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We use a Harnack-type inequality on exit times and spectral bounds to characterize upper bounds of the heat kernel associated with any regular Dirichlet form without killing part, where the scale function may vary with position. We further…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Aobo Chen , Zhenyu Yu

Random walk on changing graphs is considered. For sequences of finite graphs increasing monotonically towards a limiting infinite graph, we establish transition probability upper bounds. It yields sufficient transience criteria for simple…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Ruojun Huang

We characterize Gaussian estimates for transition probability of a discrete time Markov chain in terms of geometric properties of the underlying state space. In particular, we show that the following are equivalent: (1) Two sided Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Mathav Murugan , Laurent Saloff-Coste

This thesis is devoted to the study of extreme value statistics in stochastic processes and their applications. In the first part, we obtain exact analytical results on the extreme value statistics of both discrete-time and continuous-time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-24 Benjamin De Bruyne

The problem of sums of independent, identically distributed random variables with stretched-exponential tails exhibits a dynamical phase transition and has recently reemerged in the context of active transport and condensation phenomena. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-11 Alberto Bassanoni , Omer Hamdi

This paper presents necessary and sufficient conditions for on- and off-diagonal transition probability estimates for random walks on weighted graphs. On the integer lattice and on may fractal type graphs both the volume of a ball and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-17 Andras Telcs

We obtain Gaussian upper and lower bounds on the transition density q_t(x,y) of the continuous time simple random walk on a supercritical percolation cluster C_{\infty} in the Euclidean lattice. The bounds, analogous to Aronsen's bounds for…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Martin T. Barlow

Nonparametric regression quantiles obtained by inverting a kernel estimator of the conditional distribution of the response are long established in statistics. Attention has been, however, restricted to ordinary quantiles staying away from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-19 Abdelaati Daouia , Laurent Gardes , Stéphane Girard

We prove that for a general diffusion process, certain assumptions on its behavior \emph{only within a fixed open subset} of the state space imply the existence and sub-Gaussian type off-diagonal upper bounds of the \emph{global} heat…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-07 Alexander Grigor'yan , Naotaka Kajino

In this article, we consider a Branching Random Walk on the real line. The genealogical structure is assumed to be given through a supercritical branching process in the i.i.d. environment and satisfies the Kesten-Stigum condition. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-02 Ayan Bhattacharya , Zbigniew Palmowski

We study rare events in the extreme value statistics of stochastic symmetric jump processes with power tails in the distributions of the jumps, using the big-jump principle. The principle states that in the presence of stochastic processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-04 Alberto Bassanoni , Alessandro Vezzani , Raffaella Burioni

We consider the nonparametric estimation of the univariate heavy tailed probability density function (pdf) with a support on $[0,\infty)$ by independent data. To this end we construct the new kernel estimator as a combination of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-25 L. Markovich

We consider random walks with finite second moment which drifts to $-\infty$ and have heavy tail. We focus on the events when the minimum and the final value of this walk belong to some compact set. We first specify the associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-12 Vincent Bansaye , Vladimir Vatutin

In recent years, several experiments highlighted a new type of diffusion anomaly, which was called Brownian yet non-Gaussian diffusion. In systems displaying this behavior, the mean squared displacement of the diffusing particles grows…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-08-01 Adrian Pacheco-Pozo , Igor M. Sokolov

In this paper, we rigorously establish the Gumbel-distributed fluctuations of the cover time, normalized by the mean first passage time, for finite-range, symmetric, irreducible random walks on a torus of dimension three or higher. This has…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-02 Hao Ge , Xiao Han , Yuan Zhang

In this note, we try to analyze and clarify the intriguing interplay between some counting problems related to specific thermalized weighted graphs and random walks consistent with such graphs.

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Thierry Huillet

Heavy tails are often found in practice, and yet they are an Achilles heel of a variety of mainstream random probability measures such as the Dirichlet process (DP). The first contribution of this paper focuses on characterizing the tails…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-04 Vianey Palacios Ramirez , Miguel de Carvalho , Luis Gutierrez Inostroza

In this article, we consider a branching random walk on the real-line where displacements coming from the same parent have jointly regularly varying tails. The genealogical structure is assumed to be a supercritical Galton-Watson tree,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-07 Ayan Bhattacharya

We introduce anchored versions of the Nash inequality. They allow to control the $L^2$ norm of a function by Dirichlet forms that are not uniformly elliptic. We then use them to provide heat kernel upper bounds for diffusions in degenerate…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-31 Jean-Christophe Mourrat , Felix Otto

We consider integer-valued random walks with independent but not identically distributed increments, and extend to this context several classical estimates, including a local limit theorem, precise small-ball estimates (both conditional on…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Sébastien Ott , Yvan Velenik
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