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Machine learning algorithms aim at minimizing the number of false decisions and increasing the accuracy of predictions. However, the high predictive power of advanced algorithms comes at the costs of transparency. State-of-the-art methods,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-30 Klaus Broelemann , Gjergji Kasneci

In prediction tasks with multi-class outcomes, identifying covariates specifically associated with one or more outcome classes can be important. Conventional variable importance measures (VIMs) from random forests (RFs), like permutation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-16 Roman Hornung , Alexander Hapfelmeier

This paper presents enhancements to the projection pursuit tree classifier and visual diagnostic methods for assessing their impact in high dimensions. The original algorithm uses linear combinations of variables in a tree structure where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-16 Natalia da Silva , Dianne Cook , Eun-Kyung Lee

A classical decision tree is completely based on splitting measures, which utilize the occurrence of random events in correspondence to its class labels in order to optimally segregate datasets. However, the splitting measures are based on…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-12-10 Diksha Sharma , Parvinder Singh , Atul Kumar

Classification and Regression Tree (CART), Random Forest (RF) and Gradient Boosting Tree (GBT) are probably the most popular set of statistical learning methods. However, their statistical consistency can only be proved under very…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-17 Haoran Zhan , Yu Liu , Yingcun Xia

We present a weighted version of Leave-One-Out (LOO) cross-validation for estimating the Integrated Squared Error (ISE) when approximating an unknown function by a predictor that depends linearly on evaluations of the function over a finite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-27 Luc Pronzato , Maria-João Rendas

Additive models, such as produced by gradient boosting, and full interaction models, such as classification and regression trees (CART), are widely used algorithms that have been investigated largely in isolation. We show that these models…

The varying-coefficient model is a strong tool for the modelling of interactions in generalized regression. It is easy to apply if both the variables that are modified as well as the effect modifiers are known. However, in general one has a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-25 Moritz Berger , Gerhard Tutz , Matthias Schmid

Many varieties of cross validation would be statistically appealing for the estimation of smoothing and other penalized regression hyperparameters, were it not for the high cost of evaluating such criteria. Here it is shown how to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-06 Simon N. Wood

Machine learning models used in medical applications often face challenges due to the covariate shift, which occurs when there are discrepancies between the distributions of training and target data. This can lead to decreased predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Mingyang Cai , Thomas Klausch , Mark A. van de Wiel

Scaling regression to large datasets is a common problem in many application areas. We propose a two step approach to scaling regression to large datasets. Using a regression tree (CART) to segment the large dataset constitutes the first…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-26 Rajiv Sambasivan , Sourish Das

When conducting a randomized controlled trial, it is common to specify in advance the statistical analyses that will be used to analyze the data. Typically these analyses will involve adjusting for small imbalances in baseline covariates.…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-04 Edward Wu , Johann Gagnon-Bartsch

In this article, we propose a novel strategy for conducting variable selection without prior model topology knowledge using the knockoff method with boosted tree models. Our method is inspired by the original knockoff method, where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-24 Tao Jiang , Yuanyuan Li , Alison A. Motsinger-Reif

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees [BART, Chipman et al., 2010] have gained significant popularity due to their remarkable predictive performance and ability to quantify uncertainty. However, standard decision tree models rely on recursive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-20 Stamatina Lamprinakou , Huiyan Sang , Bledar A. Konomi , Ligang Lu

Recursive decision trees are widely used to estimate heterogeneous causal treatment effects in experimental and observational studies. These methods are typically implemented using CART-type recursive partitioning and are often viewed as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Matias D. Cattaneo , Jason M. Klusowski , Ruiqi Rae Yu

Tree-based speculative decoding accelerates autoregressive generation by verifying a branching tree of draft tokens in a single target-model forward pass. However, existing methods prioritize maximizing token-level likelihood or the number…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Lifu Wang , Pan Zhou

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is a crucial task in online advertising to recommend products that users are likely to be interested in. To identify the best-performing models, rigorous model evaluation is necessary. Offline…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-06-27 Ramazan Tarik Turksoy , Beyza Turkmen

Computing an optimal classification tree that provably maximizes training performance within a given size limit, is NP-hard, and in practice, most state-of-the-art methods do not scale beyond computing optimal trees of depth three.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Catalin E. Brita , Jacobus G. M. van der Linden , Emir Demirović

Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) are a popular generative model, but one in which conditional inference can be challenging. If the decomposition into query and evidence variables is fixed, conditional VAEs provide an attractive solution. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-05 Ga Wu , Justin Domke , Scott Sanner

Linear model trees are regression trees that incorporate linear models in the leaf nodes. This preserves the intuitive interpretation of decision trees and at the same time enables them to better capture linear relationships, which is hard…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-10 Jakob Raymaekers , Peter J. Rousseeuw , Tim Verdonck , Ruicong Yao