Related papers: Statistical Inference for Ergodic Point Processes …

This paper proposes an Extended State-Dependent Hawkes Process (ExsdHawkes) to model the intricate dynamics of Limit Order Books (LOBs). Our theoretical contribution lies in relaxing traditional constraints by allowing for state…

Different change-point type models encountered in statistical inference for stochastic processes give rise to different limiting likelihood ratio processes. In this paper we consider two such likelihood ratios. The first one is an…

We investigate the convergence in distribution of sequential empirical processes of dependent data indexed by a class of functions F. Our technique is suitable for processes that satisfy a multiple mixing condition on a space of functions…

For each $n\geq 1$, let $ {X_{in}, \quad i \geq 1} $ be independent copies of a nonnegative continuous stochastic process $X_{n}=(X_n(t))_{t\in T}$ indexed by a compact metric space $T$. We are interested in the process of partial maxima…

We observe n possibly dependent random variables, the distribution of which is presumed to be stationary even though this might not be true, and we aim at estimating the stationary distribution. We establish a non-asymptotic deviation bound…

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Hawkes processes are a class of self-exciting point processes that are used to model complex phenomena. While most applications of Hawkes processes assume that event data occurs in continuous-time, the less-studied discrete-time version of…

An extension of the Hawkes model where the productivity is variable is considered. In particular, the case is considered where each point may have its own productivity and a simple analytic formula is derived for the maximum likelihood…

We provide a probabilistic analysis of the banker algorithm when transition probabilities may depend on time and space. The transition probabilities evolve, as time goes by, along the trajectory of an ergodic Markovian environment, whereas…

We consider periodic Markov chains with absorption. Applying to iterates of this periodic Markov chain criteria for the exponential convergence of conditional distributions of aperiodic absorbed Markov chains, we obtain exponential…

In this paper, we introduce a new class of processes which are diffusions with jumps driven by a multivariate nonlinear Hawkes process. Our goal is to study their long-time behavior. In the case of exponential memory kernels for the…

Let $\eta_t$ be a Poisson point process of intensity $t\geq 1$ on some state space $\Y$ and $f$ be a non-negative symmetric function on $\Y^k$ for some $k\geq 1$. Applying $f$ to all $k$-tuples of distinct points of $\eta_t$ generates a…

Birth-and-death processes are widely used to model the development of biological populations. Although they are relatively simple models, their parameters can be challenging to estimate, because the likelihood can become numerically…

We consider covariance parameter estimation for a Gaussian process under inequality constraints (boundedness, monotonicity or convexity) in fixed-domain asymptotics. We address the estimation of the variance parameter and the estimation of…

We develop a Perron-Frobenius type theory for products of random quantum channels acting on finite-dimensional matrix algebras sampled from a stationary and ergodic stochastic process, which, in keeping with the literature, we call ergodic…

Point processes are widely used statistical models for continuous-time discrete event data, such as medical records, crime reports, and social network interactions, to capture the influence of historical events on future occurrences. In…

Non-linear Hawkes processes with memory kernels given by the sum of Erlang kernels are considered. It is shown that their stability properties can be studied in terms of an associated class of piecewise deterministic Markov processes,…

We show the relation between processes which are modeled by a Langevin equation with multiplicative noise and infinite ergodic theory. We concentrate on a spatially dependent diffusion coefficient that behaves as ${D(x)}\sim…

The adaptive quasi-likelihood analysis is developed for a degenerate diffusion process. Asymptotic normality and moment convergence are proved for the quasi-maximum likelihood estimators and quasi-Bayesian estimators, in the adaptive…

We study a family of processes generated according to sequential probability assignments induced by the LZ78 universal compressor. We characterize entropic and distributional properties such as their entropy and relative entropy rates,…