trees in which multiple leaves can…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2012-10-10 Ruchi Chaudhary , J. Gordon Burleigh , David Fernández-Baca

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have revolutionised Bayesian data analysis over the years by making the direct computation of posterior probability densities feasible on modern workstations. However, the calculation of the prior…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Rutger van Haasteren

Monte Carlo algorithms, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC), are routinely used for Bayesian inference in generalized linear models; however, these algorithms are prohibitively slow in massive data…

Computation · Statistics 2020-08-31 Nariankadu D. Shyamalkumar , Sanvesh Srivastava

Branch-specific substitution models are popular for detecting evolutionary change-points, such as shifts in selective pressure. However, applying such models typically requires prior knowledge of change-point locations on the phylogeny or…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-06 Xiang Ji , Benjamin Redelings , Shuo Su , Hongcun Bao , Wu-Min Deng , Samuel L. Hong , Guy Baele , Philippe Lemey , Marc A. Suchard

Deriving Bayesian inference for exponential random graph models (ERGMs) is a challenging "doubly intractable" problem as the normalizing constants of the likelihood and posterior density are both intractable. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-26 Linda S. L. Tan , Nial Friel

The FBMS R package facilitates Bayesian model selection and model averaging in complex regression settings by employing a variety of Monte Carlo model exploration methods. At its core, the package implements an efficient Mode Jumping Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Florian Frommlet , Jon Lachmann , Geir Storvik , Aliaksandr Hubin