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In this paper, we study finite-sample properties of the least squares estimator in first order autoregressive processes. By leveraging a result from decoupling theory, we derive upper bounds on the probability that the estimate deviates by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Rodrigo A. González , Cristian R. Rojas

We prove that the convex least squares estimator (LSE) attains a $n^{-1/2}$ pointwise rate of convergence in any region where the truth is linear. In addition, the asymptotic distribution can be characterized by a modified invelope process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-30 Yining Chen , Jon A. Wellner

We study online adversarial regression with convex losses against a rich class of continuous yet highly irregular prediction rules, modeled by Besov spaces $B\_{pq}^s$ with general parameters $1 \leq p,q \leq \infty$ and smoothness $s >…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Paul Liautaud , Pierre Gaillard , Olivier Wintenberger

An adaptive nonparametric estimation procedure is constructed for heteroscedastic regression when the noise variance depends on the unknown regression. A non-asymptotic upper bound for a quadratic risk (oracle inequality) is obtained

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-09 Leonid Galtchouk , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

We estimate convex polytopes and general convex sets in $\mathbb R^d,d\geq 2$ in the regression framework. We measure the risk of our estimators using a $L^1$-type loss function and prove upper bounds on these risks. We show that, in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-16 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

Variance reduction is a family of powerful mechanisms for stochastic optimization that appears to be helpful in many machine learning tasks. It is based on estimating the exact gradient with some recursive sequences. Previously, many papers…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Aleksandr Shestakov , Valery Parfenov , Aleksandr Beznosikov

This paper continues the research started in \cite{LW16}. In the framework of the convolution structure density model on $\bR^d$, we address the problem of adaptive minimax estimation with $\bL_p$--loss over the scale of anisotropic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-17 Oleg Lepski , Thomas Willer

We consider stationary hidden Markov models with finite state space and nonparametric modeling of the emission distributions. It has remained unknown until very recently that such models are identifiable. In this paper, we propose a new…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-29 Yohann De Castro , Élisabeth Gassiat , Claire Lacour

We consider the problem of estimating the mean of a noisy vector. When the mean lies in a convex constraint set, the least squares projection of the random vector onto the set is a natural estimator. Properties of the risk of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-15 Billy Fang , Adityanand Guntuboyina

We study the least square estimator, in the framework of simple linear regression, when the deviance term $\varepsilon$ with respect to the linear model is modeled by a uniform distribution. In particular, we give the law of this estimator,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-09 M Jlibene , S Taoufik , S Benjelloun

Supervised learning by extreme learning machines resp. neural networks with random weights is studied under a non-stationary spatial-temporal sampling design which especially addresses settings where an autonomous object moving in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-02 Ansgar Steland

This paper studies the asymptotic properties of the adaptive elastic net in ultra-high dimensional sparse linear regression models and proposes a new method called SSLS (Separate Selection from Least Squares) to improve prediction accuracy.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-15 Yuehan Yang , Hu Yang

The paper is devoted to the problem of estimation of a univariate component in a heteroscedastic nonparametric multiple regression under the mean integrated squared error (MISE) criteria. The aim is to understand how the scale function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-14 Sam Efromovich

Under the usual nonparametric regression model with Gaussian errors, Least Squares Estimators (LSEs) over natural subclasses of convex functions are shown to be suboptimal for estimating a $d$-dimensional convex function in squared error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Gil Kur , Fuchang Gao , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Bodhisattva Sen

We address the inference problem concerning regression coefficients in a classical linear regression model using least squares estimates. The analysis is conducted under circumstances where network dependency exists across units in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-03 Jing Lei , Kehui Chen , Haeun Moon

We consider a general monotone regression estimation where we allow for independent and dependent regressors. We propose a modification of the classical isotonic least squares estimator and establish its rate of convergence for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Konstantinos Fokianos , Anne Leucht , Michael H. Neumann

This article develops the asymptotic distribution of the least squares estimator of the model parameters in periodicvector autoregressive time series models (hereafter PVAR) with uncorrelated but dependent innovations. When theinnovations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara , Eugen Ursu

We present large sample results for partitioning-based least squares nonparametric regression, a popular method for approximating conditional expectation functions in statistics, econometrics, and machine learning. First, we obtain a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Yingjie Feng

We estimate the support of a uniform density, when it is assumed to be a convex polytope or, more generally, a convex body in $\R^d$. In the polytopal case, we construct an estimator achieving a rate which does not depend on the dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-26 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

The paper deals with asymptotic properties of the adaptive procedure proposed in the author paper, 2007, for estimating a unknown nonparametric regression. We prove that this procedure is asymptotically efficient for a quadratic risk, i.e.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-08 Leonid Galtchouk , Serguey Pergamenshchikov
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