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It is often known, from modelling studies, that a certain mode of climate tipping (of the oceanic thermohaline circulation, for example) is governed by an underlying fold bifurcation. For such a case we present a scheme of analysis that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-12-15 J. M. T. Thompson , Jan Sieber

Sea ice is a key component of the Earth's climate system, making its aging process an essential focus of current research. The age of sea ice is closely linked to its thermal and mechanical properties, which govern its interactions with the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-09 Yihong Du , Feng Wang , Enrico Calzavarini , Chao Sun

Several different factors influence the seasonal cycle of a planet. This study uses a general circulation model and an energy balance model (EBM) to assess the parameters that govern the seasonal cycle. We define two metrics to describe the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-10-21 Ilai Guendelman , Yohai Kaspi

The glacial cycles are attributed to the climatic response of the orbital changes in the irradiance to the Earth. These changes in the forcing are to small to explain the observed climate variations as simple linear responses. Non-linear…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-02-11 Peter D. Ditlevsen

We explore the effects of seasonal variability for the climate of Earth-like planets as determined by the two parameters polar obliquity and orbital eccentricity using a general circulation model of intermediate complexity. In the first…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2014-12-02 Manuel Linsenmeier , Salvatore Pascale , Valerio Lucarini

We show by means of experiments, theory and simulations, that the slow dynamics of coarsening systems displays dynamic heterogeneity similar to that observed in glass-forming systems. We measure dynamic heterogeneity via novel multi-point…

We explore the potential multistability of the climate for a planet around the habitable zone. We focus on conditions reminiscent to those of the Earth system, but our investigation aims at presenting a general methodology for dealing with…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-15 Valerio Lucarini , Salvatore Pascale , Robert Boschi , Edilbert Kirk , Nicolas Iro

Solar activity is studied using a cluster analysis of the time-fluctuations of the sunspot number. It is shown that in an Historic period the high activity components of the solar cycles exhibit strong clustering, whereas in a Modern period…

Astrophysics · Physics 2010-11-02 A. Bershadskii

While one can unequivocally identify past climate transitions, we lack comprehensive knowledge about their underlying mechanisms and timescales. Our study employs a dimensional analysis of benthic stable isotope records to uncover, across…

In recent years, numerical models that were developed for Earth have been adapted to study exoplanetary climates to understand how the broad range of possible exoplanetary properties affects their climate state. The recent discovery and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-08-20 Thaddeus D. Komacek , Wanying Kang , Jacob Lustig-Yaeger , Stephanie L. Olson

Recent precise observations of solar global parameters are used to calibrate an upgraded solar model which takes into account magnetic fields in the solar interior. Historical data about sunspot numbers (from 1500 to the present) and solar…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-24 Sabatino Sofia , Linghuai H. Li

In a recent article by Scafetta, 2010, the author investigates whether or not the decadal and multi-decadal climate oscillations have an astronomical origin. In particular, the author note that several global surface temperature records,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-05-20 S. Sello

Low-order climate models can play an important role in understanding low-frequency variability in the atmospheric circulation and how forcing consistent with anthropogenic climate change may affect this variability. Here, we study a…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-02-04 Bernardo Maraldi , Henk Dijkstra , Michael Ghil

The climate is a forced and dissipative nonlinear system featuring non-trivial dynamics of a vast range of spatial and temporal scales. The understanding of the climate's structural and multiscale properties is crucial for the provision of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-17 Valerio Lucarini , Richard Blender , Corentin Herbert , Salvatore Pascale , Francesco Ragone , Jeroen Wouters

Recent work has provided ample evidence that nonlinear methods of time series analysis potentially allow for detecting periods of anomalous dynamics in paleoclimate proxy records that are otherwise hidden to classical statis- tical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-09-27 Jasper G. Franke , Reik V. Donner

Complex systems are often characterized by the interplay of multiple interconnected dynamical processes operating across a range of temporal scales. This phenomenon is widespread in both biological and artificial scenarios, making it…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-08 Giorgio Nicoletti , Daniel M. Busiello

The magnetic cycle of the Sun, as manifested in the cyclic appearance of sunspots, significantly influences our space environment and space-based technologies by generating what is now termed as space weather. Long-term variation in the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-10-27 Dibyendu Nandy

In the coming decades, the discovery of the first truly Earth-like exoplanets is anticipated. The characterisation of those planets will play a vital role in determining which are chosen as targets for the search for life beyond the Solar…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-11-20 J. Horner , J. B. Gilmore , D. Waltham

Phenological timing -- i.e. the course of annually recurring development stages in nature -- is of particular interest since it can be understood as a proxy for the climate at a specific region; moreover changes in the so called…

Biological Physics · Physics 2014-09-15 Diego Rybski , Anne Holsten , Jürgen P. Kropp

Following the mid-Pleistocene transition, the dominant period of glacial cycles changed from 40 ka to ~100 ka. It is broadly accepted that the 40 ka glacial cycles were driven by cyclical changes in obliquity. However, this forcing does not…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-10-30 Jonathan M. A. Burley , Peter Huybers , Richard F. Katz
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