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Related papers: Assessing forensic evidence by computing belief fu…

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We first show that there are practical situations in for instance forensic and gambling settings, in which applying classical probability theory, that is, based on the axioms of Kolmogorov, is problematic. We then introduce and discuss…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-07 Timber Kerkvliet , Ronald Meester

Dempster-Shafer evidence theory has been widely used in various fields of applications, because of the flexibility and effectiveness in modeling uncertainties without prior information. However, the existing evidence theory is insufficient…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-06-28 Fuyuan Xiao

In the canonical examples underlying Shafer-Dempster theory, beliefs over the hypotheses of interest are derived from a probability model for a set of auxiliary hypotheses. Beliefs are derived via a compatibility relation connecting the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Kathryn Blackmond Laskey

The conditioning in the Dempster-Shafer Theory of Evidence has been defined (by Shafer \cite{Shafer:90} as combination of a belief function and of an "event" via Dempster rule. On the other hand Shafer \cite{Shafer:90} gives a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-06-09 Andrzej Matuszewski , Mieczysław A. Kłopotek

In Dempster-Shafer belief theory, general beliefs are expressed as belief mass distribution functions over frames of discernment. In Subjective Logic beliefs are expressed as belief mass distribution functions over binary frames of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Audun Josang

By analyzing the relationships among chance, weight of evidence and degree of beliefwe show that the assertion "probability functions are special cases of belief functions" and the assertion "Dempster's rule can be used to combine belief…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Pei Wang

This paper describes a natural framework for rules, based on belief functions, which includes a repre- sentation of numerical rules, default rules and rules allowing and rules not allowing contraposition. In particular it justifies the use…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Nic Wilson

This paper examines the relationship between Shafer's belief functions and convex sets of probability distributions. Kyburg's (1986) result showed that belief function models form a subset of the class of closed convex probability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Paul K. Black

In this paper, we generalize the belief function on complex plane from another point of view. We first propose a new concept of complex mass function based on the complex number, called complex basic belief assignment, which is a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-11 Fuyuan Xiao

A primary motivation for reasoning under uncertainty is to derive decisions in the face of inconclusive evidence. However, Shafer's theory of belief functions, which explicitly represents the underconstrained nature of many reasoning…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Thomas M. Strat

One problem to solve in the context of information fusion, decision-making, and other artificial intelligence challenges is to compute justified beliefs based on evidence. In real-life examples, this evidence may be inconsistent,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Daira Pinto Prieto , Ronald de Haan , Aybüke Özgün

Approaches to decision-making under uncertainty in the belief function framework are reviewed. Most methods are shown to blend criteria for decision under ignorance with the maximum expected utility principle of Bayesian decision theory. A…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-12-13 Thierry Denoeux

This paper is concerned with two theories of probability judgment: the Bayesian theory and the theory of belief functions. It illustrates these theories with some simple examples and discusses some of the issues that arise when we try to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Glenn Shafer

Considerable attention has been given to the problem of non-monotonic reasoning in a belief function framework. Earlier work (M. Ginsberg) proposed solutions introducing meta-rules which recognized conditional independencies in a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Mary McLeish

Combining evidence from different sources can be achieved with Bayesian or Dempster-Shafer methods. The first requires an estimate of the priors and likelihoods while the second only needs an estimate of the posterior probabilities and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-16 Fabrice Daniel

Dempster/Shafer (D/S) theory has been advocated as a way of representing incompleteness of evidence in a system's knowledge base. Methods now exist for propagating beliefs through chains of inference. This paper discusses how rules with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Paul K. Black , Kathryn Blackmond Laskey

Dempster-Shafer evidence theory has been widely used in various fields of applications, because of the flexibility and effectiveness in modeling uncertainties without prior information. Besides, it has been proven that the quantum theory…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-05-01 Fuyuan Xiao

When reasoning with uncertainty there are many situations where evidences are not only uncertain but their propositions may also be weakly specified in the sense that it may not be certain to which event a proposition is referring. It is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Johan Schubert

While Evidence Theory (also known as Dempster-Shafer Theory, or Belief Functions Theory) is being increasingly used in data fusion, its potentialities in the Social and Life Sciences are often obscured by lack of awareness of its…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Guido Fioretti

A considerable body of work in AI has been concerned with aggregating measures of confirmatory and disconfirmatory evidence for a common set of propositions. Claiming classical probability to be inadequate or inappropriate, several…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Benjamin N. Grosof
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