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We consider a multi-stock continuous time incomplete market model with random coefficients. We study the investment problem in the class of strategies which do not use direct observations of the appreciation rates of the stocks, but rather…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-10 Nikolai Dokuchaev

We present an adaptive approach for valuing the European call option on assets with stochastic volatility. The essential feature of the method is a reduction of uncertainty in latent volatility due to a Bayesian learning procedure. Starting…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Sergei Fedotov , Stephanos Panayides

By treating intervals as inseparable sets, this paper proposes sparse machine learning regressions for high-dimensional interval-valued time series. With LASSO or adaptive LASSO techniques, we develop a penalized minimum distance…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-15 Haowen Bao , Yongmiao Hong , Yuying Sun , Shouyang Wang

Diversification is the typical investment strategy of risk-averse agents. However, non-diversified positions that allocate all resources to a single asset, state of the world or revenue stream are common too. We show that whenever finitely…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-10-18 Christopher P. Chambers , Georgios Gerasimou

Few Bayesian methods for analyzing high-dimensional sparse survival data provide scalable variable selection, effect estimation and uncertainty quantification. Such methods often either sacrifice uncertainty quantification by computing…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-06 Michael Komodromos , Eric Aboagye , Marina Evangelou , Sarah Filippi , Kolyan Ray

This paper considers a robust time-consistent mean-variance-skewness portfolio selection problem for an ambiguity-averse investor by taking into account wealth-dependent risk aversion and wealth-dependent skewness preference as well as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Jian-hao Kang , Nan-jing Huang , Zhihao Hu , Ben-Zhang Yang

Sparse estimation methods are aimed at using or obtaining parsimonious representations of data or models. They were first dedicated to linear variable selection but numerous extensions have now emerged such as structured sparsity or kernel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-11-24 Francis Bach , Rodolphe Jenatton , Julien Mairal , Guillaume Obozinski

We consider penalized regression models under a unified framework where the particular method is determined by the form of the penalty term. We propose a fully Bayesian approach that incorporates both sparse and dense settings and show how…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Ding Xiang , Galin L. Jones

In this paper, we solve portfolio rebalancing problem when security returns are represented by uncertain variables considering transaction costs. The performance of the proposed model is studied using constant-proportion portfolio insurance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-20 Mostafa Zandieh , Seyed Omid Mohaddesi

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

This paper considers the mean-reverting portfolio design problem arising from statistical arbitrage in the financial markets. The problem is formulated by optimizing a criterion characterizing the mean-reversion strength of the portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-28 Ziping Zhao , Daniel P. Palomar

Mean-variance analysis is widely used in portfolio management to identify the best portfolio that makes an optimal trade-off between expected return and volatility. Yet, this method has its limitations, notably its vulnerability to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-27 Kwong Yu Chong

Monotone mean-variance (MMV) utility is the minimal modification of the classical Markowitz utility that respects rational ordering of investment opportunities. This paper provides, for the first time, a complete characterization of optimal…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Aleš Černý , Johannes Ruf , Martin Schweizer

Mean-variance portfolio optimization problems often involve separable nonconvex terms, including penalties on capital gains, integer share constraints, and minimum position and trade sizes. We propose a heuristic algorithm for such problems…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Nicholas Moehle , Jack Gindi , Stephen Boyd , Mykel Kochenderfer

Bayesian optimization is a coherent, ubiquitous approach to decision-making under uncertainty, with applications including multi-arm bandits, active learning, and black-box optimization. Bayesian optimization selects decisions (i.e.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Samuel Stanton , Wesley Maddox , Andrew Gordon Wilson

In this paper, we propose a sparse equity portfolio optimization (SEPO) based on the mean-variance portfolio selection model. Aimed at minimizing transaction cost by avoiding small investments, this new model includes $\ell_0$-norm…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Hong Seng Sim , Wendy Shin Yie Ling , Wah June Leong , Chuei Yee Chen

The sparse portfolio selection problem is one of the most famous and frequently-studied problems in the optimization and financial economics literatures. In a universe of risky assets, the goal is to construct a portfolio with maximal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-22 Dimitris Bertsimas , Ryan Cory-Wright

The ranking and selection problem is a popular framework in the simulation literature for studying optimal information collection. We study a version of this problem in which the simulation output for each design is normally distributed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Jianzhong Du , Ilya O. Ryzhov , Siyang Gao

In this paper, we consider the optimal portfolio liquidation problem under the dynamic mean-variance criterion and derive time-consistent solutions in three important models. We give adapted optimal strategies under a reconsidered…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-02 Jia-Wen Gu , Mogens Steffensen

This work proposes a unified framework for portfolio allocation, covering both asset selection and optimization, based on a multiple-hypothesis predict-then-optimize approach. The portfolio is modeled as a structured ensemble, where each…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-19 Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez , Muhammad Shahzad , Xia Hong