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Many real-world problems encountered in several disciplines deal with the modeling of time-series containing different underlying dynamical regimes, for which probabilistic approaches are very often employed. In this paper we describe…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-19 Silvia Chiappa

In this study we investigate shallow turbidity density currents and underflows from mechanical point of view. We propose a simple hyperbolic model for such flows. On one hand, our model is based on very basic conservation principles. On the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-02-20 Valery Liapidevskii , Denys Dutykh , Marguerite Gisclon

In this paper, we propose a data-driven robust safety verification framework for stochastic dynamical systems modeled as Markov decision processes with time-varying and uncertain transition probabilities. Rather than assuming access to the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-09 Abhijit Mazumdar , Manuela L. Bujorianu , Rafal Wisniewski

The linear response of a dynamical system refers to changes to properties of the system when small external perturbations are applied. We consider the little-studied question of selecting an optimal perturbation so as to (i) maximise the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Fadi Antown , Davor Dragičević , Gary Froyland

Using random matrices, we study the reduced dynamics of a two level system interacting with a generic environment. In the weak coupling limit, the result can be obtained directly from known results for purity decay, and result in Markovian…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-02-01 Nephtalí Garrido , Thomas Gorin , Carlos Pineda

A simplified analysis is performed on the Bode-type filtering sensitivity trade-off integrals, which capture the sensitivity characteristics of the estimate and estimation error with respect to the process input and estimated signal in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-11 Neng Wan , Dapeng Li , Lin Song , Naira Hovakimyan

This paper investigates sensor scheduling for state estimation of complex networks over shared transmission channels. For a complex network of dynamical systems, referred to as nodes, a sensor network is adopted to measure and estimate the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-12 Peihu Duan , Lidong He , Lingying Huang , Guanrong Chen , Ling Shi

The work treats systems combining slow and fast motions depending on each other where fast motions are perturbations of families of either dynamical systems or Markov processes with freezed slow variable. In the first case we consider…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-02-21 Yuri Kifer

Dynamic heterogeneity has often been modeled by assuming that a single-particle observable, fluctuating at a molecular scale, is influenced by its coupling to environmental variables fluctuating on a second, perhaps slower, time scale.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Gregor Diezemann , Gerald Hinze , Hans Sillescu

Using a novel toy nautical navigation environment, we show that dynamic programming can be used when only incomplete information about a partially observed Markov decision process (POMDP) is known. By incorporating uncertainty into our…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Chris Beeler , Xinkai Li , Colin Bellinger , Mark Crowley , Maia Fraser , Isaac Tamblyn

This paper presents a new filter for state-space models based on Bellman's dynamic-programming principle, allowing for nonlinearity, non-Gaussianity and degeneracy in the observation and/or state-transition equations. The resulting Bellman…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Rutger-Jan Lange

The dynamics of many open quantum systems are described by stochastic master equations. In the discrete-time case, we recall the structure of the derived quantum filter governing the evolution of the density operator conditioned to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-23 Pierre Six , Philippe Campagne-Ibarcq , Landry Bretheau , Benjamin Huard , Pierre Rouchon

A classical approach to formal policy synthesis in stochastic dynamical systems is to construct a finite-state abstraction, often represented as a Markov decision process (MDP). The correctness of these approaches hinges on a behavioural…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-08 Thom Badings , Alessandro Abate

For challenging state estimation problems arising in domains like vision and robotics, particle-based representations attractively enable temporal reasoning about multiple posterior modes. Particle smoothers offer the potential for more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Ali Younis , Erik B. Sudderth

The work is about multiscale stochastic dynamical systems driven by L\'evy processes. First, we prove that these systems can approximate low-dimensional systems on random invariant manifolds. Second, we establish that nonlinear filterings…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-26 Huijie Qiao

In recent years, machine learning has been adopted to complex networks, but most existing works concern about the structural properties. To use machine learning to detect phase transitions and accurately identify the critical transition…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-08 Qi Ni , Ming Tang , Ying Liu , Ying-Cheng Lai

We consider multiscale stochastic systems that are partially observed at discrete points of the slow time scale. We introduce a particle filter that takes advantage of the multiscale structure of the system to efficiently approximate the…

Computation · Statistics 2007-10-29 Anastasia Papavasiliou

Filtering and smoothing algorithms for linear discrete-time state-space models with skewed and heavy-tailed measurement noise are presented. The algorithms use a variational Bayes approximation of the posterior distribution of models that…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-30 Henri Nurminen , Tohid Ardeshiri , Robert Piché , Fredrik Gustafsson

Network filtering is an important form of dimension reduction to isolate the core constituents of large and interconnected complex systems. We introduce a new technique to filter large dimensional networks arising out of dynamical behavior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-25 Arnab Chakrabarti , Anindya S. Chakrabarti

Exact inference for hidden Markov models requires the evaluation of all distributions of interest - filtering, prediction, smoothing and likelihood - with a finite computational effort. This article provides sufficient conditions for exact…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-11 Guillaume Kon Kam King , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Matteo Ruggiero