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Financial markets, being spectacular examples of complex systems, display rich correlation structures among price returns of different assets. The correlation structures change drastically, akin to phase transitions in physical phenomena,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-23 Anirban Chakraborti , Hrishidev , Kiran Sharma , Hirdesh K. Pharasi

The literature provides strong evidence that stock prices can be predicted from past price data. Principal component analysis (PCA) is a widely used mathematical technique for dimensionality reduction and analysis of data by identifying a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-15 Mahsa Ghorbani , Edwin K. P. Chong

Financial correlation matrices measure the unsystematic correlations between stocks. Such information is important for risk management. The correlation matrices are known to be ``noise dressed''. We develop a new and alternative method to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Thomas Guhr , Bernd Kaelber

The correlation coefficient between stocks depends on price history and includes information on hierarchical structure in financial markets. It is useful for portfolio selection and estimation of risk. I introduce the Life Time of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-06-01 Andrzej Buda

Estimation of the covariance matrix of asset returns is crucial to portfolio construction. As suggested by economic theories, the correlation structure among assets differs between emerging markets and developed countries. It is therefore…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Xin Chen , Dan Yang , Yan Xu , Yin Xia , Dong Wang , Haipeng Shen

This paper aims to develop new techniques to describe joint behavior of stocks, beyond regression and correlation. For example, we want to identify the clusters of the stocks that move together. Our work is based on applying Kernel…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-28 Charu Sharma , Amber Habib , Sunil Bowry

It is commonly believed that the correlations between stock returns increase in high volatility periods. We investigate how much of these correlations can be explained within a simple non-Gaussian one-factor description with time…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 Pierre Cizeau , Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

This paper proposes a new factor rotation for the context of functional principal components analysis. This rotation seeks to re-represent a functional subspace in terms of directions of decreasing smoothness as represented by a generalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-18 Giles Hooker , Steven Roberts

Motivation: Although principal component analysis is frequently applied to reduce the dimensionality of matrix data, the method is sensitive to noise and bias and has difficulty with comparability and interpretation. These issues are…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-27 Tomokazu Konishi

In this study, we have investigated factors of determination which can affect the connected structure of a stock network. The representative index for topological properties of a stock network is the number of links with other stocks. We…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 Cheoljun Eom , Gabjin Oh , Seunghwan Kim

Combining principles with pragmatism, a new approach and accompanying algorithm are presented to a longstanding problem in applied statistics: the interpretation of principal components. Following Rousson and Gasser [53 (2004) 539--555]…

Applications · Statistics 2011-04-19 Karim Anaya-Izquierdo , Frank Critchley , Karen Vines

Random matrix theory allows one to deduce the eigenvalue spectrum of a large matrix given only statistical information about its elements. Such results provide insight into what factors contribute to the stability of complex dynamical…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-01-30 Joseph W. Baron , Thomas Jun Jewell , Christopher Ryder , Tobias Galla

Multivariate Distributions are needed to capture the correlation structure of complex systems. In previous works, we developed a Random Matrix Model for such correlated multivariate joint probability density functions that accounts for the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-02 Anton J. Heckens , Efstratios Manolakis , Cedric Schuhmann , Thomas Guhr

Using Random Matrix Theory one can derive exact relations between the eigenvalue spectrum of the covariance matrix and the eigenvalue spectrum of its estimator (experimentally measured correlation matrix). These relations will be used to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Zdzislaw Burda , Jerzy Jurkiewicz

The correlation matrix is the key element in optimal portfolio allocation and risk management. In particular, the eigenvectors of the correlation matrix corresponding to large eigenvalues can be used to identify the market mode, sectors and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-05 S. Valeyre , D. S. Grebenkov , S. Aboura

Principal loading analysis is a dimension reduction method that discards variables which have only a small distorting effect on the covariance matrix. We complement principal loading analysis and propose to rather use a mix of both, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-22 Jan O. Bauer

Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is one of the most commonly used statistical methods for data exploration, and for dimensionality reduction wherein the first few principal components account for an appreciable proportion of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-11 Caren Marzban , Ulvi Yurtsever , Michael Richman

Correlations between random variables play an important role in applications, e.g.\ in financial analysis. More precisely, accurate estimates of the correlation between financial returns are crucial in portfolio management. In particular,…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-31 Pedro Galeano , Dominik Wied

Principal component analysis is a versatile tool to reduce dimensionality which has wide applications in statistics and machine learning. It is particularly useful for modeling data in high-dimensional scenarios where the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-18 Xiaoyu Hu , Fang Yao

Correlation matrices contain a wide variety of spatio-temporal information about a dynamical system. Predicting correlation matrices from partial time series information of a few nodes characterizes the spatio-temporal dynamics of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Nikhil Easaw , Woo Seok Lee , Prashant Singh Lohiya , Sarika Jalan , Priodyuti Pradhan