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We discuss an approach to mathematically modelling systems made of objects that are coupled together, using generative models of the dependence relationships between states (or trajectories) of the things comprising such systems. This broad…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-28 Karl J Friston , Maxwell J D Ramstead , Dalton A R Sakthivadivel

Superstatistics describes nonequilibrium steady states as superpositions of canonical ensembles with a probability distribution of temperatures. Rather than assume a certain distribution of temperature, recently [J. Phys. A: Math. Theor.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-28 Sergio Davis

A statistical, path-dependent framework to describe time-dependent macroscopic theories using the Principle of Maximum Caliber is presented. By means of this procedure, it is possible to infer predictive non-equilibrium statistical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-20 Ignacio Tapia , Gonzalo Gutiérrez , Sergio Davis

Maximum Entropy is a powerful concept that entails a sharp separation between relevant and irrelevant variables. It is typically invoked in inference, once an assumption is made on what the relevant variables are, in order to estimate a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-09 Luigi Gresele , Matteo Marsili

This paper addresses the critical challenge of estimating the reliability of an Electric Vehicle (EV) charging systems when facing risks such as overheating, unpredictable, weather, and cyberattacks. Traditional methods for predicting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-19 Himanshu Tripathi , Subash Neupane , Shahram Rahimi , Noorbakhsh Amiri Golilarz , Sudip Mittal , Mohammad Sepehrifar

For the purpose of causal inference we employ a stochastic model of the data generating process, utilizing individual propensity probabilities for the treatment, and also individual and counterfactual prognosis probabilities for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-15 Brian Knaeble , Mehdi Hakim-Hashemi , Mark A. Abramson

What is the best description that we can construct of a thermodynamic system that is not in equilibrium, given only one, or a few, extra parameters over and above those needed for a description of the same system at equilibrium? Here, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-07-05 Gavin E. Crooks

Depending on context, the term entropy is used for a thermodynamic quantity, a~measure of available choice, a quantity to measure information, or, in the context of statistical inference, a maximum configuration predictor. For systems in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-11-14 Rudolf Hanel , Stefan Thurner

Maximum entropy models provide the least constrained probability distributions that reproduce statistical properties of experimental datasets. In this work we characterize the learning dynamics that maximizes the log-likelihood in the case…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-09-21 Ulisse Ferrari

Entropy notions for $\varepsilon$-incremental practical stability and incremental stability of deterministic nonlinear systems under disturbances are introduced. The entropy notions are constructed via a set of points in state space which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Michelle S. Chong

The problem of assigning probability distributions which objectively reflect the prior information available about experiments is one of the major stumbling blocks in the use of Bayesian methods of data analysis. In this paper the method of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Ariel Caticha , Roland Preuss

In this work we develop on the recently suggested concept of superstatistics [C. Beck and E.G.D. Cohen, Physica A {\bf 322}, 267 (2003)], face the problem of devising a viable way for estimating the correct statistics for a system in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 F. Sattin

We show that the naive application of the maximum entropy principle can yield answers which depend on the level of description, i.e. the result is not invariant under coarse-graining. We demonstrate that the correct approach, even for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Jayanth Banavar , Amos Maritan

Maximum entropy (MAXENT) method has a large number of applications in theoretical and applied machine learning, since it provides a convenient non-parametric tool for estimating unknown probabilities. The method is a major contribution of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-12-18 A. E. Allahverdyan , N. H. Martirosyan

We examine the fundamental aspects of statistical mechanics, dividing the problem into a discussion purely about probability, which we analyse from a Bayesian standpoint. We argue that the existence of a unique maximising probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-12-07 B. Buck , A. C. Merchant

A stochastic action principle for stochastic dynamics is revisited. We present first numerical diffusion experiments showing that the diffusion path probability depend exponentially on average Lagrangian action. This result is then used to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-25 Q. A. Wang , F. Tsobnang , S. Bangoup , F. Dzangue , A. Jeatsa , A. Le Méhauté

This Letter presents a neural estimator for entropy production, or NEEP, that estimates entropy production (EP) from trajectories of relevant variables without detailed information on the system dynamics. For steady state, we rigorously…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-06 Dong-Kyum Kim , Youngkyoung Bae , Sangyun Lee , Hawoong Jeong

The free energy principle (FEP) states that any dynamical system can be interpreted as performing Bayesian inference upon its surrounding environment. In this work, we examine in depth the assumptions required to derive the FEP in the…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-23 Miguel Aguilera , Beren Millidge , Alexander Tschantz , Christopher L. Buckley

Statistical properties of coupled dynamic-stochastic systems are studied within a combination of the maximum information principle and the superstatistical approach. The conditions at which the Shannon entropy functional leads to a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 E. V. Vakarin , J. P. Badiali

This paper establishes the minimum entropy principle (MEP) for the relativistic Euler equations with a broad class of equations of state (EOSs) and addresses the challenge of preserving the local version of the discovered MEP in high-order…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Shumo Cui , Kailiang Wu , Linfeng Xu